TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd88a…a7e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$377.26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$826
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$290.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$564.34
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,579.4
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$832.31
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$338.51
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$275.91
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$325.95
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$575.02
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,321Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$1,796.73
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$105.19
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$439.88
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$205.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,853.57
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,671.68
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,631Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,766.09
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,645Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$925.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.9
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$570.79
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$367.63
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.75
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,436Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$493.49
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.02
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$281.43
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$613.43
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,626.68
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$214.93
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Kostyuk/Stearns vs Williams/Williamsbacked Kostyuk/Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$241.14
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$295.43
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,428Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,216.49
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,321.19
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,797.1
Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40%+$488.4
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$247.38
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,315.45
National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Kayla Crossbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$308.98
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,688Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$422.09
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,581.79
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$734.56
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$827.68
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$63.18
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Jetsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$336.99
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$855.51
Cardinals vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$635
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$429.12
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$723.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.