TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcaf5…41ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
737
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Lol, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT47239.8%188 W · 284 L+31.2wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 472 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$119.13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$85.65
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$81.2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$77.41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+79%+$42.68
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$126.44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$92.34
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$38.38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.41
Showing 25 of 472 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT7250%36 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$12.54
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.93
Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.37
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+396.3%+$88.32
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$26.52
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will the announcers say "Bronze" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$37.26
Will the announcers say "Tenure" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will the announcers say "Bench" or "Benches" 7+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.06
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.68
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will the announcers say "Shot" 15+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the announcers say "Euro" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.48
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$27.35
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$31.42
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.97
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.39
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+187.9%+$26.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+408.8%+$49.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+490.5%+$184.74
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$44.85
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$32.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.59
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$42.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+883.5%+$180.22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$48.37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$32.91
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$17.39
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
All 16 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Exact Score: Pohang Steelers FC 0 - 3 Ulsan HD FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$22.48
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$45.99
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Sanfrecce Hiroshima O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$75.61
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Exact Score: Yokohama F·Marinos 3 - 3 Kashima Antlers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$15.38
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.28
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$14.28
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.29
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$8.67
Will Astralis qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$14.32
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.57
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of July 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$28.36
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+199.8%+$31.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.5
Spread: FC Arouca (-1.5)backed FC Arouca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)backed IK Start · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$79.39
IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.87
Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$30.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.58
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.17
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.79
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick46cpaid+109.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-68.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.42
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+89%+$43.9
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.31
Panthers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.06
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+109.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+180.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$33.45
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+208.4%+$23.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$37.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.33
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Team Jenz (+1.5)backed Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$12.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$3.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Fylde win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs DNSTY (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.