Wallet 0xdc4f…9804
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xdc4f58a48ed4467743609fdce11eea483c759804
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,176,730 staked over 10,533 qualified picks in 17 categories, 3 of 17 below 50.
Best category
Australian A League
$2,315 staked over 39 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardSecond best
MLB
$10,893 staked over 451 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full MLB boardThird best
Premier League
$102,867 staked over 683 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full Premier League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 10,533 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category17 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $2,315 | before 100%in play 0%, over 39 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 before the start | 6 h 00to the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.1 | +0.11 | 51c | +17.9% | 57 |
The 39 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $10,893 | before 100%in play 0%, over 451 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 56 before the start | 5 h 55to the end, median over 2,793 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0385% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 365 of 451 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 451 | 53.9%243 W · 208 L | +16.3 | +0.04 | 50c | +8% | 54 |
The 451 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 451 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $102,867 | before 100%in play 0%, over 683 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 17 before the start | 9 h 08to the end, median over 993 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0389% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 347 of 683 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 683 | 51.2%350 W · 333 L | +23.8 | +0.03 | 48c | +3.3% | 54 |
The 683 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 683 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $49,848 | before 100%in play 0%, over 720 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 before the start | 6 h 18to the end, median over 1,171 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0390% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 389 of 720 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 720 | 51.9%374 W · 346 L | +21.7 | +0.03 | 49c | +7.9% | 53 |
The 720 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 720 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $72,110 | before 100%in play 0%, over 728 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 32 before the start | 6 h 02to the end, median over 1,304 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0390% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 408 of 728 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 728 | 52.5%382 W · 346 L | +21.0 | +0.03 | 50c | +6.3% | 53 |
The 728 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 728 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $180,514 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,806 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 58 before the start | 6 h 12to the end, median over 2,340 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0180% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,161 of 1,806 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,806 | 51.9%937 W · 869 L | +33.0 | +0.02 | 50c | +6.2% | 52 |
The 1,806 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,806 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $703 | before 100%in play 0%, over 39 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 19 before the start | 5 h 45to the end, median over 183 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0284% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 34 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1 | +0.03 | 51c | +3.7% | 52 |
The 39 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $269,525 | before 100%in play 0%, over 1,437 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 05 before the start | 11 h 55to the end, median over 2,703 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 790 of 1,438 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,438 | 47.8%688 W · 750 L | +23.2 | +0.02 | 46c | +3.1% | 52 |
The 1,438 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,438 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $105,540 | before 100%in play 0%, over 1,179 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 54 min before the start | 5 h 20to the end, median over 1,916 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 73% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 767 of 1,179 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,179 | 53.9%635 W · 544 L | +13.5 | +0.01 | 53c | +3.1% | 51 |
The 1,179 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,179 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $30,706 | before 100%in play 0%, over 271 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 21 before the start | 8 h 11to the end, median over 367 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 60% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 144 of 271 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | +3.3 | +0.01 | 47c | +5.9% | 51 |
The 271 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 271 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $83,562 | before 100%in play 0%, over 741 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 57 before the start | 8 h 36to the end, median over 1,094 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 44% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 384 of 741 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 741 | 48.2%357 W · 384 L | +4.4 | +0.01 | 48c | -1.5% | 51 |
The 741 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 741 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $10,241 | before 100%in play 0%, over 257 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 41 before the start | 11 h 30to the end, median over 598 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 173 of 257 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | +1.1 | 0.00 | 50c | -0.7% | 50 |
The 257 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 257 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $34,200 | before 100%in play 0%, over 310 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 34 before the start | 7 h 43to the end, median over 454 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 150 of 310 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +0.7 | 0.00 | 47c | -1.1% | 50 |
The 310 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 310 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $53,502 | before 100%in play 0%, over 672 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min before the start | 5 h 15to the end, median over 1,090 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 397 of 672 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 672 | 49.3%331 W · 341 L | +0.4 | 0.00 | 49c | -3.1% | 50 |
The 672 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 672 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $46,328 | before 100%in play 0%, over 329 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 47 before the start | 7 h 02to the end, median over 478 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 175 of 329 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -4.7 | -0.01 | 45c | -5.1% | 49 |
The 329 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 329 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $61,316 | before 100%in play 0%, over 364 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 05 before the start | 5 h 42to the end, median over 599 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 221 of 364 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 364 | 44.8%163 W · 201 L | -5.6 | -0.02 | 46c | -7.1% | 48 |
The 364 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 364 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $62,559 | before 100%in play 0%, over 506 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min before the start | 5 h 18to the end, median over 718 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 335 of 506 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 506 | 48.4%245 W · 261 L | -9.6 | -0.02 | 50c | -2.7% | 48 |
The 506 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 10,533 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 506 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 29
- What they are worth now
- $524bought for $477
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 44worth $2,352
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 29, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 194.54 | 62c | 55c | $106 |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers (opens in a new tab)backed Cavaliers | 87.5 | 54c | 57c | $50 |
| Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 50 | 69c | 98c | $49 |
| Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume (opens in a new tab)backed Leylah Fernandez | 50 | 79c | 80c | $40 |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 50 | 30c | 77c | $39 |
| Guangzhou Open: Daria Snigur vs Anna Bondar (opens in a new tab)backed Anna Bondar | 100 | 34c | 35c | $35 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 50 | 53c | 53c | $26 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 35.63 | 52c | 67c | $24 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 71.79 | 33c | 31c | $22 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 6.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 50 | 2c | 45c | $22 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 44. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0xa571…329bbacked outcome 1 | 2,175 | 51c | $1,087 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x96af…959cbacked outcome 1 | 1,049 | 73c | $524 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xceba…2f89backed outcome 1 | 389.99 | 65c | $195 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xefb6…11e5backed outcome 1 | 260 | 62c | $130 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xfadb…d50fbacked outcome 1 | 239.99 | 66c | $120 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.