Wallet 0xd218…b5c9
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$25,649,191 staked over 45,946 qualified picks in 53 categories, 36 of 53 below 50.
Best category
Commodities
$1,578 staked over 29 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Commodities boardSecond best
Fed Rates
$324,365 staked over 45 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Fed Rates boardThird best
Macro Indicators
$6,009 staked over 78 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Macro Indicators boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 45,946 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category53 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $1,578 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 158 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0885% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.8 | +0.10 | 59c | +21.4% | 56 |
The 29 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $324,365 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 94 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0584% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 17 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9 | +0.06 | 49c | +9.1% | 55 |
The 45 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $6,009 | —no start of play | 17 dto the end, median over 299 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 73% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 30 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +4.2 | +0.05 | 59c | +0.9% | 54 |
The 78 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $15,012 | —too few: 2 picks | 14 h 38to the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1694% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2 | +0.17 | 40c | +43.9% | 54 |
The 7 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $40,708 | before 0%in play 100%, over 28 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 h 58 after the start | 1 dto the end, median over 154 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04138% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 138% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2 | +0.03 | 33c | -36.1% | 52 |
The 39 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $116,185 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 1,501 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 169 of 340 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | +6.8 | +0.02 | 55c | -4.2% | 52 |
The 340 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 340 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $102,885 | before 7%in play 93%, over 323 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start | 2 h 38to the end, median over 708 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 286 of 323 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 323 | 42.4%137 W · 186 L | +6.2 | +0.02 | 40c | +1.7% | 52 |
The 323 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 323 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $163,138 | before 20%in play 80%, over 455 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min after the start | 4 h 08to the end, median over 657 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 388 of 457 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 457 | 38.1%174 W · 283 L | +6.3 | +0.01 | 37c | -24.3% | 51 |
The 457 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 457 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $255,408 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 2,321 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 258 of 566 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 566 | 54.9%311 W · 255 L | +7.5 | +0.01 | 54c | -3% | 51 |
The 566 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 566 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $80,272 | before 14%in play 86%, over 28 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start | 7 dto the end, median over 117 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 29 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7 | +0.02 | 39c | -22.9% | 51 |
The 39 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $36,240 | —no start of play | 22 dto the end, median over 578 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 58% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 44 of 125 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.6 | +0.01 | 47c | -0.2% | 51 |
The 125 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 125 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $383,720 | before 16%in play 84%, over 437 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 37 after the start | 2 h 31to the end, median over 544 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 371 of 440 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 440 | 31.4%138 W · 302 L | +3.9 | +0.01 | 30c | -10.1% | 51 |
The 440 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 440 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $169,194 | before 72%in play 28%, over 3,522 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 05 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 14,054 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,817 of 3,630 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,630 | 59%2,142 W · 1,488 L | +24.0 | +0.01 | 58c | -3.7% | 51 |
The 3,630 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,630 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $94,403 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 1,124 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 61 of 169 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +1.1 | +0.01 | 45c | -14.5% | 51 |
The 169 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 169 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $100,873 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 217 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 52 of 81 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 41c | -20% | 51 |
The 81 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 81 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $7,363 | —no start of play | 55 dto the end, median over 191 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 14 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3 | +0.01 | 41c | -17.3% | 51 |
The 24 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $19,795 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 1,072 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 61 of 176 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +1.0 | +0.01 | 45c | -18.2% | 51 |
The 176 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 176 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2025, EDT | $1,009 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1 | -0.04 | 4c | -100% | 50 |
The 3 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $151,991 | before 7%in play 93%, over 512 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 2 h 30to the end, median over 1,089 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 459 of 512 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 512 | 37.7%193 W · 319 L | -2.6 | -0.01 | 38c | -29.1% | 49 |
The 512 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 512 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Feb 25, 2026, EST | $69 | —no start of play | 20 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.07 | 57c | -26.1% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $5,359,289 | before 19%in play 81%, over 4,648 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 2 h 21to the end, median over 8,533 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3,931 of 4,812 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4,812 | 38%1,829 W · 2,983 L | -29.0 | -0.01 | 39c | -25.1% | 49 |
The 4,812 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4,812 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 5, 2026, EDT | $1,553,920 | before 8%in play 92%, over 2,555 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 4 h 02to the end, median over 4,251 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,255 of 2,555 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9 | -0.01 | 42c | -20.2% | 49 |
The 2,555 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,555 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $19 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.17 | 17c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $352,493 | before 7%in play 93%, over 803 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 1 h 45to the end, median over 1,525 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 742 of 817 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 817 | 31.7%259 W · 558 L | -6.8 | -0.01 | 33c | -26.3% | 49 |
The 817 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 817 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $264,615 | before 7%in play 93%, over 920 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start | 1 h 44to the end, median over 1,773 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 778 of 921 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 921 | 41.9%386 W · 535 L | -8.3 | -0.01 | 43c | -17.1% | 49 |
The 921 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 921 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Jan 3, 2026, EST | $2,585 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4 | -0.07 | 7c | -100% | 49 |
The 5 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $910,797 | before 7%in play 93%, over 791 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 40 after the start | 2 h 54to the end, median over 1,394 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 615 of 816 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 816 | 44.5%363 W · 453 L | -10.5 | -0.01 | 46c | -12.1% | 49 |
The 816 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 816 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $584,970 | before 4%in play 96%, over 1,310 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 3 h 38to the end, median over 1,889 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,203 of 1,319 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,319 | 39.1%516 W · 803 L | -17.0 | -0.01 | 40c | -12.8% | 49 |
