TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8d9…df36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,125
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT40053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 400 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.3
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.48
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.4
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.1
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.64
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.98
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.99
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.99
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$150
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$145.48
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.8
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,516.99
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.44
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$51.59
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Showing 25 of 400 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT14649.3%72 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Serghei Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$369
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed MarQuel Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.1
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$171.14
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kennedy Nzechukwu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$95
Will Kennedy Nzechukwu win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Chris Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.09
Will Marcio Barbosa win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+50%+$101.6
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+62%+$102.6
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Wes Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.76
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$120.79
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Manoel Sousa win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Carol Foro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT14553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.32
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.67
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.05
UC Davis Aggies vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.88
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$101.92
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-6.5)backed Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.54
Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.42
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-7.5)backed South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$52.99
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$72.62
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$45.7
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.51
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-7.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.59
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.14
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.66
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-8.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.6
Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.85
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.34
Spread: Cal Poly Mustangs (-9.5)backed Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$43.85
Kennesaw State Owls vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+83.4%+$183.02
Albany Great Danes vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.64
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$146.33
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-12.5)backed Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+90.7%+$43.4
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Morehead State Eaglesbacked Morehead State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$53.56
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$63.51
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT8535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.35
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group Abacked FarmVille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.79
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs eLITenergy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked eLITenergy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+139.4%+$119.28
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$134.69
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.89
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Galorys (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$86.34
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.46
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group Cbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.13
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs TNT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+175.4%+$61.97
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$152.96
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$216.28
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.45
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Bbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.42
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.13
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.88
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$187.68
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Dbacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.59
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.62
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.74
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.79
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7042.9%30 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.7
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$177
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.99
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$228
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$216.52
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$318.14
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.63
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+218.3%+$317.38
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.09
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$100.5
Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$216.14
Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$42.94
Menorca: Jonas Forejtek vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$141.42
Miyazaki: Ognjen Milic vs Blake Ellisbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Adam Waltonbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$90.07
Rodionov vs. Romano: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Cherbourg: Borna Gojo vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$84.23
Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$141.67
Kigali 2: Filip Jianu vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Hersonissos 2: Petr Nesterov vs Maximus Jonesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Korda vs. Comesana: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$94.24
Antalya 2: Elina Avanesyan vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Merida Open Akron: Varvara Lepchenko vs Shuai Zhangbacked Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Dubai Tennis Championships: Moez Echargui vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Rio Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Metepec: Edward Winter vs Andres Martinbacked Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$72.09
New Delhi: Beibit Zhukayev vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
Delray Beach Open: Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$29.04
Les Sables d'Olonne: Anna Siskova vs Dominika Salkovabacked Siskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Oeiras 2: Viktoriya Tomova vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Delray Beach Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paulbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Metepec: Alexis Galarneau vs Nick Hardtbacked Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$288.74
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs EKO Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.68
LoL: Zena Esports vs StoneHenge Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked StoneHenge Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$121.24
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$130.91
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$161.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.62
LoL: RMD Gaming vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
LoL: Estral Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$73.42
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
LoL: 7REX vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$18.8
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$161.24
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.25
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.54
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$68.3
Game Handicap: WT (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)backed G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Fbacked Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: HMBLE vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Ebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$90.16
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked BOMBA Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$42.15
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.28
Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.28
Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 9.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.99
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.87
Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.76
Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.42
Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.59
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.58
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$86.39
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 20.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.38
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Benjamin James finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$61.18
Will Chris Kirk finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Doug Ghim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.83
Will Davis Riley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Michael Thorbjornsen finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will Michael Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Will Justin Lower finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$31.94
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+268.2%+$2,006
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$303.79
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.18
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.23
Will Thomas Detry finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.76
Will Thomas Detry win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.96
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.03
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.82
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.65
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$554.28
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.58
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
AHL: San Diego Gulls vs. Bakersfield Condorsbacked Bakersfield Condors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.68
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Iowa Wildbacked Rockford IceHogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$108.72
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.76
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Calgary Wranglersbacked Calgary Wranglers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.22
DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Koelner Haiebacked Schwenninger Wild Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.12
SHL: Faerjestad vs. Roeglebacked Roegle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
SHL: Leksands IF vs. HV 71backed HV 71 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$246.04
DEL: EHC Red Bull Muenchen vs. Straubing Tigersbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.6
DEL: Grizzlys Wolfsburg vs. Koelner Haiebacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$80.06
Capitals vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
SHL: Malmoe vs. Leksands IFbacked Malmoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.26
DEL: Grizzlys Wolfsburg vs. Nurnberg Ice Tigersbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$91.99
DEL: Koelner Haie vs. Augsburger Pantherbacked Augsburger Panther · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69.19
SHL: Faerjestad vs. Vaexjoebacked Vaexjoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.15
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. EHC Red Bull Muenchenbacked Augsburger Panther · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$287.84
DEL: Straubing Tigers vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburgbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.62
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Colorado Eaglesbacked Colorado Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Senators vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
Senators vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$77.75
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+159.6%+$171.43
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+516.3%+$652.67
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$239.25
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$38
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$180.05
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$151.5
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.12
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$393.9
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153.99
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51%+$28.66
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.91
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.74
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+407.4%+$631.29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.94
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+306.2%+$670.91
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$106.48
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$67.07
Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$55.05
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$52.14
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs L1ga Team (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$106.99
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$25.19
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.8
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+173.9%+$125.04
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Dota 2: Valinor vs L1ga Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$62.37
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+45.3%+$45.33
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
All 21 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$100.08
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.86
Partizan vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Valencia vs. CB Breogan Lugobacked CB Breogan Lugo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
Virtus Bologna vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$54.12
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Zhejiang Lions vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.25
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Manresabacked CB Breogan Lugo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$68.12
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$49.71
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$103.89
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Jilin Northeast Tigersbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$83.85
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$128.1
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.12
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+167.5%+$64.96
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$136.3
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
Saski Baskonia vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$38.82
Basket Zaragoza vs. Bilbao Basketbacked Basket Zaragoza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$116
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs Melilla Titans (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsbacked FALKE ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$47.53
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$91.92
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.96
Valorant: Mandatory vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: FearX vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs INTZ (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-Inbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.82
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$183.61
Valorant: Coalesce vs FULL BOX 200 (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Abacked FULL BOX 200 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Valorant: Equipe Caos vs HOLY (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group Abacked HOLY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Valorant: CTRL Esports vs MIR (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Bbacked MIR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$22.8
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$111.34
Valorant: Aura vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked Aura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$294.84
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.61
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$66
All 17 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$165.75
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$23.91
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$110.93
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$186.5
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+305.3%+$133.97
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+448.5%+$212.6
Will Jasmi Joensuu (FIN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Sprint Classic at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$121.89
Women's Group B - Japan vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+134.8%+$29.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+233.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$131.46
Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)backed CA Mineiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$210.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$140
US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.