TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

0xe542…0a37

Rebuilt .

Qualified picks
2,543
Categories scored
48
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 64 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 2,543 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT40133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT26330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT22623.9%54 W · 172 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT21227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT16955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT13832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT13048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT9452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT8143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT8122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT7133.8%24 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT6613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT6524.6%16 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6142.6%26 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT4348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+169.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+815.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST3435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3228.1%9 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick20cpaid-39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST220%0 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-89.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+45.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-62.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.