The 1,319 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,319 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $155,389 | before 86%in play 14%, over 129 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 08 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 266 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 66 of 139 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -2.3 | -0.02 | 34c | -44.9% | 48 |
The 139 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 139 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,884,083 | before 10%in play 90%, over 9,270 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 2 h 20to the end, median over 17,652 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7,834 of 9,345 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9,345 | 37.6%3,516 W · 5,829 L | -139.5 | -0.01 | 39c | -20.1% | 48 |
The 9,345 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9,345 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $398,236 | before 3%in play 97%, over 1,532 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start | 3 h 07to the end, median over 3,430 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,361 of 1,533 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,533 | 34.4%528 W · 1,005 L | -23.4 | -0.02 | 36c | -23.5% | 48 |
The 1,533 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,533 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $628,949 | before 5%in play 95%, over 802 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 56 after the start | 2 h 08to the end, median over 1,286 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 589 of 807 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -13.1 | -0.02 | 46c | -9.4% | 48 |
The 807 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 807 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $231,440 | before 2%in play 98%, over 1,147 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 3 h 10to the end, median over 3,036 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 967 of 1,147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,147 | 33.6%385 W · 762 L | -22.1 | -0.02 | 35c | -24.9% | 48 |
The 1,147 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $387,267 | before 7%in play 93%, over 1,244 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 04 after the start | 3 h 05to the end, median over 2,771 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,131 of 1,252 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,252 | 33.3%417 W · 835 L | -24.3 | -0.02 | 35c | -29.2% | 48 |
The 1,252 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,252 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $193,377 | before 4%in play 96%, over 1,034 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 3 h 05to the end, median over 2,400 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 885 of 1,034 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,034 | 32.5%336 W · 698 L | -22.5 | -0.02 | 35c | -26.8% | 48 |
The 1,034 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,034 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $295,932 | before <1%in play >99%, over 1,490 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 3 h 04to the end, median over 3,396 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,306 of 1,490 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,490 | 36%536 W · 954 L | -33.5 | -0.02 | 38c | -30.4% | 48 |
The 1,490 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,490 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $412,833 | before 3%in play 97%, over 1,052 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start | 2 h 40to the end, median over 2,125 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 977 of 1,055 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,055 | 32%338 W · 717 L | -24.7 | -0.02 | 34c | -26.6% | 47 |
The 1,055 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,055 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $1,833 | —no start of play | 41 dto the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8 | -0.10 | 47c | -37.6% | 47 |
The 8 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $13,883 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 461 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.0 | -0.03 | 44c | -23% | 47 |
The 59 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 59 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $198,111 | before 3%in play 97%, over 636 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 2 h 56to the end, median over 1,409 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 588 of 636 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 636 | 34.3%218 W · 418 L | -16.5 | -0.03 | 37c | -22% | 47 |
The 636 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 636 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $2,745 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 413 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.4 | -0.04 | 53c | -27.6% | 47 |
The 61 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $533,042 | before 7%in play 93%, over 1,002 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min after the start | 4 h 08to the end, median over 1,637 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 868 of 1,042 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,042 | 35.6%371 W · 671 L | -31.3 | -0.03 | 39c | -26.8% | 47 |
The 1,042 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,042 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPO Inactivelast settled Jul 31, 2026, EDT | $1,716 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0 | -0.10 | 50c | -40% | 47 |
The 10 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $553 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 84 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1 | -0.11 | 51c | -37.9% | 47 |
The 10 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $335,745 | before 24%in play 76%, over 556 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 4 h 23to the end, median over 761 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 492 of 576 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 576 | 29.7%171 W · 405 L | -21.6 | -0.04 | 33c | -34.5% | 46 |
The 576 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 576 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $167,808 | before 14%in play 86%, over 532 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start | 3 h 57to the end, median over 741 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 499 of 553 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 553 | 32.7%181 W · 372 L | -25.1 | -0.05 | 37c | -34.8% | 45 |
The 553 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 553 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,571,029 | before 12%in play 88%, over 1,702 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min after the start | 3 h 25to the end, median over 2,392 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,592 of 1,752 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,752 | 30.4%532 W · 1,220 L | -78.7 | -0.04 | 35c | -34.6% | 45 |
The 1,752 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,752 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,120,442 | before 20%in play 80%, over 2,634 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 3 h 44to the end, median over 3,678 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,416 of 2,655 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,655 | 32.7%868 W · 1,787 L | -124.6 | -0.05 | 37c | -35.8% | 45 |
The 2,655 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,655 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $17,068 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2 | -0.11 | 41c | -52.9% | 45 |
The 20 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $348,415 | before 9%in play 91%, over 409 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 2 h 07to the end, median over 591 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 363 of 416 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 416 | 27.4%114 W · 302 L | -23.6 | -0.06 | 33c | -39.5% | 44 |
The 416 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 416 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $943,884 | before 19%in play 81%, over 459 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min after the start | 5 h 32to the end, median over 659 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 367 of 462 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 462 | 28.1%130 W · 332 L | -27.2 | -0.06 | 34c | -46.8% | 44 |
The 462 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 462 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $32,037 | before 0%in play 100%, over 133 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 230 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 127 of 133 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -8.8 | -0.07 | 40c | -33.4% | 44 |
The 133 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 133 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $674,468 | before 18%in play 82%, over 1,390 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min after the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 1,897 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,326 of 1,420 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,420 | 25.5%362 W · 1,058 L | -95.2 | -0.07 | 32c | -47.1% | 43 |
The 1,420 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 45,946 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,420 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
This wallet holds more positions than we read. We counted at least 500 running positions and stopped there. So no figure is shown: one side of a hedge could be in the part we did not reach. Wallets this size are almost certainly market makers, not forecasters. The record above is not affected.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.