Wallet 0xe8e0…7eec
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xe8e086f7ef06af27889edfb5026e1453c61d7eec
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,799,051 staked over 13,143 qualified picks in 28 categories, 15 of 28 below 50.
Best category
NBA
$9,963 staked over 153 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full NBA boardSecond best
College Football
$8,777 staked over 120 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full College Football boardThird best
Euroleague
$2,222 staked over 37 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 13,143 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category28 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,963 | before 3%in play 97%, over 153 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 1 h 41to the end, median over 521 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 54 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0676% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 76% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 139 of 153 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.6 | +0.08 | 47c | +14.1% | 57 |
The 153 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 153 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $8,777 | before 1%in play 99%, over 120 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start | 3 h 02to the end, median over 203 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10122% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 122% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 110 of 120 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +9.5 | +0.08 | 50c | +10.5% | 57 |
The 120 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 120 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $2,222 | before 14%in play 86%, over 37 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min after the start | 3 h 32to the end, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13124% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 124% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 34 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.7 | +0.10 | 47c | +6.2% | 57 |
The 37 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $8,888 | before 2%in play 98%, over 152 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 2 h 51to the end, median over 221 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 80 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 137 of 152 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +10.1 | +0.07 | 51c | +5.9% | 56 |
The 152 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 152 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $49,424 | before 3%in play 97%, over 312 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 2 h 06to the end, median over 436 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 138 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 274 of 312 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 312 | 57.1%178 W · 134 L | +19.1 | +0.06 | 51c | +5.3% | 56 |
The 312 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 312 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 23, 2026, EDT | $445 | —too few: 4 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.36129% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 129% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1 | +0.28 | 47c | +63.7% | 54 |
The 4 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $14,631 | before 0%in play 100%, over 135 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 1 h 08to the end, median over 388 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 93 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 44% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 124 of 135 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +5.6 | +0.04 | 51c | -2.1% | 54 |
The 135 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 135 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $74,577 | before 1%in play 99%, over 679 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start | 2 h 36to the end, median over 1,079 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 322 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 652 of 679 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 679 | 51%346 W · 333 L | +18.1 | +0.03 | 48c | -4.4% | 53 |
The 679 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 679 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $33,631 | before 1%in play 99%, over 342 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start | 2 h 09to the end, median over 904 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 290 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05172% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 172% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 289 of 342 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 342 | 54.7%187 W · 155 L | +9.2 | +0.03 | 52c | -4.5% | 53 |
The 342 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 342 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $312,612 | before 1%in play 99%, over 1,485 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 3 h 02to the end, median over 2,394 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 766 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03134% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 134% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,463 of 1,486 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,486 | 50.9%756 W · 730 L | +29.1 | +0.02 | 49c | -6.6% | 52 |
The 1,486 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,486 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $86,482 | before 12%in play 88%, over 1,398 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 1 h 53to the end, median over 3,182 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 755 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02187% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 187% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,272 of 1,398 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,398 | 53.4%747 W · 651 L | +17.0 | +0.01 | 52c | -1.6% | 51 |
The 1,398 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,398 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,460 | before 0%in play 100%, over 88 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start | 1 h 18to the end, median over 249 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 61 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 83 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7 | +0.01 | 50c | -2.2% | 51 |
The 88 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $47,901 | before 18%in play 82%, over 225 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 304 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 108 of them sold before the market settled | 0.0093% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 192 of 225 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 225 | 48.9%110 W · 115 L | +1.2 | +0.01 | 48c | -13.6% | 51 |
The 225 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 225 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $13,282 | before 2%in play 98%, over 220 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 after the start | 2 h 33to the end, median over 779 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 214 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 207 of 220 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | -0.7 | 0.00 | 51c | -13.3% | 50 |
The 220 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 220 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $7,185 | before 3%in play 97%, over 93 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 2 h 15to the end, median over 287 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 78 of 93 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.6 | -0.01 | 48c | -11.7% | 49 |
The 93 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 93 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $100,305 | before 1%in play 99%, over 726 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 2 h 20to the end, median over 1,171 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 353 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 711 of 726 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 726 | 50.1%364 W · 362 L | -4.1 | -0.01 | 51c | -12.7% | 49 |
The 726 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 726 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $18,783 | before 2%in play 98%, over 234 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 1 h 33to the end, median over 705 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 112 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 218 of 234 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 234 | 51.3%120 W · 114 L | -2.4 | -0.01 | 52c | -12.3% | 49 |
The 234 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 234 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $100,072 | before 2%in play 98%, over 682 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 2 h 49to the end, median over 1,745 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 400 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 630 of 682 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 682 | 46.3%316 W · 366 L | -8.0 | -0.01 | 48c | -14.8% | 49 |
The 682 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 682 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $340,820 | before 2%in play 98%, over 3,154 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 2 h 29to the end, median over 5,613 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,321 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3,011 of 3,154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,154 | 47.1%1,485 W · 1,669 L | -36.2 | -0.01 | 48c | -13.4% | 49 |
The 3,154 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $37,125 | before 0%in play 100%, over 287 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 1 h 46to the end, median over 788 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 202 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 260 of 287 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 287 | 46.3%133 W · 154 L | -5.5 | -0.02 | 48c | -14.3% | 48 |
The 287 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 287 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $175 | —too few: 8 picks | 2 h 50to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6 | -0.08 | 46c | -26.8% | 48 |
The 8 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $20,825 | before 1%in play 99%, over 291 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min after the start | 2 h 30to the end, median over 388 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 134 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 218 of 291 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | -7.9 | -0.03 | 51c | -11.5% | 47 |
The 291 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 291 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $17,150 | before 6%in play 94%, over 334 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 2 h 49to the end, median over 896 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 178 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 295 of 334 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -10.6 | -0.03 | 49c | -18.6% | 47 |
The 334 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 334 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,594 | before 0%in play 100%, over 113 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 1 h 37to the end, median over 359 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 75 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 108 of 113 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -5.0 | -0.04 | 55c | -13.2% | 46 |
The 113 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 113 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $344,522 | before 2%in play 98%, over 1,001 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 2 h 07to the end, median over 2,177 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 538 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 982 of 1,001 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,001 | 39.5%395 W · 606 L | -37.2 | -0.04 | 43c | -23.7% | 46 |
The 1,001 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,001 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $47,604 | before 2%in play 98%, over 269 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 1 h 39to the end, median over 776 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 154 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 255 of 269 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 269 | 44.6%120 W · 149 L | -10.7 | -0.04 | 49c | -23.1% | 46 |
The 269 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 269 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $72,204 | before 1%in play 99%, over 558 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 1 h 30to the end, median over 1,262 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 227 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 495 of 558 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 558 | 45.5%254 W · 304 L | -25.9 | -0.05 | 50c | -17.3% | 45 |
The 558 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 558 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $7,394 | before 79%in play 21%, over 42 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 h 53 before the start | 23 h 57to the end, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 34 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -5.9 | -0.14 | 33c | -64.7% | 40 |
The 42 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 13,143 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 46
- What they are worth now
- $508bought for $523
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 49worth $21
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 46, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 49. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x88e0…6aa6backed outcome 1 | 21 | 64c | $21 | Not read yet |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed Hanwha Life Esports · settled | 1,057 | 81c | $0 | Never scored |
| Market 0xbc91…ae29backed outcome 1 | 703.02 | 5c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xdbad…ca6bbacked outcome 0 | 492 | 29c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 391.36 | 20c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 1 does: the wallet holds a scored pick on that market, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 3 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.