Wallet 0xda16…6da2
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xda16b58dec4535618332de0bdd13d081ca4c6da2
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$201,726 staked over 3,124 qualified picks in 31 categories, 17 of 31 below 50.
Best category
La Liga
$3,891 staked over 82 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.14 per pick.
See the full La Liga boardSecond best
NHL
$12,370 staked over 200 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full NHL boardThird best
Olympics
$198 staked over 6 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Olympics boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,124 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category31 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $3,891 | before 37%in play 63%, over 81 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 5 h 19to the end, median over 145 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.19103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 57 of 82 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7 | +0.18 | 50c | +42.2% | 65 |
The 82 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 82 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 9, 2026, EDT | $12,370 | before 80%in play 20%, over 200 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 h 30 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 259 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0994% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 79 of 200 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6 | +0.10 | 50c | +15.2% | 60 |
The 200 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 200 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $198 | —too few: 6 picks | 19 h 58to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.4099% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4 | +0.40 | 43c | +75.2% | 59 |
The 6 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $4,396 | before 100%in play 0%, over 68 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 h 16 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 90 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0995% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 24 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.6 | +0.10 | 49c | +16.9% | 58 |
The 68 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Jun 7, 2026, EDT | $25,326 | before 74%in play 26%, over 335 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 h 14 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 468 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0486% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 167 of 335 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5 | +0.05 | 48c | +9.4% | 55 |
The 335 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 335 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled May 28, 2026, EDT | $846 | before 100%in play 0%, over 16 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 151 h 59 before the start | 6 dto the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5 | +0.10 | 47c | +7.6% | 54 |
The 16 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 30, 2026, EDT | $1,878 | before 33%in play 67%, over 33 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 4 h 51to the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 29 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0 | +0.03 | 52c | +3.6% | 52 |
The 33 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled May 30, 2026, EDT | $5,332 | before 38%in play 62%, over 102 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 5 h 18to the end, median over 164 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 1% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 75 of 102 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6 | +0.02 | 50c | -6.3% | 51 |
The 102 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 102 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Mar 9, 2026, EDT | $68 | —too few: 1 pick | 2 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.33103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.32 | 68c | +47.1% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Apr 3, 2026, EDT | $15 | —too few: 1 pick | 1 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.30100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.30 | 70c | +42.9% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Feb 18, 2026, EST | $1,087 | before 10%in play 90%, over 20 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min after the start | 4 h 48to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 19 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5 | +0.02 | 48c | +32% | 51 |
The 20 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 10, 2026, EDT | $1,076 | before 37%in play 63%, over 19 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min after the start | 5 h 07to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 16 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4 | +0.02 | 56c | -1.1% | 51 |
The 19 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Jun 4, 2026, EDT | $6,211 | before 56%in play 44%, over 113 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min before the start | 5 h 02to the end, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 84 of 113 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7 | +0.01 | 48c | -9% | 51 |
The 113 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 113 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Jun 7, 2026, EDT | $6,756 | before 63%in play 37%, over 97 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 54 before the start | 8 h 42to the end, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01567% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 567% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 64 of 97 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 50c | -3.4% | 50 |
The 97 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 97 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jun 8, 2026, EDT | $3,426 | before 86%in play 14%, over 44 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 h 47 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 45c | -7.8% | 50 |
The 45 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Jun 6, 2026, EDT | $8,985 | before 90%in play 10%, over 124 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 90 h 36 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 158 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 125 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7 | -0.01 | 42c | -9.6% | 50 |
The 125 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 125 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled May 28, 2026, EDT | $6,744 | before 48%in play 52%, over 118 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min after the start | 5 h 34to the end, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 70 of 120 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7 | -0.01 | 52c | -1.8% | 49 |
The 120 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 120 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jun 9, 2026, EDT | $5,686 | before 100%in play 0%, over 74 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 h 25 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 111 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 25 of 77 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6 | -0.01 | 49c | -7.1% | 49 |
The 77 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 77 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled May 5, 2026, EDT | $5,953 | before 100%in play 0%, over 54 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 145 h 46 before the start | 6 dto the end, median over 72 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7 | -0.01 | 44c | +12.8% | 49 |
The 54 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled May 14, 2026, EDT | $1,548 | before 100%in play 0%, over 17 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 104 h 44 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4 | -0.03 | 55c | -1.2% | 49 |
The 17 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 2, 2026, EDT | $1,577 | before 61%in play 39%, over 41 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min before the start | 5 h 59to the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1 | -0.03 | 49c | -5.9% | 48 |
The 41 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Jun 7, 2026, EDT | $1,515 | before 100%in play 0%, over 17 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 h 11 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 34 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7 | -0.04 | 40c | -14.4% | 48 |
The 17 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jun 8, 2026, EDT | $33,629 | before 85%in play 15%, over 472 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 h 55 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 617 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 267 of 472 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 472 | 45.3%214 W · 258 L | -9.2 | -0.02 | 47c | -7.9% | 48 |
The 472 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 472 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Feb 9, 2026, EST | $931 | before 70%in play 30%, over 10 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 26 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7 | -0.07 | 57c | -20.3% | 48 |
The 10 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled May 30, 2026, EDT | $15,635 | before 75%in play 25%, over 275 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 19 before the start | 10 h 39to the end, median over 396 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 160 of 275 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0 | -0.03 | 46c | -9.3% | 47 |
The 275 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 275 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled May 20, 2026, EDT | $3,266 | before 59%in play 41%, over 46 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 h 14 before the start | 22 h 27to the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 29 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9 | -0.04 | 50c | -21.3% | 47 |
The 46 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Jun 2, 2026, EDT | $9,590 | before 53%in play 47%, over 180 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min before the start | 5 h 35to the end, median over 274 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 117 of 180 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.1 | -0.04 | 48c | -18.1% | 46 |
The 180 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 180 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $2,610 | before 29%in play 71%, over 52 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 4 h 54to the end, median over 90 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 52 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8 | -0.05 | 50c | -29.9% | 46 |
The 52 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 52 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 5, 2026, EDT | $23,994 | before 38%in play 62%, over 383 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 36to the end, median over 603 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 309 of 383 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4 | -0.05 | 50c | -16.8% | 45 |
The 383 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 383 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $6,179 | before 39%in play 61%, over 101 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 5 h 17to the end, median over 186 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 73 of 103 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3 | -0.08 | 47c | -29.6% | 43 |
The 103 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 103 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Jun 6, 2026, EDT | $1,007 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 h 47 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3 | -0.23 | 45c | -57.2% | 41 |
The 14 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,124 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1
- What they are worth now
- $9bought for $25
- Settled, not yet cashed
- at least 50worth $0
Its one running position
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka (opens in a new tab)backed Afghanistan | 60.6 | 42c | 15c | $9 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega (opens in a new tab)backed VARREL · settled | 400 | 35c | $0 | Counted |
| Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs (opens in a new tab)backed RTT100 · settled | 399.99 | 22c | $0 | Counted |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers (opens in a new tab)backed Flyers · settled | 357.2 | 36c | $0 | Counted |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens (opens in a new tab)backed Canadiens · settled | 320.38 | 51c | $0 | Counted |
| Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha (opens in a new tab)backed Natus Vincere · settled | 313.53 | 32c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.