TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xca67…703c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 60 out of 100; worst AI at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$88
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$351
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.15
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.8
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.7
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$537.92
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$482.54
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.28
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.8
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.65
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$467
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$88.4
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.28
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.04
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.25
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$232.87
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+34.1%+$103.25
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$45.24
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.05
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.54
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Daignault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.95
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.52
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$332.1
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.48
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$269.88
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.5
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$63.14
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.6
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.34
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$184.08
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$259.49
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$54.6
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$102.48
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.04
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$125.44
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$114.7
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.59
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.78
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$26.73
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$229.32
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48.36
Will "Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$79.98
Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$134.4
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$33.22
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$40.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$607.58
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.17
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$144.15
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.21
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$113.68
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$129.7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$109.51
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.82
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$147.4
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+354.5%+$175.5
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.05
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35%+$55.69
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$75.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.04
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.85
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.08
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+316.7%+$57.76
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.36
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.26
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$218.96
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$139.37
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$362.45
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$193.44
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+890.1%+$115.07
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$372.96
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$329.12
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$293.75
Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98.1
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$268.71
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
Odds of Newsom Dem Pres Nominee over 40% by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.58
Will Baluta win by 0-3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$57.86
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 30% and 35% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.61
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+121.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid+390.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+70%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+154%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UConn advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,622.74
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.9%+$197.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$316.79
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$96.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$62.58
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$268.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$217.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$74.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Najmah Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$119.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $800M and $900M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$559.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.