Wallet 0xc785…4ef2
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xc785252b25901a591e9d962e09f4342468444ef2
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$2,304,800 staked over 11,120 qualified picks in 40 categories, 22 of 40 below 50.
Best category
F1
$17,729 staked over 47 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full F1 boardSecond best
NFL
$170,679 staked over 869 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full NFL boardThird best
Music
$206 staked over 2 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Music boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 11,120 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category40 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $17,729 | before 55%in play 45%, over 47 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min before the start | 12 h 55to the end, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 73% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 30 of 47 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.8 | +0.08 | 47c | -15.1% | 56 |
The 47 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 47 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $170,679 | before 2%in play 98%, over 869 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 00 after the start | 2 h 02to the end, median over 1,557 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 50 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 671 of 869 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | +39.8 | +0.05 | 48c | +3.5% | 55 |
The 869 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 869 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $206 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.71123% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 123% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1 | +0.57 | 43c | +133.9% | 55 |
The 2 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golflast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $2,755 | —too few: 8 picks | 9 h 30to the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1381% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 81% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2 | +0.16 | 47c | +30.2% | 54 |
The 8 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,882 | before 0%in play 100%, over 20 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 after the start | 2 h 34to the end, median over 42 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 64% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 18 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6 | +0.08 | 42c | +20.5% | 54 |
The 20 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $13,520 | before 4%in play 96%, over 197 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 29 after the start | 1 h 31to the end, median over 430 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 40% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 168 of 197 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +6.7 | +0.03 | 44c | -5% | 53 |
The 197 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 197 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $110,800 | before 3%in play 97%, over 497 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 31 after the start | 53 minto the end, median over 896 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 13% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 386 of 499 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 499 | 41.9%209 W · 290 L | +15.3 | +0.03 | 39c | -9.2% | 53 |
The 499 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 499 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $258,737 | before 3%in play 97%, over 863 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 39 after the start | 2 h 14to the end, median over 1,998 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 65 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 46% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 762 of 880 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 880 | 42.2%371 W · 509 L | +24.6 | +0.03 | 39c | +1% | 53 |
The 880 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 880 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $54,462 | before <1%in play >99%, over 476 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 2 h 34to the end, median over 1,193 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 443 of 476 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 476 | 45.8%218 W · 258 L | +13.2 | +0.03 | 43c | -9.8% | 53 |
The 476 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 476 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $38,872 | before <1%in play >99%, over 315 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 1 h 30to the end, median over 681 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 293 of 315 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 315 | 34.9%110 W · 205 L | +6.2 | +0.02 | 33c | -11.9% | 52 |
The 315 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 315 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $416 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.27122% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 122% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.22 | 78c | +28.6% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $20 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.91256% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 256% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.36 | 64c | +55.3% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $31,891 | before 1%in play 99%, over 357 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 2 h 51to the end, median over 1,119 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 330 of 357 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | +5.1 | +0.01 | 38c | -19.6% | 51 |
The 357 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 357 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $14,384 | before 5%in play 95%, over 43 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 38 after the start | 1 h 10to the end, median over 145 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 42 of 48 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.9 | +0.02 | 46c | -13.8% | 51 |
The 48 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 48 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $167,101 | before 2%in play 98%, over 738 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 25 after the start | 1 h 30to the end, median over 1,574 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 55 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 599 of 754 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 754 | 44.2%333 W · 421 L | +7.8 | +0.01 | 43c | -4.3% | 51 |
The 754 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 754 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $206,257 | before 22%in play 78%, over 259 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min after the start | 5 h 41to the end, median over 398 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 188 of 259 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 259 | 36.7%95 W · 164 L | +0.9 | 0.00 | 36c | -27.9% | 50 |
The 259 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 259 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $96,548 | before 10%in play 90%, over 204 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 21 after the start | 36 minto the end, median over 300 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 196 of 204 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +0.4 | 0.00 | 40c | -10% | 50 |
The 204 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 204 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $24,818 | before 0%in play 100%, over 205 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min after the start | 1 h 23to the end, median over 475 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 193 of 205 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 205 | 33.2%68 W · 137 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 33c | -37.2% | 50 |
The 205 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 205 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $38,024 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 55c | -18.5% | 50 |
