Wallet 0xcee6…0a45
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xcee6a215f2de749afd3a6a74721cc0c4fbb80a45
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$254,863 staked over 6,521 qualified picks in 32 categories, 11 of 32 below 50.
Best category
Europa Conference League
$1,263 staked over 29 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Europa Conference League boardSecond best
Premier League
$7,211 staked over 175 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Premier League boardThird best
Serie A
$1,950 staked over 55 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 6,521 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category32 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $1,263 | before 97%in play 3%, over 29 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 26 before the start | 9 h 27to the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1895% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 23 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.3 | +0.18 | 58c | +34.5% | 61 |
The 29 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $7,211 | before 99%in play 1%, over 173 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 20 before the start | 7 h 24to the end, median over 305 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0899% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 95 of 175 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 175 | 62.3%109 W · 66 L | +14.8 | +0.08 | 54c | +16.6% | 58 |
The 175 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 175 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $1,950 | before 100%in play 0%, over 55 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 59 before the start | 7 h 40to the end, median over 126 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 33 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.2 | +0.08 | 54c | +14.6% | 56 |
The 55 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $2,918 | before 99%in play 1%, over 96 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 09 before the start | 10 h 18to the end, median over 249 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 49 of 96 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +5.4 | +0.06 | 55c | +16.6% | 55 |
The 96 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 96 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT | $2,844 | before 100%in play 0%, over 61 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 49 before the start | 7 h 48to the end, median over 87 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.6 | +0.06 | 53c | +11.1% | 55 |
The 61 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $1,490 | before 100%in play 0%, over 42 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 18 before the start | 10 h 10to the end, median over 97 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.7 | +0.06 | 55c | +15.8% | 55 |
The 42 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $1,829 | before 92%in play 8%, over 39 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 55 before the start | 11 h 59to the end, median over 102 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 23 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.6 | +0.06 | 56c | -1.1% | 54 |
The 40 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Aug 15, 2026, EDT | $123 | —too few: 3 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.33100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0 | +0.33 | 34c | +148.4% | 54 |
The 3 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $1,379 | before 87%in play 13%, over 52 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 29 before the start | 8 h 02to the end, median over 121 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0496% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 33 of 52 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.4 | +0.05 | 49c | +3.3% | 53 |
The 52 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 52 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $1,584 | before 100%in play 0%, over 20 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 22 before the start | 9 h 16to the end, median over 55 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2 | +0.06 | 54c | +9.6% | 53 |
The 20 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $7,705 | before 97%in play 3%, over 199 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 24 before the start | 11 h 08to the end, median over 324 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 84 of 199 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 199 | 55.3%110 W · 89 L | +6.0 | +0.03 | 52c | +4.6% | 53 |
The 199 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 199 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $2,482 | before 91%in play 9%, over 96 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 before the start | 6 h 22to the end, median over 214 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0382% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 82% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 66 of 96 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +3.0 | +0.03 | 53c | +4.2% | 53 |
The 96 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 96 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $35,463 | before >99%in play <1%, over 929 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 37 before the start | 10 h 28to the end, median over 1,517 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 477 of 929 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 929 | 54.8%509 W · 420 L | +22.4 | +0.02 | 52c | +5.3% | 53 |
The 929 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 929 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $3,124 | before 100%in play 0%, over 119 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 43 before the start | 10 h 06to the end, median over 374 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03117% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 117% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 71 of 119 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +3.2 | +0.03 | 54c | +0.5% | 53 |
The 119 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 119 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled May 15, 2026, EDT | $27 | —too few: 2 picks | 7 h 04to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.28100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.28 | 72c | +38.4% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled May 9, 2025, EDT | $126 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.53100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.53 | 47c | +112.6% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $9,849 | before 93%in play 7%, over 288 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 44 before the start | 11 h 51to the end, median over 514 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 132 of 288 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 288 | 55.2%159 W · 129 L | +6.2 | +0.02 | 53c | +6.1% | 52 |
The 288 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 288 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $38,667 | before 95%in play 5%, over 845 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 05 before the start | 10 h 25to the end, median over 1,578 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 119 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 462 of 845 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 845 | 54.7%462 W · 383 L | +13.0 | +0.02 | 53c | +1.4% | 52 |
The 845 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 845 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $6,392 | before 96%in play 4%, over 177 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 14 before the start | 11 h 59to the end, median over 389 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01141% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 141% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 102 of 177 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +1.4 | +0.01 | 57c | -0.1% | 51 |
The 177 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 177 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $48,039 | before 84%in play 16%, over 1,175 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 h 21 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 3,760 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 598 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00180% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 180% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 599 of 1,177 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,177 | 53.7%632 W · 545 L | +3.1 | 0.00 | 53c | -0.3% | 50 |
The 1,177 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,177 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $2,612 | before 90%in play 10%, over 52 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 10 before the start | 10 h 50to the end, median over 63 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01292% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 292% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 23 of 52 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 55c | +3.1% | 50 |
The 52 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 52 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestoneslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,637 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 32c | -14.8% | 50 |
The 19 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $525 | before 73%in play 27%, over 11 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 26 before the start | 7 h 16to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3 | -0.03 | 57c | -1% | 49 |
The 11 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $1,026 | before 89%in play 11%, over 36 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 03 before the start | 10 h 49to the end, median over 82 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7 | -0.02 | 55c | -4.1% | 49 |
The 36 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $1,421 | before 98%in play 2%, over 46 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 21 before the start | 7 h 14to the end, median over 100 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9 | -0.02 | 56c | -6.1% | 49 |
The 46 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $1,016 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 03 before the start | 7 h 21to the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8 | -0.05 | 55c | -12% | 48 |
The 14 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $27,580 | before 97%in play 3%, over 607 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 29 before the start | 8 h 54to the end, median over 1,304 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 299 of 608 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 608 | 51%310 W · 298 L | -13.0 | -0.02 | 53c | -3.2% | 48 |
The 608 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 608 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $3,595 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 215 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 36 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 69 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -2.1 | -0.03 | 60c | -8.8% | 48 |
The 69 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 69 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $6,421 | before 95%in play 5%, over 201 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 before the start | 9 h 56to the end, median over 491 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 129 of 201 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 201 | 52.2%105 W · 96 L | -7.3 | -0.04 | 56c | -7.8% | 46 |
The 201 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 201 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $16,447 | before 95%in play 5%, over 537 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 52 before the start | 10 h 58to the end, median over 999 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 36 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 286 of 537 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 537 | 46.7%251 W · 286 L | -23.9 | -0.04 | 51c | -10.4% | 45 |
The 537 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 537 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,214 | before 33%in play 67%, over 73 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 min after the start | 3 h 32to the end, median over 125 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 65 of 73 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.5 | -0.06 | 53c | -20.3% | 45 |
The 73 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 73 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $14,905 | before 96%in play 4%, over 445 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 07 before the start | 7 h 11to the end, median over 1,878 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 282 of 449 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | -33.3 | -0.07 | 53c | -18% | 42 |
The 449 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 6,521 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 449 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 22
- What they are worth now
- $3,048bought for $3,006
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 22, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 97c | 100c | $200 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 19-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 98c | 100c | $200 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 19-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 98c | 100c | $199 |
| Market 0x6e7b…79ecbacked outcome 1 | 200 | 99c | 99c | $199 |
| Will Solana reach $140 in October? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 98c | 99c | $198 |
| Will Solana reach $150 in October? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 99c | 99c | $198 |
| Will XRP reach $2.20 in October? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 99c | 99c | $197 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 93c | 98c | $197 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in October? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 98c | 98c | $197 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 95c | 97c | $195 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.