https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xd570e634aeb745d6501566dba5f81a555cc7e4f8
Rebuilt .
Tailer profilescored on resolved markets · held to resolution
Where its weight is
Lol
13 of its 24 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Lol boardIts best Category
Lol
which is also where its weight is
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Lol board1 below 50 · 2 at or above · 3 Categories scored
- Qualified picks
- 24
- Categories scored
- 3
- Categories below 50
- 1
Best Category: Lol, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).
Best Category Lol at 62 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.
Record by Category3 Categories
vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked . We read the wallets we follow in rotation; the one we have gone longest without asking about was asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 49
- What they are worth now
- $106,100bought for $106,365
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 49, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?backed No | 100,000shares | 50c | 75c | $74,650 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?backed Yes | 100,000shares | 50c | 25c | $25,350 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Abacked FURIA | 17,573shares | 35c | 34c | $5,887 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?backed No | 5shares | 100c | 100c | $5 |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?backed No | 5shares | 100c | 100c | $5 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?backed No | 5shares | 100c | 99c | $5 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?backed No | 5shares | 99c | 99c | $5 |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?backed No | 5shares | 100c | 99c | $5 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?backed No | 5shares | 100c | 99c | $5 |
| Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?backed No | 5shares | 99c | 99c | $5 |
Paid is Polymarket’s own average price over what the wallet still holds — it is not the entry price TailMyPicks derives for a scored pick, which is the volume-weighted average of the buys on the side it picked. Now is what the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last catalogue refresh. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not resolved and there is nothing yet to be right about.
These figures and the record above never add up. What this wallet is holding on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks has scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways — the record covers markets that have already resolved and been graded, these figures cover money that is still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.
The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.
The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.
Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.