The 11 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $766 | —no start of play | 3 h 59to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 2c | -100% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,153 | before 0%in play 100%, over 107 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 after the start | 1 h 04to the end, median over 272 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 104 of 107 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -0.2 | 0.00 | 35c | -22.4% | 50 |
The 107 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 107 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $23,006 | before 1%in play 99%, over 247 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 3 h 09to the end, median over 773 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 233 of 247 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 247 | 41.7%103 W · 144 L | -0.7 | 0.00 | 42c | -24% | 50 |
The 247 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 247 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $62,997 | before 1%in play 99%, over 476 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 2 h 08to the end, median over 1,183 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 33 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 437 of 476 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 476 | 34.2%163 W · 313 L | -4.3 | -0.01 | 35c | -27.9% | 49 |
The 476 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 476 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $179,949 | before 2%in play 98%, over 957 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 55 after the start | 1 h 25to the end, median over 2,105 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 73 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 670 of 957 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 957 | 44.5%426 W · 531 L | -10.0 | -0.01 | 46c | -12% | 49 |
The 957 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 957 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $11,472 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.6 | -0.02 | 42c | -11.9% | 49 |
The 30 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $46,312 | before <1%in play >99%, over 281 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start | 1 h 46to the end, median over 648 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 259 of 281 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 281 | 36.7%103 W · 178 L | -4.1 | -0.01 | 38c | -35% | 49 |
The 281 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 281 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $3,736 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6 | -0.04 | 41c | -30% | 48 |
The 16 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $241,371 | before 1%in play 99%, over 1,012 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 after the start | 2 h 43to the end, median over 2,248 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 50 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 956 of 1,012 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,012 | 33.4%338 W · 674 L | -23.0 | -0.02 | 36c | -33.3% | 48 |
The 1,012 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,012 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $82 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6 | -0.21 | 21c | -100% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $106,057 | before 3%in play 97%, over 655 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min after the start | 1 h 28to the end, median over 1,423 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 33 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 566 of 655 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 655 | 39.8%261 W · 394 L | -16.2 | -0.02 | 42c | -22.8% | 47 |
The 655 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 655 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $5,812 | —too few: 9 picks | 11 h 10to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0 | -0.11 | 33c | -64% | 47 |
The 9 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $131 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.80no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8 | -0.80 | 80c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $129,898 | before 2%in play 98%, over 845 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 3 h 12to the end, median over 1,865 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 28 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 769 of 861 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 861 | 31.7%273 W · 588 L | -28.2 | -0.03 | 35c | -29.7% | 46 |
The 861 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 861 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $5,300 | before 7%in play 93%, over 40 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start | 2 h 49to the end, median over 91 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 39 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.2 | -0.05 | 33c | -48.6% | 46 |
The 40 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $121,635 | before 1%in play 99%, over 495 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min after the start | 1 h 49to the end, median over 1,185 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 464 of 495 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 495 | 31.9%158 W · 337 L | -17.6 | -0.04 | 35c | -37.8% | 46 |
The 495 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 495 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $892 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.7 | -0.10 | 23c | -80.8% | 45 |
The 16 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $58,420 | before 1%in play 99%, over 377 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 34 after the start | 2 h 21to the end, median over 851 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 368 of 377 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 377 | 34.2%129 W · 248 L | -20.5 | -0.05 | 40c | -36.6% | 44 |
The 377 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 377 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $24,627 | before 5%in play 95%, over 203 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 3 h 05to the end, median over 474 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 202 of 203 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | -11.9 | -0.06 | 40c | -25.9% | 44 |
The 203 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 203 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $8,114 | before 2%in play 98%, over 85 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 40 after the start | 2 h 16to the end, median over 195 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 84 of 85 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -5.8 | -0.07 | 32c | -53.8% | 44 |
The 85 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 85 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,971 | before 1%in play 99%, over 90 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 37 after the start | 2 h 33to the end, median over 192 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 92 of 93 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -6.9 | -0.07 | 41c | -41.6% | 43 |
The 93 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 11,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 93 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 209
- What they are worth now
- $49,005bought for $55,661
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 32worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 209, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 32. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x8b69…da35backed outcome 1 | 2,306 | 1c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xcf1d…4829backed outcome 1 | 697.5 | 27c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x27a6…119dbacked outcome 0 | 653.21 | 5c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x0d53…7a4bbacked outcome 0 | 394.49 | 5c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Lafayette vs. Fordham (opens in a new tab)backed Fordham · settled | 263.04 | 0c | $0 | Never scored |
Do these count towards the record above? 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 4 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.