Wallet 0xd619…c461
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xd619b68e64f256f8ddd185b261c8679eacf0c461
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,896,151 staked over 7,574 qualified picks in 26 categories, 17 of 26 below 50.
Best category
Euroleague
$3,637 staked over 30 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardSecond best
MLB
$348,258 staked over 929 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full MLB boardThird best
Fifa International
$28,129 staked over 274 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.02 per pick.
See the full Fifa International boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 7,574 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category26 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $3,637 | before 100%in play 0%, over 30 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 00 before the start | 9 h 41to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.7 | +0.12 | 54c | +25.1% | 57 |
The 30 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $348,258 | before 100%in play 0%, over 929 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 56 before the start | 5 h 42to the end, median over 1,212 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 56 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0394% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 704 of 929 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 929 | 49.4%459 W · 470 L | +24.8 | +0.03 | 47c | +6.1% | 53 |
The 929 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 929 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $28,129 | before 100%in play 0%, over 274 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 00 before the start | 4 h 52to the end, median over 414 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0278% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 182 of 274 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 274 | 39.4%108 W · 166 L | +5.7 | +0.02 | 37c | +3.3% | 52 |
The 274 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 274 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $117,336 | before 94%in play 6%, over 403 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 41 before the start | 6 h 11to the end, median over 466 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0188% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 160 of 403 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +6.5 | +0.02 | 45c | +4.6% | 52 |
The 403 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 403 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT | $4,662 | —too few: 6 picks | 3 h 27to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3 | +0.05 | 62c | -5.5% | 51 |
The 6 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,441 | before 100%in play 0%, over 71 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 27 before the start | 11 h 18to the end, median over 122 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 23 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9 | +0.01 | 52c | -7.3% | 51 |
The 71 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,105 | before 100%in play 0%, over 132 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 59 before the start | 19 h 28to the end, median over 264 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 41 of 132 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 132 | 62.1%82 W · 50 L | +1.4 | +0.01 | 61c | +6.5% | 51 |
The 132 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 132 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $76,628 | before 99%in play 1%, over 271 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 13 before the start | 8 h 46to the end, median over 314 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 114 of 271 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.3 | 0.00 | 39c | -0.3% | 50 |
The 271 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 271 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $78,510 | before >99%in play <1%, over 558 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 40 before the start | 8 h 42to the end, median over 827 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 53 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00354% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 354% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 288 of 558 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 558 | 47.5%265 W · 293 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 47c | +2.1% | 50 |
The 558 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 558 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,197 | before 100%in play 0%, over 133 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 14 before the start | 14 h 58to the end, median over 177 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 53 of 133 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2 | 0.00 | 48c | -7.3% | 50 |
The 133 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 133 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $5,951 | before 100%in play 0%, over 75 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 h 43 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 108 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 75 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 60c | -2.9% | 50 |
The 75 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 75 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $197,560 | before 97%in play 3%, over 1,012 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 34 before the start | 7 h 54to the end, median over 1,361 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 44 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 388 of 1,013 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,013 | 37.4%379 W · 634 L | -2.3 | 0.00 | 38c | +0.7% | 50 |
The 1,013 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,013 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $42,537 | before 100%in play 0%, over 190 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 30 before the start | 7 h 08to the end, median over 216 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 118 of 190 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6 | 0.00 | 54c | +2.5% | 50 |
The 190 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 190 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,783 | before 100%in play 0%, over 19 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 26 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 48c | -12.1% | 50 |
The 19 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $17,265 | before 100%in play 0%, over 198 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 01 before the start | 17 h 32to the end, median over 345 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 50 of 198 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -0.8 | 0.00 | 56c | -8.2% | 50 |
The 198 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 198 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $256,152 | before 99%in play 1%, over 935 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 51 before the start | 10 h 56to the end, median over 1,087 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 36 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 422 of 935 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 935 | 33.9%317 W · 618 L | -12.2 | -0.01 | 35c | -4.5% | 49 |
The 935 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 935 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $137,838 | before 100%in play 0%, over 281 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 37 before the start | 4 h 25to the end, median over 323 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 182 of 281 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 281 | 44.8%126 W · 155 L | -5.8 | -0.02 | 47c | -8.7% | 48 |
The 281 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 281 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $13,743 | before 100%in play 0%, over 83 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 11 before the start | 13 h 12to the end, median over 136 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 83 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -2.1 | -0.02 | 46c | -9.9% | 48 |
The 83 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 83 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $16,258 | before 99%in play 1%, over 87 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 51 before the start | 10 h 26to the end, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 37 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.3 | -0.03 | 55c | -10.7% | 48 |
The 87 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $235,219 | before >99%in play <1%, over 970 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 44 before the start | 8 h 42to the end, median over 1,198 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 400 of 970 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 970 | 37.4%363 W · 607 L | -23.9 | -0.02 | 40c | -6.7% | 47 |
The 970 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 970 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $9,938 | before 60%in play 40%, over 10 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 30 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 183 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0 | -0.10 | 70c | -13.1% | 47 |
The 10 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,439 | before 100%in play 0%, over 36 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 08 before the start | 13 h 07to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8 | -0.05 | 44c | -38.1% | 47 |
The 36 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $54,941 | before 100%in play 0%, over 123 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 05 before the start | 6 h 22to the end, median over 159 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 69 of 123 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -4.9 | -0.04 | 47c | -7.2% | 46 |
The 123 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 123 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,977 | before 100%in play 0%, over 133 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 h 10 before the start | 21 h 45to the end, median over 214 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 48 of 133 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -5.9 | -0.04 | 50c | -10.2% | 46 |
The 133 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 133 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $165,709 | before >99%in play <1%, over 269 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 20 before the start | 7 h 49to the end, median over 302 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 145 of 269 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 269 | 43.9%118 W · 151 L | -12.5 | -0.05 | 49c | -10.6% | 45 |
The 269 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 269 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $27,940 | before 100%in play 0%, over 345 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 51 before the start | 13 h 42to the end, median over 393 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 65 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 179 of 345 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -23.1 | -0.07 | 51c | -14.2% | 43 |
The 345 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 7,574 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 345 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 601
- What they are worth now
- $40,188bought for $40,686
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 43worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 601, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Jets | 3,000 | 80c | 80c | $2,385 |
| Spread: Raiders (-3.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Rams | 3,000 | 75c | 75c | $2,235 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Chiefs | 3,000 | 73c | 74c | $2,205 |
| Spread: Falcons (-3.5) (opens in a new tab)backed 49ers | 3,000 | 71c | 72c | $2,145 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-10.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Eagles | 3,000 | 71c | 71c | $2,115 |
| Spread: Saints (-3.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Steelers | 2,800 | 71c | 71c | $1,974 |
| Spread: Vikings (-14.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Colts | 2,057 | 76c | 76c | $1,553 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage (opens in a new tab)backed Legacy | 1,325 | 72c | 73c | $960 |
| Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 2,000 | 49c | 45c | $890 |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B (opens in a new tab)backed PARIVISION | 1,000 | 86c | 89c | $885 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 43. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 4,270 | 10c | $0 | Counted |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A (opens in a new tab)backed Aurora Gaming · settled | 2,000 | 44c | $0 | Counted |
| Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 2,000 | 5c | $0 | Counted |
| Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs ZOTIX (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs (opens in a new tab)backed ZOTIX · settled | 1,708 | 31c | $0 | Counted |
| Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic (opens in a new tab)backed Dino Prizmic · settled | 1,600 | 36c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.