TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda34…b1de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Movies, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$19.85
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$4.76
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.29
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.23
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$46.86
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$77.97
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.9
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.06
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$24.03
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.37
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$24.74
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$8.68
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$12.28
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$8.13
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$24.02
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.02
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$5.79
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.82
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.16
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81%+$12.05
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.83
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.57
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$70.06
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$55.78
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+45%+$37.67
Türkiye vs. Romania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-62.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Johnny Speeds (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$35.78
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.77
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$23.33
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.32
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$22.65
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$40.63
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.41
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$16.28
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Yanki Erelbacked Yanki Erel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Bonn: Guy Den Ouden vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keysbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$19.68
Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.83
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Valentina Ryserbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+124.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$29.3
SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$10.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.57
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$23.94
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$16.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$68.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$42.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$56.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Valenciabacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.