Wallet 0xd696…8a49
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xd6966eb1ae7b52320ba7ab1016680198c9e08a49
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$16,472,467 staked over 4,867 qualified picks in 28 categories, 10 of 28 below 50.
Best category
Serie A
$27,905 staked over 19 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardSecond best
WNBA
$82,943 staked over 62 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardThird best
UFC
$906,534 staked over 145 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full UFC boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,867 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category28 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Aug 23, 2026, EDT | $27,905 | before 26%in play 74%, over 19 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 4 h 03to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 17 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.6 | +0.24 | 44c | +48.5% | 62 |
The 19 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $82,943 | before 90%in play 10%, over 62 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 12 before the start | 7 h 55to the end, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 37 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7 | +0.14 | 49c | +28.5% | 61 |
The 62 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $906,534 | before 76%in play 24%, over 145 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 h 50 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 158 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 84 of 145 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +9.8 | +0.07 | 53c | +14.8% | 56 |
The 145 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 145 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $11,982 | before 92%in play 8%, over 24 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 38 before the start | 7 h 05to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3 | +0.09 | 49c | +29% | 55 |
The 24 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $330,795 | before 96%in play 4%, over 159 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 37 before the start | 11 h 32to the end, median over 171 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0597% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 92 of 159 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +8.4 | +0.05 | 46c | +15.4% | 55 |
The 159 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 159 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $129,968 | before 100%in play 0%, over 58 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 41 before the start | 10 h 47to the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 46 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.7 | +0.06 | 47c | +4.9% | 55 |
The 58 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $104 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 h 38to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.48100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0 | +0.48 | 52c | +94.2% | 54 |
The 2 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,771,893 | before 90%in play 10%, over 526 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 14 before the start | 8 h 20to the end, median over 533 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 446 of 526 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 526 | 52.5%276 W · 250 L | +18.5 | +0.04 | 49c | +8.4% | 54 |
The 526 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 526 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT | $126,472 | before 63%in play 37%, over 49 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 59 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 58 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0494% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.3 | +0.05 | 48c | +9.5% | 53 |
The 49 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,702,622 | before 89%in play 11%, over 392 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 10 before the start | 9 h 45to the end, median over 421 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 207 of 394 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +12.4 | +0.03 | 51c | +6.6% | 53 |
The 394 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 394 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $1,428,983 | before 77%in play 23%, over 370 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 28 before the start | 3 h 50to the end, median over 449 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 263 of 370 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 370 | 50.3%186 W · 184 L | +8.6 | +0.02 | 48c | +3.4% | 52 |
The 370 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 370 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $44,192 | before 88%in play 12%, over 26 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min before the start | 7 h 09to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0495% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 22 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1 | +0.04 | 50c | +11% | 52 |
The 26 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $1,829,690 | before 91%in play 9%, over 361 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 04 before the start | 5 h 53to the end, median over 393 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02122% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 122% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 262 of 361 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 361 | 51.5%186 W · 175 L | +6.9 | +0.02 | 50c | +5.8% | 52 |
The 361 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 361 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,075,336 | before 87%in play 13%, over 367 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 17 before the start | 7 h 08to the end, median over 394 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 184 of 367 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 367 | 50.1%184 W · 183 L | +5.2 | +0.01 | 49c | +5% | 51 |
The 367 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 367 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $99,232 | before 30%in play 70%, over 30 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min after the start | 3 h 53to the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 24 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7 | +0.02 | 44c | +18.6% | 51 |
The 30 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $14,703 | before 93%in play 7%, over 14 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 19 before the start | 11 h 23to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4 | +0.03 | 47c | -8.3% | 51 |
The 14 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $2,848 | —too few: 5 picks | 8 h 15to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2 | +0.03 | 37c | +17.3% | 51 |
The 5 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 2, 2026, EDT | $43,837 | before 100%in play 0%, over 16 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 33 before the start | 16 h 02to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00158% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 158% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 50c | -4.3% | 50 |
The 16 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT | $22,215 | before 50%in play 50%, over 16 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min before the start | 5 h 21to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4 | -0.03 | 46c | -11.8% | 49 |
The 16 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $27,158 | before 52%in play 48%, over 21 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min before the start | 4 h 50to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6 | -0.03 | 46c | +9.4% | 49 |
The 21 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $1,649,490 | before 95%in play 5%, over 841 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 before the start | 6 h 23to the end, median over 922 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 605 of 841 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3 | -0.02 | 49c | -3.9% | 48 |
The 841 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 841 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 15, 2026, EST | $3,719 | —too few: 1 pick | 1 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.47no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5 | -0.47 | 47c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $60,314 | before 100%in play 0%, over 39 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 55 before the start | 14 h 20to the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.3 | -0.03 | 44c | -22.8% | 48 |
The 39 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,955,732 | before 91%in play 9%, over 1,265 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 34 before the start | 8 h 37to the end, median over 1,375 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 974 of 1,268 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,268 | 47.8%606 W · 662 L | -27.3 | -0.02 | 50c | -5.1% | 48 |
The 1,268 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,268 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 13, 2026, EDT | $5,860 | —too few: 3 picks | 15 h 25to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.32no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9 | -0.29 | 29c | -100% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Dec 20, 2025, EST | $5,194 | —no start of play | 3 h 13to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.59no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2 | -0.59 | 59c | -100% | 45 |
The 2 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $99,617 | before 76%in play 24%, over 38 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 53 before the start | 14 h 53to the end, median over 42 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 38 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.3 | -0.09 | 46c | -22.4% | 44 |
The 38 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 38 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $13,129 | before 100%in play 0%, over 11 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 09 before the start | 15 h 45to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9 | -0.26 | 54c | -55.7% | 41 |
The 11 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,867 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 7
- What they are worth now
- $6,921bought for $6,196
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 49worth $0
Its 7 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Bengals | 10,654 | 47c | 54c | $5,700 |
| UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) (opens in a new tab)backed Lucia Szabová | 386.01 | 80c | 81c | $311 |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card) (opens in a new tab)backed Renato Moicano | 664.13 | 44c | 44c | $289 |
| Spread: Panthers (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Buccaneers | 558.85 | 43c | 48c | $265 |
| Steelers vs. Saints (opens in a new tab)backed Steelers | 207.67 | 58c | 61c | $126 |
| Foster Moreau: Anytime Touchdown (opens in a new tab)backed No | 136 | 75c | 87c | $118 |
| Steelers vs. Saints: 1H O/U 22.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 244.05 | 50c | 46c | $112 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 49. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 21,797 | 76c | $0 | Counted |
| Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 21,000 | 47c | $0 | Counted |
| Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · settled | 20,661 | 46c | $0 | Counted |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers (opens in a new tab)backed 49ers · settled | 14,914 | 44c | $0 | Counted |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers (opens in a new tab)backed Detroit Tigers · settled | 10,517 | 47c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.