TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe132…7a38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT18164.1%116 W · 65 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 181 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinkobacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Monterrey Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Libacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Monterrey Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.32
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$12.34
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Athens Open: Mai Hontama vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
ITF Granby: Hayu Kinoshita vs Sakura Hosogibacked Hayu Kinoshita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$32.04
ITF Luan: Onyu Choi vs Yingqun Sunbacked Yingqun Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Granby: Sasha Rozin vs Keegan Ricebacked Keegan Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Iasi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Alevtina Ibragimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$14.79
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Dalma Galfibacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$21.55
Cordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretubacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Croatia Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iasi Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Cordenons: Max Hans Rehberg vs Guido Justobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$24.54
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Contrexeville: Clara Burel vs Alicia Herrero Linanabacked Alicia Herrero Linana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Showing 25 of 181 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+43%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.15
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.68
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+198.7%+$124.29
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.82
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.26
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$389.74
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+280.5%+$443.56
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+172.6%+$1,001.4
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+900%+$425.7
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$39
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.48
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$55.44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.14
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$11.53
Will Comoros vs. Mali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$70.43
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+334.8%+$50.22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$41.21
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$33.75
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid-62.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+102.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+54.2%+$11.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.