Wallet 0xcf27…f35f
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xcf279d521e62d60848dbfba1791617dc9a99f35f
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$65,039 staked over 4,113 qualified picks in 45 categories, 23 of 45 below 50.
Best category
Europa Conference League
$938 staked over 74 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Europa Conference League boardSecond best
NHL
$392 staked over 19 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full NHL boardThird best
Crypto Milestones
$998 staked over 40 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Crypto Milestones boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,113 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category45 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $938 | before 70%in play 30%, over 74 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min before the start | 3 h 53to the end, median over 91 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 44 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 54 of 74 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +10.6 | +0.14 | 52c | +31% | 62 |
The 74 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 74 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $392 | before 26%in play 74%, over 19 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 2 h 10to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1588% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.1 | +0.16 | 57c | +26.7% | 58 |
The 19 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $998 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 56 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.7 | +0.09 | 56c | +11.2% | 56 |
The 40 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $1,173 | before 45%in play 55%, over 83 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min after the start | 2 h 03to the end, median over 121 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 34 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09121% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 121% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 68 of 83 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +6.1 | +0.07 | 58c | +12.1% | 56 |
The 83 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 83 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,905 | before 28%in play 72%, over 256 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 1 h 55to the end, median over 386 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 57 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 220 of 256 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 256 | 65.6%168 W · 88 L | +15.1 | +0.06 | 60c | +11.2% | 56 |
The 256 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 256 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $227 | before 58%in play 42%, over 12 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min before the start | 9 h 32to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1398% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1 | +0.13 | 49c | +57.9% | 56 |
The 16 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,828 | before 38%in play 62%, over 850 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 2 h 16to the end, median over 1,217 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 183 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04115% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 115% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 726 of 850 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 850 | 62.9%535 W · 315 L | +30.5 | +0.04 | 59c | +4.9% | 54 |
The 850 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 850 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $453 | before 70%in play 30%, over 33 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min before the start | 2 h 33to the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0696% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0 | +0.06 | 58c | +8.5% | 54 |
The 33 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $359 | before 74%in play 26%, over 23 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 21 before the start | 3 h 17to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4 | +0.06 | 50c | +4% | 53 |
The 23 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $2,532 | before 42%in play 58%, over 148 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 3 h 33to the end, median over 256 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 136 of 154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +4.4 | +0.03 | 54c | +6.6% | 53 |
The 154 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT | $44 | —no start of play | 22 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.30100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.30 | 70c | +43.5% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,117 | before 10%in play 90%, over 460 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 53 minresells, median over 604 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 377 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 448 of 462 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +8.4 | +0.02 | 56c | +3.8% | 52 |
The 462 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 462 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled May 18, 2026, EDT | $50 | —no start of play | 51 minresells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.21101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.21 | 79c | +25.8% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT | $100 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09114% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 114% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5 | +0.08 | 59c | -0.7% | 52 |
The 6 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $56 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4 | +0.14 | 53c | +2.6% | 52 |
The 3 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled May 12, 2026, EDT | $95 | —no start of play | 14 dresells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4 | +0.09 | 71c | +14.6% | 52 |
The 5 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,302 | before 66%in play 34%, over 90 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min before the start | 2 h 57to the end, median over 113 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 69 of 90 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +1.3 | +0.01 | 54c | -2.1% | 51 |
The 90 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 90 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,711 | before 78%in play 22%, over 125 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min before the start | 4 h 24to the end, median over 143 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 67 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02149% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 149% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 88 of 125 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +1.6 | +0.01 | 51c | +7.7% | 51 |
The 125 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 125 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $6,081 | before 21%in play 79%, over 392 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 1 h 09to the end, median over 530 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 229 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02178% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 178% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 344 of 394 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 394 | 58.6%231 W · 163 L | +4.1 | +0.01 | 58c | +2.4% | 51 |
The 394 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 394 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $2,950 | before 57%in play 43%, over 188 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 min before the start | 3 h 12to the end, median over 228 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 88 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01156% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 156% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 148 of 188 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 188 | 56.4%106 W · 82 L | +1.7 | +0.01 | 55c | -1% | 51 |
