Wallet 0xdc86…7e77
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xdc8634e3191aa4be3868b17d9ef8ba9c58537e77
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$327,502 staked over 5,034 qualified picks in 31 categories, 16 of 31 below 50.
Best category
Ligue 1
$4,380 staked over 77 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Ligue 1 boardSecond best
Australian A League
$438 staked over 13 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardThird best
South American Leagues
$3,482 staked over 116 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full South American Leagues boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,034 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category31 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $4,380 | before 69%in play 31%, over 77 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 min before the start | 5 h 54to the end, median over 159 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 71 of 77 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +10.7 | +0.14 | 52c | +27.9% | 62 |
The 77 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 77 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled May 23, 2026, EDT | $438 | before 92%in play 8%, over 13 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 54 before the start | 5 h 05to the end, median over 47 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.24112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8 | +0.21 | 56c | +37.5% | 58 |
The 13 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $3,482 | before 38%in play 62%, over 116 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 4 h 29to the end, median over 594 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09143% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 143% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 97 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5 | +0.06 | 58c | +7.5% | 56 |
The 116 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Jul 12, 2026, EDT | $3,912 | before 49%in play 51%, over 37 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min after the start | 3 h 36to the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 32 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.1 | +0.08 | 46c | +33.3% | 56 |
The 37 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Jul 11, 2026, EDT | $912 | before 44%in play 56%, over 16 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min after the start | 3 h 48to the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13126% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 126% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7 | +0.11 | 58c | +17.4% | 55 |
The 16 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Feb 28, 2026, EST | $20 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.82100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8 | +0.82 | 18c | +455.6% | 54 |
The 1 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jun 9, 2026, EDT | $49 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 h 34to the end, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.42106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8 | +0.39 | 61c | +68.7% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $1,603 | before 93%in play 7%, over 42 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min before the start | 5 h 25to the end, median over 123 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05116% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 116% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 40 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6 | +0.04 | 56c | +10.2% | 53 |
The 42 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Apr 12, 2026, EDT | $37 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.65101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.64 | 36c | +176.7% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Jul 12, 2026, EDT | $2,347 | before 0%in play 100%, over 61 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min after the start | 2 h 47to the end, median over 148 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 68% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 61 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9 | +0.03 | 46c | -4.9% | 52 |
The 61 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $1,841 | before 50%in play 50%, over 66 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min before the start | 4 h 37to the end, median over 269 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06306% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 306% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 56 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2 | +0.02 | 60c | -1.4% | 52 |
The 66 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 14, 2026, EDT | $18,871 | before 79%in play 21%, over 273 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 25 before the start | 6 h 20to the end, median over 434 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0192% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 244 of 274 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7 | +0.01 | 52c | -0.4% | 51 |
The 274 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 274 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $974 | before 81%in play 19%, over 48 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 before the start | 5 h 11to the end, median over 413 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 36 of 48 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8 | +0.02 | 59c | +5.4% | 51 |
The 48 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 48 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 18, 2026, EDT | $213 | —too few: 6 picks | 4 h 17to the end, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07125% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 125% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3 | +0.05 | 45c | +26% | 51 |
The 6 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $5,731 | before 75%in play 25%, over 103 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min before the start | 5 h 29to the end, median over 225 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 34 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 85 of 103 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 53c | -1% | 51 |
The 103 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 103 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Apr 29, 2026, EDT | $24 | —no start of play | 25 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $11,557 | before 82%in play 18%, over 153 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 35 before the start | 7 h 43to the end, median over 344 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 125 of 153 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 54c | -3% | 50 |
The 153 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 153 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Jul 8, 2026, EDT | $7,794 | before 91%in play 9%, over 116 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 35 before the start | 14 h 18to the end, median over 255 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 77 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.4 | 0.00 | 50c | -7.8% | 50 |
The 116 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jun 13, 2026, EDT | $63,082 | before 73%in play 27%, over 926 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 36 before the start | 5 h 16to the end, median over 2,083 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 827 of 936 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 936 | 50.2%470 W · 466 L | -5.4 | -0.01 | 51c | -4.3% | 49 |
The 936 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 936 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $75 | —too few: 1 pick | 6 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3 | -0.09 | 42c | -42.9% | 49 |
The 3 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $2,869 | before 76%in play 24%, over 70 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min before the start | 5 h 38to the end, median over 131 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 56 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0 | -0.01 | 51c | -3.5% | 49 |
The 70 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT | $46,620 | before 10%in play 90%, over 694 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 2 h 10to the end, median over 2,172 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 74 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 642 of 696 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 696 | 47.6%331 W · 365 L | -9.7 | -0.01 | 49c | -7.8% | 49 |
The 696 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 696 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 11, 2026, EDT | $44,312 | before 54%in play 46%, over 341 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min before the start | 3 h 42to the end, median over 815 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 301 of 341 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2 | -0.02 | 46c | -9.2% | 48 |
The 341 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 341 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 29, 2026, EDT | $8,451 | before 71%in play 29%, over 198 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min before the start | 5 h 00to the end, median over 443 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 183 of 198 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8 | -0.02 | 50c | -6.2% | 48 |
The 198 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 198 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Jul 11, 2026, EDT | $45,445 | before 21%in play 79%, over 856 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 3 h 22to the end, median over 2,404 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 107 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 838 of 858 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 858 | 42.9%368 W · 490 L | -23.0 | -0.03 | 46c | -17.5% | 47 |
The 858 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 858 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Jul 9, 2026, EDT | $3,376 | before 83%in play 17%, over 78 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 before the start | 5 h 01to the end, median over 309 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 65 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -2.7 | -0.03 | 52c | -13.6% | 47 |
The 78 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Jun 7, 2026, EDT | $8,122 | before 81%in play 19%, over 135 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 20 before the start | 5 h 51to the end, median over 448 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 110 of 136 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8 | -0.04 | 52c | -11.5% | 47 |
The 136 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 136 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Jul 9, 2026, EDT | $2,205 | before 10%in play 90%, over 60 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min after the start | 2 h 13to the end, median over 256 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 58 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1 | -0.05 | 48c | -17.3% | 46 |
The 60 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Jul 11, 2026, EDT | $14,237 | before 32%in play 68%, over 237 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min after the start | 3 h 55to the end, median over 377 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 227 of 237 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 237 | 43.5%103 W · 134 L | -9.7 | -0.04 | 48c | -15.5% | 46 |
The 237 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 237 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Jul 9, 2026, EDT | $16,831 | before 29%in play 71%, over 263 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 3 h 18to the end, median over 465 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 259 of 263 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7 | -0.07 | 43c | -31.3% | 43 |
The 263 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 263 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Feb 9, 2026, EST | $7,691 | before 71%in play 29%, over 21 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 34 before the start | 11 h 51to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.8 | -0.15 | 47c | -42.7% | 41 |
The 25 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,034 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 0
- What they are worth now
- $0bought for $0
- Settled, not yet cashed
- at least 50worth $0
This wallet holds nothing on a market that is still running. Everything below is settled and waiting to be cashed.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 1,176 | 21c | $0 | Counted |
| Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova (opens in a new tab)backed Liudmila Samsonova · settled | 219.29 | 54c | $0 | Counted |
| Red Wings vs. Senators (opens in a new tab)backed Senators · settled | 111.64 | 59c | $0 | Counted |
| Will France win on 2026-03-29? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 75.17 | 44c | $0 | Never scored |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 71.39 | 69c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.