Wallet 0xe8c4…395d

https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xe8c4d68aff65b38cac46987b9b65e01eb47d395d

Polymarket

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$4,733,700 staked over 5,774 qualified picks in 48 categories, 20 of 48 below 50.

Best category

Serie A

$18,134 staked over 28 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.14 per pick.

See the full Serie A board

Second best

Champions League

$77,238 staked over 57 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full Champions League board

Third best

Commodities

$24,415 staked over 55 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

See the full Commodities board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,774 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.

Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.

Record by category48 Categories

The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.

What these columns mean

Category: The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked: The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets: Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds: How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price: What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks: Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate: How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected: Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge: Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry: The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick: The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score: The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.

Category

Staked

When it bets

Holds

At your price

Qualified picks

Win rate

vs expected

Realizable edge

Avg entry

ROI per pick

Tail Score

Serie Alast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$18,134

before 93%in play 7%

9 h 30to the end

+0.2699% kept

78.6%22 W · 6 L

+7.2

+0.26

53c

+58.6%

The 28 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT

$77,238

before 100%in play 0%

15 h 22to the end

+0.1499% kept

64.9%37 W · 20 L

+7.7

+0.14

51c

+20.1%

The 57 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Commodities Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT

$24,415

—no start of play

15 dto the end

+0.1096% kept

54.5%30 W · 25 L

+5.6

+0.10

44c

+20.8%

The 55 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT

$51,250

—no start of play

13 dto the end

+0.0792% kept

53.8%50 W · 43 L

+7.1

+0.08

46c

+9.4%

The 93 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 93 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT

$5,884

before 100%in play 0%

3 dto the end

+0.1596% kept

66.7%8 W · 4 L

+1.9

+0.16

51c

+49.1%

The 12 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$156,050

before 98%in play 2%

1 dto the end

+0.0596% kept

106

59.4%63 W · 43 L

+5.7

+0.05

54c

+7.4%

The 106 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 7, 2026, EDT

$3,855

—too few: 4 picks

5 h 01to the end

+0.28102% kept

75%3 W · 1 L

+1.1

+0.28

47c

+49.8%

The 4 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT

$1,572

—no start of play

14 dto the end

+0.2099% kept

60%3 W · 2 L

+1.0

+0.21

39c

+14.9%

The 5 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$127,016

before 99%in play 1%

10 h 45to the end

+0.04103% kept

56%47 W · 37 L

+3.3

+0.04

52c

+7.3%

The 84 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 84 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Tennislast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$1,232,532

before 89%in play 11%

7 h 33to the end

+0.03100% kept

1,343

49.4%663 W · 680 L

+41.0

+0.03

46c

+6.7%

The 1,343 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,343 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Middle Eastlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT

$66,185

—no start of play

11 dto the end

+0.0384% kept

127

60.6%77 W · 50 L

+4.4

+0.03

57c

+4.2%

The 127 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 127 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT

$351

—no start of play

10 h 14resells

+0.65100% kept

100%1 W · 0 L

+0.6

+0.65

35c

+184.9%

The 1 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Movieslast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT

$18,666

—no start of play

5 dto the end

+0.0496% kept

58.1%18 W · 13 L

+1.4

+0.05

54c

-12.1%

The 31 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Venezuelalast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT

$402

—no start of play

31 dto the end

+0.32101% kept

100%2 W · 0 L

+0.6

+0.32

69c

+48.8%

The 2 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Lol Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT

$181,088

before 97%in play 3%

11 h 54to the end

+0.0296% kept

493

58.2%287 W · 206 L

+11.7

+0.02

56c

+1.9%

The 493 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 493 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT

$21,281

before 90%in play 10%

7 h 55to the end

+0.0484% kept

61.9%13 W · 8 L

+1.0

+0.05

57c

+7.1%

The 21 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$58,039

before 83%in play 17%

9 h 46to the end

+0.0294% kept

54.5%36 W · 30 L

+1.5

+0.02

52c

+3.5%

The 66 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Earnings Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT

