TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1ea…18e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Sweeny vs Chanbacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$124.9
Set 2 Winner: Majchrzak vs Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keysbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$189.45
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.32
Set 1 Winner: Nishikori vs Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.22
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$53.47
Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstatbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.11
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$23.54
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.26
Set 2 Winner: Quevedo vs Kalininabacked Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$24.13
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.83
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+173%+$24.96
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Ethan Quinn vs. Francisco Comesana: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.7
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.22
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+380.2%+$167.28
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$169.29
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.9
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.78
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$210.03
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$8.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+152.9%+$206.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$16.72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$404
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$13.33
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.62
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Warriors vs. Jazz: 1H Moneylinebacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$28.59
1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24.92
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.52
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+126.4%+$26.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$23.36
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$52.84
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$47.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+132.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$95.85
Olimpia Milano vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$88.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.67
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$193.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$97.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Ahli Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.