Wallet 0xcf73…0215
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xcf7379b4b891c06d88807f6f70efa75378120215
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$9,462,462 staked over 20,425 qualified picks in 26 categories, 14 of 26 below 50.
Best category
Lol
$1,756 staked over 24 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Lol boardSecond best
Australian A League
$18,084 staked over 123 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardThird best
Ncaa Basketball
$827 staked over 3 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Ncaa Basketball boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 20,425 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category26 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lol Inactivelast settled May 4, 2026, EDT | $1,756 | before 100%in play 0%, over 24 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 24 before the start | 13 h 22to the end, median over 90 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1596% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.8 | +0.16 | 59c | +32.4% | 59 |
The 24 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $18,084 | before 100%in play 0%, over 123 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 before the start | 5 h 51to the end, median over 193 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0897% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 69 of 123 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +9.5 | +0.08 | 50c | +20% | 57 |
The 123 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 123 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 5, 2026, EDT | $827 | —too few: 3 picks | 8 h 05to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.5098% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5 | +0.52 | 48c | +106.6% | 56 |
The 3 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $237,160 | before 100%in play 0%, over 674 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 41 before the start | 6 h 11to the end, median over 1,076 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 110 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0391% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 286 of 674 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 674 | 46.9%316 W · 358 L | +18.6 | +0.03 | 44c | +12.8% | 53 |
The 674 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 674 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $207,068 | before 100%in play 0%, over 653 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 22 before the start | 9 h 16to the end, median over 978 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 28 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0392% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 346 of 654 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 654 | 52.3%342 W · 312 L | +18.1 | +0.03 | 50c | +5.7% | 53 |
The 654 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 654 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $882,052 | before >99%in play <1%, over 2,510 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 00 before the start | 9 h 25to the end, median over 3,074 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 90 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0290% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,037 of 2,513 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,513 | 46.5%1,169 W · 1,344 L | +51.0 | +0.02 | 44c | +5.7% | 52 |
The 2,513 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,513 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $472,572 | before 100%in play 0%, over 995 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 23 before the start | 7 h 43to the end, median over 1,971 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0292% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 379 of 995 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 995 | 47.9%477 W · 518 L | +18.7 | +0.02 | 46c | +7.1% | 52 |
The 995 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 995 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $339,046 | before >99%in play <1%, over 695 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 before the start | 5 h 12to the end, median over 1,223 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0187% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 301 of 695 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +10.5 | +0.02 | 47c | +3% | 52 |
The 695 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 695 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled May 2, 2026, EDT | $55 | —too few: 1 pick | 8 h 21to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2689% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.29 | 71c | +41.4% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $644,235 | before 99%in play 1%, over 1,442 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 27 before the start | 8 h 45to the end, median over 2,723 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 126 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 517 of 1,443 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,443 | 48.4%698 W · 745 L | +10.8 | +0.01 | 48c | -0.2% | 51 |
The 1,443 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,443 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $251,470 | before 99%in play 1%, over 638 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 58 before the start | 7 h 06to the end, median over 1,131 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 86 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 61% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 274 of 638 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 638 | 46.4%296 W · 342 L | +3.4 | +0.01 | 46c | -4.3% | 51 |
The 638 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 638 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $532,916 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,297 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 55 before the start | 6 h 18to the end, median over 2,123 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 160 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 54% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 524 of 1,297 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,297 | 47.6%617 W · 680 L | +5.1 | 0.00 | 47c | +2.3% | 50 |
The 1,297 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,297 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $880,231 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,774 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 58 before the start | 6 h 19to the end, median over 2,893 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 200 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 792 of 1,774 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,774 | 51.3%910 W · 864 L | -7.8 | 0.00 | 52c | +0.1% | 50 |
