Wallet 0xc7e5…2d3a
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xc7e53ac4a7c76d6df8b794de2e7d0794265d2d3a
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$2,187,983 staked over 4,284 qualified picks in 46 categories, 28 of 46 below 50.
Best category
Fifa International
$53,415 staked over 236 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Fifa International boardSecond best
World Politics
$236,032 staked over 58 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full World Politics boardThird best
Other European Leagues
$965 staked over 5 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Other European Leagues boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,284 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category46 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifa Internationallast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $53,415 | before 73%in play 27%, over 217 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min before the start | 3 h 42to the end, median over 239 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 201 of 236 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | +22.3 | +0.09 | 28c | +31.7% | 60 |
The 236 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 236 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $236,032 | —no start of play | 11 dresells, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 25 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.4 | +0.09 | 25c | +4.6% | 57 |
The 58 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $965 | —too few: 5 picks | 3 h 17to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2877% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8 | +0.37 | 23c | +251.5% | 57 |
The 5 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $110,807 | before 86%in play 14%, over 155 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 51 before the start | 7 h 11to the end, median over 167 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0592% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 101 of 167 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 167 | 48.5%81 W · 86 L | +9.0 | +0.05 | 43c | +6% | 55 |
The 167 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 167 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $78,116 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0678% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 20 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.3 | +0.08 | 26c | +16.6% | 55 |
The 29 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $1,651 | before 9%in play 91%, over 11 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start | 1 h 27to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1394% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5 | +0.14 | 22c | +121.7% | 55 |
The 11 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $246,056 | before 64%in play 36%, over 460 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 before the start | 6 h 06to the end, median over 465 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0498% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 329 of 465 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 465 | 43.7%203 W · 262 L | +20.1 | +0.04 | 39c | +10% | 55 |
The 465 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 465 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $30,575 | before 58%in play 42%, over 73 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start | 5 h 09to the end, median over 81 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0490% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 67 of 81 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.7 | +0.05 | 25c | +20% | 54 |
The 81 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 81 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $1,848 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.41100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8 | +0.41 | 9c | +284.9% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $118,938 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 107 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 88 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 81 of 103 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +3.8 | +0.04 | 23c | -8.2% | 53 |
The 103 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 103 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Jan 2, 2026, EST | $190 | —no start of play | 54 minresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.77112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.68 | 32c | +211% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT | $4,497 | before 32%in play 68%, over 22 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 26 after the start | 2 h 27to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07123% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 123% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.2 | +0.05 | 22c | +16.6% | 53 |
The 22 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $553 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7 | +0.14 | 26c | +21.6% | 53 |
The 5 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $21,665 | before 67%in play 33%, over 81 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min before the start | 4 h 47to the end, median over 83 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0393% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 72 of 82 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.4 | +0.03 | 26c | +16.2% | 53 |
The 82 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 82 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $8,332 | before 4%in play 96%, over 46 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 40 after the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 47 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0375% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 43 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | +1.6 | +0.03 | 23c | +21.3% | 53 |
The 46 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Aug 20, 2026, EDT | $1,146 | before 10%in play 90%, over 10 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 41 after the start | 3 h 41to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06124% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 124% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5 | +0.05 | 35c | -12.4% | 52 |
The 10 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT | $22,186 | before 34%in play 66%, over 101 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 after the start | 3 h 37to the end, median over 110 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 83 of 108 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +1.2 | +0.01 | 21c | -16.6% | 51 |
The 108 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 108 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $31,820 | —no start of play | 13 dresells, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 11 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2 | +0.01 | 22c | -50.4% | 50 |
The 13 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $19,900 | before 18%in play 82%, over 77 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 26 after the start | 3 h 54to the end, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 73 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 23c | -2.6% | 50 |
