TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdacf…3c74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 64 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.02
Will the announcers say "Bench" or "Benches" 7+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$49.91
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34%+$165.34
Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.17
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.17
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$129
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+64%+$23.16
Will the announcers say "USA" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.3
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$7
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$15.97
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$531.85
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$65.36
Will the announcers say "Yellow" 10+ times during Brazil vs Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+238.8%+$287.91
Will Iran be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Austria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$240.41
Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$153.04
Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$146.1
Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$27.75
Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$183.23
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$76.59
Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$149.66
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$23.26
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$202.11
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Kidd be the next Portland Trail Blazers head coach?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$155.25
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.47
Will Jalen Brunson lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$391.06
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,284.89
Will any player score 50+ points in any game during the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$11.02
Will Julian Champagnie lead the 2026 NBA Finals in 3-pointers made?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26%+$12.05
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$159.86
NBA Playoffs: Pistons vs. Magic Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.33
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$89.9
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will the Houston Rockets win more than 52.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.39
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$219
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$28.55
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$184
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$123.43
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francisco Lindor's next team be New York Mets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Will Otto Lopez record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will there be 6+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$506.28
Will Jordan Walker hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will Willson Contreras hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jordan Walker advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.92
Will Junior Caminero advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$67.54
Will Ben Rice advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.24
Will Jac Caglianone advance to the finals of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$71.88
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$54.11
Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.5%+$330.6
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.62
Brewers vs. Cubs Series Winnerbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$25.87
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.19
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$29.22
Will Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.77
Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$39.19
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.89
Will Starmer say "Honorable" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.74
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$37.02
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,797Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$671.94
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$33.51
Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+43.2%+$29.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$61.95
Will Logan Stankoven score the most goals in a single game during the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
Will there be exactly 7 games played during the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.69
NHL Playoffs: Bruins vs. Sabres Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.47
NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Kings Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.69
Will the Nashville Predators make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$97.94
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.08
Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$57.41
Will the Vancouver Canucks make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone say "SpaceX" during NASA news conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.24
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.6
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.96
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.85
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$28.24
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.09
Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+40.7%+$49.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+90.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earningslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+161.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick19cpaid+262.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+161.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+412.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tien vs. Jodar: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+150%+$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,450
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$8.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,678Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$2,263.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.