Wallet 0xe907…cff6
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xe9076a87c5ed90ef16e6fe6529c943baeca0cff6
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$73,056,606 staked over 54,383 qualified picks in 51 categories, 33 of 51 below 50.
Best category
Stocks
$2,061 staked over 16 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Stocks boardSecond best
Ukraine
$8,174 staked over 25 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Ukraine boardThird best
Space
$43 staked over 1 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full Space boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 54,383 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category51 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $2,061 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 70 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 59% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 4 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5 | +0.10 | 34c | -7.2% | 54 |
The 16 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,174 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 8 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8 | +0.07 | 29c | -35.5% | 54 |
The 25 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Spacelast settled Aug 12, 2026, EDT | $43 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.73100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.73 | 27c | +264% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $157 | —no start of play | 12 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6 | +0.12 | 28c | -36.9% | 52 |
The 5 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $7,426 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6 | +0.10 | 57c | +31.6% | 52 |
The 6 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 27, 2026, EDT | $215 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 h 27to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15114% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 114% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5 | +0.13 | 37c | -16% | 52 |
The 4 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $6,711 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 50% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 12 of 48 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +0.9 | +0.02 | 17c | -69.7% | 51 |
The 48 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 48 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $48,489 | before 75%in play 25%, over 141 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 before the start | 5 h 12to the end, median over 226 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 40 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0185% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 57 of 145 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +2.0 | +0.01 | 51c | +4.7% | 51 |
The 145 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 145 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $879,017 | before 98%in play 2%, over 1,656 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 09 before the start | 8 h 15to the end, median over 3,019 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 188 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 282 of 1,685 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,685 | 35.8%603 W · 1,082 L | +16.7 | +0.01 | 35c | -4.1% | 51 |
The 1,685 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,685 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $656,798 | before 94%in play 6%, over 2,524 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 42 before the start | 5 h 14to the end, median over 4,771 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 541 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01115% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 115% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 658 of 2,524 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,524 | 40.5%1,022 W · 1,502 L | +20.1 | +0.01 | 40c | +0.1% | 51 |
The 2,524 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,524 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $697,571 | before 91%in play 9%, over 1,483 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 14 before the start | 6 h 21to the end, median over 2,692 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 252 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0197% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 383 of 1,485 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,485 | 39.7%590 W · 895 L | +10.3 | +0.01 | 39c | -1.7% | 51 |
The 1,485 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,485 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $8,733 | before 91%in play 9%, over 64 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 41 before the start | 5 h 08to the end, median over 155 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02183% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 183% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 38 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 55c | -0.1% | 51 |
The 70 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $977,682 | before 92%in play 8%, over 1,984 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 28 before the start | 6 h 22to the end, median over 3,485 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 329 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 463 of 2,007 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,007 | 38.6%774 W · 1,233 L | +8.8 | 0.00 | 38c | -3.1% | 50 |
The 2,007 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,007 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $129,040 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 364 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 92 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 56 of 164 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 164 | 26.2%43 W · 121 L | +0.5 | 0.00 | 26c | -37.8% | 50 |
The 164 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 164 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $275,247 | before 91%in play 9%, over 814 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 14 before the start | 4 h 31to the end, median over 1,475 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 162 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00260% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 260% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 230 of 814 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 814 | 39.9%325 W · 489 L | +0.6 | 0.00 | 40c | -7.4% | 50 |
The 814 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 814 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $98,068 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 514 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 87 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 44 of 186 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 186 | 22%41 W · 145 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 22c | -44.6% | 50 |
The 186 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 186 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $11,256 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 96 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00371% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 371% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 32c | -26.8% | 50 |
The 31 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $32,067 | before 75%in play 25%, over 99 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 20 before the start | 4 h 47to the end, median over 201 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 36 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 54 of 102 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 51c | -4.1% | 50 |
The 102 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 102 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled May 14, 2026, EDT | $10 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $429,307 | before 91%in play 9%, over 864 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 02 before the start | 4 h 14to the end, median over 1,223 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 110 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 322 of 869 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 869 | 50.4%438 W · 431 L | -2.7 | 0.00 | 51c | -2% | 50 |
The 869 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 869 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $697,125 | before 96%in play 4%, over 2,283 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 42 before the start | 6 h 20to the end, median over 4,064 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 419 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 518 of 2,283 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,283 | 40.9%933 W · 1,350 L | -9.7 | 0.00 | 41c | -1% | 50 |
The 2,283 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,283 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestoneslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $220,695 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 719 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 147 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 82 of 427 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 427 | 17.6%75 W · 352 L | -2.0 | 0.00 | 18c | -49.2% | 49 |