The 78 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $229,604 | before 52%in play 48%, over 1,051 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min before the start | 4 h 13to the end, median over 1,077 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 56 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 845 of 1,070 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,070 | 33.5%358 W · 712 L | -1.3 | 0.00 | 34c | -4.3% | 50 |
The 1,070 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,070 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $10,852 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 25c | -26.2% | 50 |
The 16 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $1,534 | —too few: 2 picks | 5 h 13to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 18c | -37.3% | 50 |
The 6 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $7,636 | before 10%in play 90%, over 41 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 35 after the start | 3 h 45to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 22c | -14.4% | 50 |
The 41 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Apr 2, 2026, EDT | $274 | —too few: 1 pick | 2 h 55to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.17 | 17c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Sep 3, 2026, EDT | $11,533 | —no start of play | 17 h 13to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3 | -0.02 | 17c | -41.6% | 49 |
The 20 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $25,198 | —no start of play | 19 dresells, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3 | -0.03 | 18c | -36.9% | 49 |
The 13 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Feb 16, 2026, EST | $484 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3 | -0.13 | 13c | -100% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $23,256 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3 | -0.05 | 38c | -42.3% | 49 |
The 6 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $40,998 | before 10%in play 90%, over 154 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 53 after the start | 3 h 12to the end, median over 155 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 130 of 155 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 155 | 33.5%52 W · 103 L | -1.7 | -0.01 | 35c | -13.4% | 49 |
The 155 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 155 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Nov 1, 2025, EDT | $2,109 | —no start of play | 9 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $97,563 | before 82%in play 18%, over 145 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 20 before the start | 7 h 42to the end, median over 150 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 97 of 148 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.1 | -0.01 | 42c | -6.3% | 49 |
The 148 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 148 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Jun 29, 2026, EDT | $13,587 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4 | -0.05 | 18c | -40.1% | 49 |
The 8 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $114,073 | before 65%in play 35%, over 246 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min before the start | 5 h 55to the end, median over 256 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 165 of 251 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7 | -0.01 | 32c | -16.6% | 48 |
The 251 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 251 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $59,303 | before 43%in play 57%, over 199 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 4 h 14to the end, median over 201 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 169 of 199 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | -3.3 | -0.02 | 25c | -0.3% | 48 |
The 199 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 199 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled May 6, 2026, EDT | $423 | —too few: 3 picks | 4 h 04to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5 | -0.18 | 18c | -100% | 48 |
The 3 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $2,013 | —too few: 6 picks | 3 h 49to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7 | -0.09 | 22c | -74% | 48 |
The 8 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $6,527 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8 | -0.09 | 20c | -75.5% | 47 |
The 9 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Apr 30, 2026, EDT | $1,731 | —no start of play | 12 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.38no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.38 | 38c | -100% | 47 |
The 2 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $19,575 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1 | -0.10 | 28c | -65.1% | 47 |
The 11 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Jun 21, 2026, EDT | $600 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.42no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9 | -0.43 | 43c | -100% | 46 |
The 2 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $55,528 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6 | -0.07 | 26c | -52.8% | 46 |
The 22 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $383,704 | before 77%in play 23%, over 657 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 10 before the start | 7 h 03to the end, median over 673 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 65 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 408 of 673 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 673 | 39.5%266 W · 407 L | -24.9 | -0.04 | 43c | -10.1% | 46 |
The 673 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 673 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $62,225 | —no start of play | 13 dresells, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.7 | -0.08 | 25c | -50.1% | 45 |
The 35 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Aug 8, 2026, EDT | $3,546 | —too few: 9 picks | 7 h 10to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6 | -0.16 | 26c | -66.3% | 45 |
The 10 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $21,382 | before 87%in play 13%, over 23 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 18 before the start | 20 h 20to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -2.7 | -0.09 | 23c | -46.3% | 44 |
The 29 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $4,036 | before 19%in play 81%, over 21 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 33 after the start | 3 h 51to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.9 | -0.14 | 23c | -58.2% | 43 |
The 21 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,284 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 35
- What they are worth now
- $52,204bought for $48,580
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 48worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 35, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 48. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Girona win on 2025-10-31? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 4,787 | 24c | $0 | Counted |
| Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack (opens in a new tab)backed Virginia Tech Hokies · settled | 4,167 | 18c | $0 | Counted |
| Devils vs. Stars (opens in a new tab)backed Stars · settled | 3,383 | 24c | $0 | Counted |
| Louisville vs. Ole Miss (opens in a new tab)backed Louisville · settled | 2,816 | 30c | $0 | Counted |
| Spread: Raptors (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Raptors · settled | 2,200 | 46c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.