TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe70c…17c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
365
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Asian League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 52 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT33438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 334 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.68
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.11
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$167.97
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.53
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$16.87
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.42
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.78
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.7
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$16.72
France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$32.99
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.18
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$430.24
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$112.02
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$164.35
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.41
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$113.53
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.49
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$60.45
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$40.74
Showing 25 of 334 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gangwon FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+222%+$126.86
Beijing Guoan FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.15
Wuhan San Zhen FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Shandong Taishan FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.7
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$31.53
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+132%+$182.82
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-82.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sønderjyske Fodbold leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.48
Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Kalmar FF leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Malmo FF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.59
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.88
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.94
IFK Goteborg leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$17.52
IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$48.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.