The 1,774 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,774 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $2,864,232 | before >99%in play <1%, over 3,889 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 39 before the start | 14 h 58to the end, median over 6,686 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,208 of 3,890 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,890 | 45.9%1,787 W · 2,103 L | -18.4 | 0.00 | 46c | -3.1% | 49 |
The 3,890 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,890 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $573,699 | before >99%in play <1%, over 971 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 20 before the start | 5 h 52to the end, median over 1,578 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 100 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 438 of 971 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 971 | 48.1%467 W · 504 L | -5.4 | -0.01 | 49c | +2.2% | 49 |
The 971 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 971 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $235,986 | before 99%in play 1%, over 1,518 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 55 before the start | 12 h 22to the end, median over 1,993 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 139 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 822 of 1,518 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,518 | 47.2%717 W · 801 L | -8.5 | -0.01 | 48c | -2.1% | 49 |
The 1,518 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,518 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $406,797 | before 100%in play 0%, over 734 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 02 before the start | 7 h 54to the end, median over 1,767 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 237 of 735 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 735 | 41%301 W · 434 L | -5.5 | -0.01 | 42c | -2.6% | 49 |
The 735 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 735 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $83,509 | before 100%in play 0%, over 197 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 42 before the start | 9 h 09to the end, median over 213 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 90 of 197 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | -2.8 | -0.01 | 48c | +5% | 49 |
The 197 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 197 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Jul 12, 2026, EDT | $1,871 | —too few: 9 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4 | -0.05 | 49c | -8.9% | 49 |
The 9 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $437,976 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,261 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 58 before the start | 7 h 45to the end, median over 2,120 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 99 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 468 of 1,262 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,262 | 44.6%563 W · 699 L | -17.1 | -0.01 | 46c | -5.3% | 49 |
The 1,262 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,262 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled May 21, 2026, EDT | $2,329 | before 100%in play 0%, over 67 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 31 before the start | 10 h 08to the end, median over 150 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6 | -0.02 | 56c | -5.3% | 48 |
The 67 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $142,631 | before 100%in play 0%, over 425 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 14 before the start | 7 h 18to the end, median over 675 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 54 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 207 of 425 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 425 | 42.8%182 W · 243 L | -9.5 | -0.02 | 45c | -4.1% | 48 |
The 425 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 425 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $243,019 | before 100%in play 0%, over 469 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 29 before the start | 16 h 09to the end, median over 532 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 190 of 469 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 469 | 46.9%220 W · 249 L | -14.5 | -0.03 | 50c | -7.2% | 47 |
The 469 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 469 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled May 3, 2026, EDT | $734 | before 100%in play 0%, over 22 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 07 before the start | 8 h 32to the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0 | -0.09 | 45c | -38.1% | 45 |
The 22 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Apr 14, 2026, EDT | $1,712 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 58 before the start | 9 h 42to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9 | -0.13 | 49c | -25.2% | 45 |
The 14 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled May 4, 2026, EDT | $493 | before 92%in play 8%, over 12 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 min before the start | 9 h 49to the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8 | -0.24 | 49c | -32.3% | 42 |
The 12 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 20,425 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 256
- What they are worth now
- $132,765bought for $133,397
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 48worth $4,683
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 256, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 16,718 | 75c | 74c | $12,288 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 9,579 | 39c | 41c | $3,879 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 8,036 | 38c | 37c | $2,933 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 2,500 | 89c | 89c | $2,213 |
| Buccaneers vs. Panthers (opens in a new tab)backed Panthers | 3,772 | 60c | 59c | $2,206 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 3,750 | 54c | 54c | $2,006 |
| Dolphins vs. Jets (opens in a new tab)backed Jets | 3,000 | 66c | 67c | $1,995 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 4,750 | 42c | 42c | $1,971 |
| Rams vs. Raiders (opens in a new tab)backed Rams | 3,248 | 61c | 61c | $1,965 |
| Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 3,697 | 50c | 50c | $1,830 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 48. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0xaf54…d61abacked outcome 1 | 2,646 | 52c | $1,323 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x755f…7f0ebacked outcome 1 | 2,500 | 65c | $1,250 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xac7a…f1a1backed outcome 1 | 2,457 | 56c | $1,228 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xd59a…364fbacked outcome 1 | 1,250 | 50c | $625 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xb348…3f95backed outcome 1 | 500 | 58c | $250 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.