$76

—no start of play

11 dto the end

+0.23100% kept

50%1 W · 1 L

+0.5

+0.23

28c

+100%

The 2 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

IPO Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT

$1,044

—no start of play

8 dto the end

+0.40100% kept

100%1 W · 0 L

+0.4

+0.40

60c

+66.7%

The 1 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT

$8,979

—no start of play

9 dto the end

+0.0286% kept

48.7%19 W · 20 L

+0.8

+0.02

47c

-8.6%

The 39 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$1,093,611

before 80%in play 20%

6 h 37to the end

+0.01109% kept

1,127

52.9%596 W · 531 L

+14.8

+0.01

52c

+2.5%

The 1,127 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,127 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 9, 2026, EDT

$454

—too few: 3 picks

10 h 19to the end

+0.1199% kept

66.7%2 W · 1 L

+0.3

+0.11

55c

+6.2%

The 3 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT

$24,109

—no start of play

10 dto the end

+0.04116% kept

58.3%7 W · 5 L

+0.4

+0.04

55c

+56.7%

The 12 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Ukraine Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT

$16,512

—no start of play

21 dto the end

+0.0295% kept

58.5%24 W · 17 L

+0.8

+0.02

57c

-10%

The 41 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT

$206,834

before 100%in play 0%

3 dto the end

+0.01101% kept

476

51.5%245 W · 231 L

+4.8

+0.01

50c

-4.6%

The 476 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 476 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

WNBAlast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT

$56,952

before 87%in play 13%

11 h 11to the end

+0.0175% kept

55.3%26 W · 21 L

+0.5

+0.01

54c

+1.9%

The 47 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 47 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$266,634

before 87%in play 13%

10 h 55to the end

+0.01136% kept

189

53.4%101 W · 88 L

+1.2

+0.01

53c

-0.7%

The 189 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 189 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT

$7,802

before 97%in play 3%

10 h 27to the end

0.00out of reach

50%15 W · 15 L

0.0

0.00

50c

+5.8%

The 30 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

CS2 Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT

$190,766

before 89%in play 11%

7 h 53to the end

0.00no edge

360

52.5%189 W · 171 L

-0.1

0.00

53c

-1.6%

The 360 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 360 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$158,627

before 87%in play 13%

22 h 00to the end

-0.01no edge

51.3%41 W · 39 L

-0.2

0.00

51c

-5.3%

The 80 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 80 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT

$208,244

before 97%in play 3%

12 h 20to the end

-0.01no edge

183

51.4%94 W · 89 L

-1.5

-0.01

52c

+0.4%

The 183 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 183 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT

$7,332

before 100%in play 0%

9 h 25to the end

-0.03no edge

50%5 W · 5 L

-0.3

-0.03

53c

+9.5%

The 10 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

AIlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT

$26,587

—no start of play

13 dto the end

-0.01no edge

50.7%35 W · 34 L

-0.8

-0.01

52c

-4.7%

The 69 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 69 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Boxing Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT

$535

—too few: 1 pick

1 dto the end

-0.29no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.3

-0.29

29c

-100%

The 1 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Us Politicslast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT

$3,738

—no start of play

27 dto the end

-0.10no edge

50%2 W · 2 L

-0.4

-0.09

59c

+30.9%

The 4 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Parlayslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT

$107,332

—no start of play

—no market to hold

—no market price

53.3%32 W · 28 L

-1.4

-0.02

56c

-3.6%

Settled	Ticket	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 22, 2026, EDT	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$2,800	-100%	-$2,800
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Nicolas Mejia3 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	27c	$1,000	-100%	-$1,000
Oct 21, 2026, EDT	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Oct 20, 2026, EDT	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$1,500	-100%	-$1,500
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Stefanos Sakellaridis AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Federico Agustin Gomez2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Seong-Chan Hong vs Rei Sakamoto2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Oct 18, 2026, EDT	Titans vs. Ravens AND Patriots vs. Bills AND Dolphins vs. Vikings3 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	56c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Oct 17, 2026, EDT	Eastern Michigan vs. UMass AND Texas State vs. San Diego State2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Oct 16, 2026, EDT	UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) AND UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$3,000	-100%	-$3,000
Oct 13, 2026, EDT	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria AND Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	52c	$1,700	-100%	-$1,700
Oct 12, 2026, EDT	Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria AND Set Handicap: Kamil Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Arthur Fils (+1.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$304	-100%	-$304
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$4,000	+70.9%	+$2,837.23
Oct 8, 2026, EDT	Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Valentin Royer AND Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	51c	$2,000	+96%	+$1,919.87
Oct 6, 2026, EDT	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur AND Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	56c	$2,000	+78.8%	+$1,576.07
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli AND Chengdu Open: Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$2,002	-100%	-$2,002
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$2,000	+66.6%	+$1,331.58
Oct 2, 2026, EDT	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe AND China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$2,000	+76.9%	+$1,537.44
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur Fery2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$2,000	+70.9%	+$1,417.44
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	China Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Arthur Gea AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$2,000	+75.3%	+$1,506.8
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic AND China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	58c	$2,000	+71.8%	+$1,436.94
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	China Open, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jie Cui AND Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$2,000	+85.8%	+$1,715.69
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli AND Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	50c	$2,000	+99.4%	+$1,987.99
Sep 25, 2026, EDT	Hangzhou Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey Rublev AND Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	52c	$2,000	+92.5%	+$1,849.92
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Arthur Weber vs Hayato Matsuoka AND Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Jake Delaney2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$2,000	+90.3%	+$1,806.9
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien AND US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Sep 17, 2026, EDT	Phan Thiet 4: Moise Kouame vs Filip Peliwo AND Guangzhou: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Naoya Honda2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$2,000	+70.1%	+$1,402.2
Sep 15, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen AND US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Jurij Rodionov2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Sep 14, 2026, EDT	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score AND FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$485	+129.6%	+$628.66
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin AND US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Tomas Barrios2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Sep 11, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmane AND US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Dan Added AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Gauthier Onclin vs Vitaliy Sachko2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	61c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	US Open, Qualification ATP: Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellien AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	56c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Sep 7, 2026, EDT	US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broady2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	56c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Sep 6, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas AND US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Tomas Etcheverry2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$2,000	+88.1%	+$1,761.16
Sep 5, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoe AND US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	55c	$2,500	+80.9%	+$2,023.34
Sep 2, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego AND US Open ATP: Aleksandar Vukic vs Rei Sakamoto2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$2,000	+69.5%	+$1,389.31
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul AND Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Christopher O'Connell2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	65c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe AND US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$20	+68.9%	+$13.79
Sep 1, 2026, EDT	US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe AND US Open ATP: Quentin Halys vs Facundo Acosta2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	62c	$2,000	+62%	+$1,239.72
Aug 29, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Arthur Fils AND Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Aug 27, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draper AND National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	49c	$2,000	-100%	-$2,000
Aug 26, 2026, EDT	US Open, Qualification ATP: Vitaliy Sachko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinato2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$2,000	+106.6%	+$2,131.34
Aug 26, 2026, EDT	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5 AND Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	50c	$2,000	+99.8%	+$1,996.06
Aug 26, 2026, EDT	US Open, Qualification ATP: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Tomas Barrios AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Lukas Neumayer2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	52c	$2,000	+92.1%	+$1,842.89
Aug 26, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Trevor Svajda vs Michael Zheng AND National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	50c	$1,000	-100%	-$1,000
Aug 25, 2026, EDT	US Open, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Max Alcala Gurri AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$20	+76.2%	+$15.23
Aug 25, 2026, EDT	US Open, Qualification ATP: Zdenek Kolar vs Borna Gojo AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harris2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	58c	$1,991	+73.2%	+$1,457.14
Aug 25, 2026, EDT	US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moeller AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	64c	$10	+55.4%	+$5.54
Aug 25, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi AND Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs Seong-Chan Hong2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	56c	$1,000	-100%	-$1,000
Aug 24, 2026, EDT	US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Lautaro Midon2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	62c	$2,000	+60.1%	+$1,201.49
Aug 18, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musetti AND Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	52c	$2,000	+91%	+$1,819.85
Aug 17, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaur AND Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$1,000	+89.8%	+$897.82
Aug 17, 2026, EDT	Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils AND Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	61c	$1,000	-100%	-$1,000
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta AND Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedev2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$2,000	+70%	+$1,400.69
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Lorenzo Musetti AND Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	61c	$2,000	+64.4%	+$1,288.73
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone AND National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	46c	$1,000	-100%	-$1,000
Aug 16, 2026, EDT	Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie AND Cincinnati Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilo2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$2,000	+86.2%	+$1,724.08
Aug 4, 2026, EDT	National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur AND National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	58c	$1,000	+72.2%	+$721.66
All 60 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.

World Politicslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT

$78,846

—no start of play

17 dto the end

-0.03no edge

224

48.2%108 W · 116 L

-6.6

-0.03

51c

-6.1%

The 224 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 224 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Weather Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT

$222

—no start of play

12 dto the end

-0.40no edge

0%0 W · 2 L

-0.8

-0.39

39c

-100%

The 2 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT

$25,478

before 88%in play 12%

9 h 40to the end

-0.06no edge

44%11 W · 14 L

-1.6

-0.06

50c

-12%

The 25 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Spacelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT

$1,031

—no start of play

23 dto the end

-0.44no edge

0%0 W · 2 L

-0.9

-0.44

44c

-100%

The 2 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT

$34,236

before 55%in play 45%

4 h 11to the end

-0.06no edge

45.2%19 W · 23 L

-2.8

-0.07

52c

-10.5%

The 42 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT

$14,952

before 76%in play 24%

9 h 59to the end

-0.09no edge

42.9%9 W · 12 L

-1.9

-0.09

52c

-20%

The 21 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Mlslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT

$46,145

before 87%in play 13%

13 h 14to the end

-0.07no edge

37.8%17 W · 28 L

-3.0

-0.07

44c

-8.1%

The 45 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Fed Rateslast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT

$9,975

—no start of play

4 dto the end

-0.15no edge

37.5%6 W · 10 L

-2.3

-0.15

52c

-27.3%

The 16 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Musiclast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT

$3,115

—no start of play

7 dto the end

-0.26no edge

16.7%1 W · 5 L

-1.9

-0.31

48c

-77.8%

The 6 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT

$30,308

before 95%in play 5%

23 h 29to the end

-0.11no edge

43.2%16 W · 21 L

-3.9

-0.10

54c

-12.9%

The 37 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NHL Inactivelast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT

$40,277

before 98%in play 2%

10 h 20to the end

-0.11no edge

38.8%19 W · 30 L

-5.6

-0.11

50c

-23.8%

The 49 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT

$18,988

before 98%in play 2%

19 h 02to the end

-0.12no edge

32.6%14 W · 29 L

-5.2

-0.12

45c

-39.3%

The 43 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,774 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

What this wallet holds right now

Last asked 1 hour ago.

Positions on running markets: 138
What they are worth now: $54,167bought for $55,620
Settled, not yet cashed: 49worth $0

Its 10 largest running positions

Of 138, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.

What these columns mean

Position: How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
Paid: Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
Now: What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
Worth: What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.

Market	Position	Paid	Now	Worth
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes	10,574	66c	81c	$8,512
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? (opens in a new tab)backed No	3,994	55c	93c	$3,712
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? (opens in a new tab)backed No	3,092	81c	95c	$2,922
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No	4,445	62c	54c	$2,378
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? (opens in a new tab)backed No	3,333	66c	61c	$2,016
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under	2,800	71c	68c	$1,890
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes	4,333	42c	36c	$1,538
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes	1,862	73c	76c	$1,406
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House (opens in a new tab)backed No	3,376	36c	34c	$1,131
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes	1,338	63c	80c	$1,070

Settled bets it has not cashed in

The 5 largest of 49. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.

What these columns mean

Position: How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
Paid: Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
Worth: What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.

Market	Position	Paid	Worth	In the record?
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT	20,000	5c	$0	Counted
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala (opens in a new tab)backed Shuai Zhang · settled Jun 9, 2026, EDT	13,139	39c	$0	Counted
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton (opens in a new tab)backed Ben Shelton · settled Jun 30, 2026, EDT	10,585	79c	$0	Counted
Bianca Andreescu vs. Anna Blinkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over 2.5 · settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT	7,500	44c	$0	Counted
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Houston Astros · settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT	3,920	51c	$0	Counted

Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.

These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
The position was at least $10.
The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.

Wallet 0xe8c4…395d

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category48 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Its 10 largest running positions

Settled bets it has not cashed in

Wallet 0xe8c4…395d

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category48 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Its 10 largest running positions

Settled bets it has not cashed in