TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd986…1320

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
395
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 64 out of 100; worst Boxing at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST6048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$390
ILT20: Desert Vipers vs MI Emirates (Game 1)backed Desert Vipers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+48%+$162.86
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$680
ILT20: Desert Vipers vs Gulf Giants (Game 1)backed Desert Vipers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+30.8%+$191.31
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$182.71
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+172.4%+$720.12
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Game 4)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$97.22
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Nov 4)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,286Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+48.5%+$1,109.46
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs South Africa (Game Final)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,411Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+46.1%+$2,034.87
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs West Indies (Oct 29)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,985Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+131.6%+$2,612.19
Pakistan T20 Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Oct 28)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.75
ICC WWC: Australia vs. Englandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$533.11
ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,286.39
ICC WWC: India vs. South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,989Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+51.8%+$1,031.11
ICC WWC: New Zealand vs. South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$665.42
Asia Cup: India vs Sri Lankabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,710Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$1,539.01
Asia Cup: Pakistan vs Sri Lankabacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,785Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+72.6%+$1,295.2
Will Afghanistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.68
Asia Cup: Afghanistan vs Sri Lankabacked Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.94
Asia Cup: United Arab Emirates vs Pakistanbacked Emirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.74
Asia Cup: Afghanistan vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+231.1%+$604.83
Cricket: England vs. South Africa (Match 2) backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+64.3%+$462.01
Will Oval Invincibles win The Hundred Men's Competition 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$450.39
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST5232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$92.5
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$28.43
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+168.2%+$1,322.12
Will Triveni Continental Kings win the 2025 Tech Mahindra Global Chess League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+26.4%+$47
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+257.1%+$720
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$2,013.63
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+107.7%+$1,297.93
Speed Chess QF: Firouzja vs Nepomniachtchibacked Firouzja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+28.8%+$341.72
FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Sindarov vs Alcantara (Advances)backed Alcantara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$155.8
FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Shankland vs Esipenko (Advances)backed Shankland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$244.98
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,492.6
FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Yi vs Erigaisi (Advances)backed Erigaisi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100.6
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Samuel Sevian vs Lorenzo Lodici (Advances)backed Sevian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$393.2
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Yi Wei vs Parham Maghsoodloo (Advances)backed Wei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.4%+$10.1
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35.61
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa vs Daniil Dubov (Advances)backed Praggnanandhaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,596.06
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Venkatesh Pranav vs Nodirbek Yakubboev (Advances)backed Pranav · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$69.28
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Maxime Vachier-Lagrave vs Vladislav Artemiev (Advances)backed Vachier-Lagrave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.9%+$22.8
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus vs Richard Rapport (Advances)backed Erdogmus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$451
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$446.65
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$637.12
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$419.92
Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.34
Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,329Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$941.27
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST4348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,512.52
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,931.62
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$447.76
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15,391Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.2%+$11,568.44
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$729.98
F1 Singapore GP: Piastri vs. Norrisbacked Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+111.9%+$33
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$30.41
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$142.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+56%+$375.06
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.06
F1 Azerbaijan GP: Piastri vs. Norrisbacked Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$765
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$497.25
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$616.88
F1 Dutch GP: Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.89
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.48
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+87.4%+$511.68
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.4
F1 Hungarian GP: Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+105.2%+$127.77
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.12
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+69%+$628.37
F1 Belgian GP: Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,284.73
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Sprint Race?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$710
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.12
Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+111.2%+$148.97
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.38
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$530
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$543.1
FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.28
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,276.87
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$939.99
Will PSG vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw after regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$580
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+72.7%+$95.81
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Monterrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$455.45
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+106.9%+$618.95
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.76
Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$490
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)backed Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$435.72
Palmeiras vs. Botafogo: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$216
Will Al Hilal beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$538.65
Juventus vs. Manchester City: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+88.8%+$584.7
Will LAFC vs. Flamengo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$464.02
Will Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+151%+$193.44
Will Boca Juniors beat Auckland City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$796
Will Benfica beat Bayern Munich?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$266
Benfica vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$611.05
Will Palmeiras win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$654.32
Will Inter Miami beat Palmeiras?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.71
Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,585.43
Will Atlético Madrid beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Jannik Sinner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$189.34
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,904
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.5
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.4
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+223.5%+$345.44
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$63.23
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000.01
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:0 against Novak Djokovic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.51
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$327.17
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Will Holger Rune win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,592.58
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$476
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.9
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.49
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Džumhurbacked Džumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
French Open: Sinner vs. Gasquetbacked Gasquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.49
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Marozsánbacked Marozsán · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.2wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+36.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$356.69
Football.Fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,205.11
Will Fogo launch a token by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,072.32
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78.49
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+52.3%+$323.37
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+211%+$1,730.87
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,362Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+30.1%+$711.92
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+168.3%+$1,085.64
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,757Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+139.7%+$3,851.61
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+223.4%+$317.78
Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$25.3
Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,707Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$1,163.5
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$570
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.74
Linea FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.01
WLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$464.51
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,854Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$489.21
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11.52
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $4-6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+218.9%+$1,387.84
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $6-8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$424.19
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,927Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$1,210.83
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Noche UFC: Font vs. Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+125.2%+$556
Noche UFC: Garcia vs. Gordonbacked Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$477.59
Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. Stoltzfusbacked Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$121.14
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+73.8%+$467
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,443.8
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterlingbacked Ortega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.79
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.99
UFC Fight Night: Maheshate vs. Youngbacked Maheshate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$420
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$368.01
UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczukbacked Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$238
UFC 319: Andrade vs. Godinezbacked Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$328
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$380
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$3,100
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$332.8
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$282.83
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Bautista vs. Mixbacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$372
Silva vs. Vanbacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$4,827.12
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+123.1%+$707.69
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$985.39
Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$76.38
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,845Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+135.1%+$2,492.24
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,063.98
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$870.46
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+155.7%+$182.07
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$3,176.15
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$2,130
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$516.61
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+177.1%+$678.53
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,902Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$742.72
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+50.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$674.99
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$995.12
Israel x Syria security deal before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$116
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+44.7%+$617.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+105.6%+$228.05
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+112.5%+$585.72
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+582.4%+$291.03
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$452.89
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$16.88
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,843.71
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.12
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$531.86
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,240
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.48
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.78
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.14
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024.68
Will The Smashing Machine be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$127.2
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+123.1%+$519.39
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,060
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$761.9
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $85m and $92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.19
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $65-70m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross more than $75m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.43
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$368.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.67
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$433.57
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.34
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,127.93
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$346.61
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.74
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$1,232
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.28
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$74.55
Another US military action against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$19.63
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.69
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,334.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-77.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$825
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$485.07
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-85.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$213.6
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$244.26
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,247.36
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,452Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+41.6%+$604.76
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.64
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,108.45
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.55
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$322.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-71.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$32.04
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+278.2%+$735.59
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+167.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$748
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$329.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+134.8%+$70.95
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$674.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.39
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,209.6
Will John Wasnock win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$444.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Latvia vs Turkeybacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+102.7%+$602.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+83.6%+$737.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,631Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+70.3%+$1,146.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$432
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$1,020
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$404.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.