Wallet 0xcf6c…7e66
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xcf6c5492124794394dd9eac46498a8babbe47e66
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$26,317,370 staked over 3,505 qualified picks in 34 categories, 13 of 34 below 50.
Best category
MLB
$594,429 staked over 103 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.13 per pick.
See the full MLB boardSecond best
Premier League
$419,240 staked over 40 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.12 per pick.
See the full Premier League boardThird best
La Liga
$391,874 staked over 41 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full La Liga boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,505 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category34 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $594,429 | before 32%in play 68%, over 102 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 27 min after the start | 3 h 17to the end, median over 135 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1598% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 89 of 103 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +16.1 | +0.16 | 50c | +32.9% | 64 |
The 103 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 103 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $419,240 | before 90%in play 10%, over 39 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 08 before the start | 7 h 59to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1897% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 28 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.5 | +0.19 | 51c | +38.8% | 63 |
The 40 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $391,874 | before 67%in play 33%, over 40 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 49 before the start | 6 h 09to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 32 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.6 | +0.11 | 55c | +19% | 58 |
The 41 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 20, 2026, EST | $34,280 | —too few: 6 picks | 6 h 32to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2 | +0.17 | 41c | +8.7% | 54 |
The 7 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $509,839 | before 66%in play 34%, over 74 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 00 before the start | 6 h 17to the end, median over 75 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04115% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 115% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 58 of 74 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.8 | +0.04 | 48c | +8.2% | 53 |
The 74 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 74 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Apr 25, 2026, EDT | $103,475 | —too few: 6 picks | 5 h 26to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9 | +0.14 | 52c | +29.9% | 53 |
The 6 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Mar 22, 2025, EDT | $7,606 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.38100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8 | +0.38 | 62c | +70.4% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Feb 28, 2026, EST | $3,841 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 h 33to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.5495% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.57 | 43c | +131% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $639,058 | before 81%in play 19%, over 128 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 44 before the start | 6 h 21to the end, median over 135 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0294% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 103 of 128 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +3.1 | +0.02 | 46c | +3.5% | 52 |
The 128 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 128 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled May 1, 2026, EDT | $64,232 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7 | +0.08 | 67c | +19.2% | 52 |
The 8 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Nov 22, 2025, EST | $5,005 | —too few: 2 picks | 3 h 59to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.23100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5 | +0.23 | 27c | +92.3% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Dec 12, 2024, EST | $3,000 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.44100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.44 | 56c | +77.5% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $241,303 | before 79%in play 21%, over 47 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 09 before the start | 5 h 43to the end, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0175% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 41 of 47 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8 | +0.02 | 49c | +2.5% | 51 |
The 47 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 47 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Aug 22, 2026, EDT | $14,959 | —too few: 8 picks | 6 h 53to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 61% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4 | +0.04 | 46c | +4.2% | 51 |
The 8 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $1,914,436 | before 36%in play 64%, over 224 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min after the start | 4 h 19to the end, median over 343 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 42 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02193% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 193% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 195 of 229 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 229 | 51.5%118 W · 111 L | +2.6 | +0.01 | 50c | -5.1% | 51 |
The 229 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 229 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $20,329 | before 90%in play 10%, over 10 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 30 before the start | 14 h 39to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0391% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3 | +0.03 | 57c | +3% | 51 |
The 10 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2024, EDT | $4,694 | —no start of play | 21 h 08to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.25111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.23 | 77c | +29.2% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2025, EDT | $7,900 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2095% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.21 | 79c | +26.6% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $898,210 | before 71%in play 29%, over 180 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 31 before the start | 8 h 38to the end, median over 191 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01136% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 136% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 133 of 180 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +1.4 | +0.01 | 48c | +2.5% | 51 |
The 180 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 180 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,953,445 | before 29%in play 71%, over 1,443 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 2 h 58to the end, median over 2,038 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 84 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01230% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 230% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,308 of 1,464 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,464 | 49.7%727 W · 737 L | +7.7 | +0.01 | 49c | -1.4% | 51 |
The 1,464 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,464 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $62,804 | before 62%in play 38%, over 13 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min before the start | 5 h 30to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00641% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 641% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 54c | -0.4% | 50 |
The 13 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $41,980 | before 85%in play 15%, over 13 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min before the start | 4 h 48to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 54c | +3.2% | 50 |
The 13 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $859,488 | before 77%in play 23%, over 167 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 52 before the start | 9 h 49to the end, median over 169 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 133 of 167 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 167 | 49.7%83 W · 84 L | -0.5 | 0.00 | 50c | +0.4% | 50 |
The 167 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 167 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $530,586 | before 90%in play 10%, over 20 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 34 before the start | 10 h 16to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2 | -0.01 | 53c | +11.8% | 49 |
The 21 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $70,708 | before 83%in play 17%, over 18 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 45 before the start | 6 h 44to the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2 | -0.01 | 51c | -6.4% | 49 |
The 18 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $3,382,881 | before 79%in play 21%, over 137 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 00 before the start | 4 h 53to the end, median over 171 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 135 of 144 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | -0.9 | -0.01 | 50c | -8.3% | 49 |
The 144 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 144 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $1,245,142 | before 75%in play 25%, over 53 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 20 before the start | 5 h 32to the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 50 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.1 | -0.02 | 44c | -17.2% | 48 |
The 55 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $12,753 | —too few: 8 picks | 8 h 32to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7 | -0.09 | 47c | -35.5% | 48 |
The 8 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $4,760,287 | before 50%in play 50%, over 603 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 0 min before the start | 4 h 13to the end, median over 873 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 98 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 527 of 615 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 615 | 46.5%286 W · 329 L | -15.2 | -0.02 | 49c | -10.3% | 47 |
The 615 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 615 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $110,004 | before 86%in play 14%, over 14 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 58 before the start | 7 h 19to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0 | -0.07 | 50c | -16.7% | 47 |
The 14 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $40,049 | before 100%in play 0%, over 10 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 50 before the start | 6 h 12to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0 | -0.10 | 50c | -29.1% | 47 |
The 10 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $134,419 | before 85%in play 15%, over 55 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 09 before the start | 8 h 03to the end, median over 55 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.6 | -0.05 | 50c | -15.8% | 46 |
The 55 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jun 28, 2026, EDT | $8,620 | —too few: 5 picks | 12 h 07to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.34no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7 | -0.34 | 54c | -71% | 44 |
The 5 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT | $226,495 | before 71%in play 29%, over 14 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min before the start | 5 h 34to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3 | -0.16 | 52c | -36.1% | 43 |
The 14 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,505 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 7
- What they are worth now
- $17,114bought for $34,064
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 48worth $0
Its 7 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Vikings (-14.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Colts | 13,530 | 77c | 77c | $10,350 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 2,725 | 93c | 95c | $2,575 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 25,000 | 71c | 9c | $2,125 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 10,000 | 12c | 11c | $1,055 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 535.06 | 83c | 85c | $452 |
| Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 400 | 88c | 89c | $354 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 1,755 | 78c | 12c | $202 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 48. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Heat (opens in a new tab)backed Heat · settled | 29,960 | 75c | $0 | Counted |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs (opens in a new tab)backed Spurs · settled | 26,394 | 65c | $0 | Counted |
| Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti (opens in a new tab)backed Tallon Griekspoor · settled | 23,435 | 18c | $0 | Counted |
| RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 23,100 | 55c | $0 | Counted |
| Spurs vs. Thunder (opens in a new tab)backed Spurs · settled | 20,740 | 3c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.