TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1a2…14b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
501
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT18241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,027.32
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,199.45
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,252.32
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,953.82
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,876.43
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.36
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.55
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,635.9
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,865.74
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,558.89
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,913Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,912.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,004.76
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$4,259.39
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,627Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$3,672.79
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,928
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$4,977.45
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,350.05
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,887.45
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,156
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,109.96
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,253
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13,107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12,593
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,788
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,650
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4,560
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12,000
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,100
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,823Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$8,477
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,520
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,375
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,536
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,100
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$13,750
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,200
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,109
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,218.47
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$7,635.39
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$6,789.99
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$5,280
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,750
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,667.59
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,499
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,920
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43,807Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,807.31
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,990.4
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,483.2
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$8,899.09
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,057.16
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,738Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,562
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,170
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,062.5
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,060
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,987
Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,406
Spain to score first vs. Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,720
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$6,750
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,550
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$6,750
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$6,160
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,991Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,078.7
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,752Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,948
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$4,299.14
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11,520
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,047.24
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,620
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$6,449.99
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,533.99
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,239.99
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$5,750
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$8,517
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23,688Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$11,312.48
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,075
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$8,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,637.7
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,947Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$5,053.42
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,020
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,640
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,930
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,184.26
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,938.99
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,810.57
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,086.1
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36,180.2
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,314.4
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32,530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$31,830.12
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$3,225.85
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,362.44
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,976Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$1,563.34
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,645.7
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,557.11
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$7,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,382.37
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,471.97
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,259.99
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,564Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$6,531.3
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$12,477.52
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18,818Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$11,930.04
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,055.39
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,560.01
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,061.83
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,988.53
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-13.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$391.97
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,714.28
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,691.53
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,476.65
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,280.18
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,827Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$3,629.03
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,639Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$6,665.47
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,578Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$6,279.7
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.52
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,085Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,332.01
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,516Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,837.05
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,798Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,798.26
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16,165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14,335
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,480
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$4,290
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7,560
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,200
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$53,287.46
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57,847Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57,846.91
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,126.56
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5,776.47
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36,313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$61,830.97
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,892.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,868Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$11,008.83
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$12,030.88
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,608Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$13,255.12
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,632.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$23,240
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,590
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+154.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,185
Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,497.53
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,807Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,807.18
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.07
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nishikori vs. Shang: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,801Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$2,699.12
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,710
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035.49
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,139
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+198.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+198.3%+$12,297.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.