The 188 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 188 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $555 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01338% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 338% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 57c | +18.1% | 50 |
The 26 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $343 | before 31%in play 69%, over 26 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 3 h 49to the end, median over 63 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 10% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 20 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 57c | -8.7% | 50 |
The 26 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT | $309 | before 91%in play 9%, over 22 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 18 before the start | 4 h 03to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 55c | +2.4% | 50 |
The 22 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,151 | before 63%in play 37%, over 75 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min before the start | 2 h 55to the end, median over 106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 33 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 58 of 75 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 52c | +2.6% | 50 |
The 75 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 75 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $2,913 | before 53%in play 47%, over 193 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min before the start | 3 h 26to the end, median over 237 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 97 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 156 of 193 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | -1.0 | -0.01 | 55c | -0.6% | 50 |
The 193 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 193 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $24 | —too few: 2 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.08 | 8c | -100% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $772 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5 | -0.01 | 56c | -9.7% | 49 |
The 33 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,776 | before 65%in play 35%, over 126 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min before the start | 4 h 08to the end, median over 184 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 61 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 87 of 126 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.3 | -0.01 | 56c | +0.8% | 49 |
The 126 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 126 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $873 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 84 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 47 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.7 | -0.02 | 63c | -9.6% | 49 |
The 47 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 47 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $3,633 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 237 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 220 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 78 of 152 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 152 | 59.2%90 W · 62 L | -1.9 | -0.01 | 60c | -9.4% | 49 |
The 152 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 152 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $761 | —no start of play | 6 dresells, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 34 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.8 | -0.02 | 67c | 0% | 48 |
The 34 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 34 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,361 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 148 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 134 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -1.4 | -0.02 | 59c | -12.5% | 48 |
The 65 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $174 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6 | -0.08 | 58c | -34.5% | 48 |
The 8 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $13 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.57no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.57 | 56c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Aug 3, 2026, EDT | $196 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9 | -0.10 | 66c | -14.1% | 47 |
The 9 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $487 | before 72%in play 28%, over 36 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min before the start | 2 h 36to the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.6 | -0.05 | 57c | -16.5% | 47 |
The 36 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $250 | before 58%in play 42%, over 12 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 min before the start | 4 h 12to the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2 | -0.09 | 52c | -15.9% | 46 |
The 14 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $100 | —no start of play | 21 h 20resells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1 | -0.16 | 59c | -44.5% | 46 |
The 7 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $129 | before 50%in play 50%, over 10 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min before the start | 8 h 46to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4 | -0.14 | 54c | -31.9% | 46 |
The 10 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Sep 7, 2026, EDT | $2,341 | before 83%in play 17%, over 156 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 55 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 400 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 66 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 85 of 157 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | -8.5 | -0.05 | 53c | -8.8% | 45 |
The 157 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 157 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $103 | —too few: 6 picks | 3 h 49resells, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.28no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7 | -0.29 | 62c | -57.3% | 44 |
The 6 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $346 | —no start of play | 15 h 50to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5 | -0.13 | 60c | -26% | 44 |
The 19 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,276 | before 72%in play 28%, over 96 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min before the start | 3 h 57to the end, median over 111 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 47 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 68 of 96 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -7.3 | -0.08 | 53c | -15.1% | 43 |
The 96 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 96 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $1,146 | before 35%in play 65%, over 71 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 after the start | 1 h 00to the end, median over 120 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 46 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 53 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.9 | -0.08 | 53c | -24.8% | 43 |
The 71 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $693 | before 36%in play 64%, over 53 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 2 h 26to the end, median over 58 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 50 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -5.5 | -0.10 | 56c | -19.3% | 42 |
The 53 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,113 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 56
- What they are worth now
- $537bought for $546
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 56, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.