TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6d6…0a88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7954.4%43 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+559.1%+$1,118.16
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.65
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$28.76
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$40.36
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$74.67
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.82
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.82
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$82.17
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$94.29
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$53.18
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13.65
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$93.18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$131.33
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$53.17
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$154.17
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$25.06
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+273.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+135.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+525%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$189.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.