TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe05e…1ab8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.27
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$536
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$53.07
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.56
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.7
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Six Kings Slam: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Almaty Open: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.95
European Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$56.56
Almaty Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs David Goffinbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$55.62
China Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruudbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+63.2%+$292.46
ATP Washington D.C – Davidovich Fokina vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.45
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+400%+$226.84
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$151.18
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.9
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Thunder vs. Hornetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$33.17
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$137.58
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+28.2%+$15.51
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$139.56
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$140
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.71
Will the Champions League Final be decided in a penalty shoot-out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+28.2%+$4.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.66
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+171%+$34.2
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+66%+$79.88
Will Lincoln City win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.95
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$39.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$223.54
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+44.7%+$58.15
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+34%+$51
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Will Girona win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.22
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.84
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will France beat Germany?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$868.37
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$344.43
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+174.2%+$106.52
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$159.84
Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.01
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.94
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$159.13
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+84.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+123.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$10.34
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$92.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+169.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+169.2%+$169.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+130.6%+$52.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$101.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sparks vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.