The 427 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 427 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $587,687 | before 49%in play 51%, over 1,232 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 3 h 28to the end, median over 1,791 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 349 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 729 of 1,241 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,241 | 49.1%609 W · 632 L | -9.3 | -0.01 | 50c | -9.3% | 49 |
The 1,241 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,241 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $9,474 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 143 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 36c | -33.8% | 49 |
The 29 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $366,098 | before 89%in play 11%, over 798 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 44 before the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 1,550 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 193 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 197 of 799 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 799 | 43.7%349 W · 450 L | -6.8 | -0.01 | 45c | -0.1% | 49 |
The 799 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 799 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $25,524 | —too few: 5 picks | 7 h 12to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3 | -0.03 | 48c | +5.9% | 49 |
The 9 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $247,178 | before 57%in play 43%, over 3,952 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 03 before the start | 19 h 52to the end, median over 11,626 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3,149 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,392 of 4,012 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4,012 | 33%1,325 W · 2,687 L | -46.4 | -0.01 | 34c | -27.4% | 49 |
The 4,012 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4,012 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $124,029 | before 51%in play 49%, over 377 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min before the start | 5 h 42to the end, median over 801 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 175 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 184 of 384 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 384 | 33.9%130 W · 254 L | -5.0 | -0.01 | 35c | -21.6% | 49 |
The 384 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 384 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $192,781 | before 91%in play 9%, over 465 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 27 before the start | 4 h 37to the end, median over 849 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 75 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 111 of 465 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 465 | 38.5%179 W · 286 L | -6.1 | -0.01 | 40c | -11.1% | 49 |
The 465 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 465 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $991 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7 | -0.03 | 30c | -33.5% | 48 |
The 22 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $418,280 | before 96%in play 4%, over 1,568 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 43 before the start | 8 h 01to the end, median over 3,086 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 259 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 308 of 1,572 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,572 | 37.5%590 W · 982 L | -24.7 | -0.02 | 39c | -8.4% | 48 |
The 1,572 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,572 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $861,370 | before 96%in play 4%, over 2,753 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 50 before the start | 5 h 43to the end, median over 4,886 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 504 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 587 of 2,753 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,753 | 38.2%1,053 W · 1,700 L | -45.1 | -0.02 | 40c | -6.8% | 48 |
The 2,753 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,753 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT | $4,126 | —too few: 6 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6 | -0.05 | 19c | -61.5% | 48 |
The 14 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,950,775 | before 56%in play 44%, over 1,639 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min before the start | 3 h 16to the end, median over 2,728 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 347 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,080 of 1,643 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,643 | 46.9%770 W · 873 L | -28.5 | -0.02 | 49c | -13% | 48 |
The 1,643 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,643 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,036,826 | before 28%in play 72%, over 1,436 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 3 h 01to the end, median over 2,290 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 475 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,088 of 1,440 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,440 | 47.4%682 W · 758 L | -25.7 | -0.02 | 49c | -15.8% | 48 |
The 1,440 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,440 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $26,811 | before 99%in play 1%, over 96 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 27 before the start | 5 h 09to the end, median over 174 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 96 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -2.2 | -0.02 | 44c | +0.2% | 48 |
The 96 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 96 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $48,747,669 | before 96%in play 4%, over 9,723 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 56 before the start | 13 h 46to the end, median over 14,764 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 692 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,912 of 10,332 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10,332 | 30.7%3,168 W · 7,164 L | -186.8 | -0.02 | 32c | -28% | 48 |
The 10,332 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10,332 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $325,049 | before 95%in play 5%, over 1,254 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 41 before the start | 4 h 10to the end, median over 2,423 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 263 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 309 of 1,254 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,254 | 39%489 W · 765 L | -24.1 | -0.02 | 41c | +3.8% | 48 |
The 1,254 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,254 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,131,867 | before 43%in play 57%, over 4,185 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 3 h 10to the end, median over 6,685 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,354 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,747 of 4,233 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4,233 | 46.5%1,970 W · 2,263 L | -87.2 | -0.02 | 49c | -14.2% | 48 |
The 4,233 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4,233 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,457,876 | before 26%in play 74%, over 4,554 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 1 h 57to the end, median over 8,153 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,325 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3,547 of 4,606 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4,606 | 40.6%1,870 W · 2,736 L | -107.3 | -0.02 | 43c | -19.8% | 47 |
The 4,606 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4,606 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $161,713 | before 60%in play 40%, over 242 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 04 before the start | 6 h 35to the end, median over 358 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 68 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 110 of 244 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 244 | 38.1%93 W · 151 L | -6.7 | -0.03 | 41c | -8.9% | 47 |
The 244 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 244 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $16,327 | before 86%in play 14%, over 73 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 25 before the start | 15 h 47to the end, median over 205 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 81 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.7 | -0.03 | 23c | -44.7% | 47 |
The 81 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 81 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,504 | before 31%in play 69%, over 70 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 3 h 06to the end, median over 129 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.5 | -0.04 | 49c | -20.3% | 47 |
The 70 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,785,614 | before 53%in play 47%, over 3,881 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min before the start | 4 h 46to the end, median over 5,386 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 808 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,217 of 3,918 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,918 | 41.4%1,624 W · 2,294 L | -106.4 | -0.03 | 44c | -17.6% | 47 |
The 3,918 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,918 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $1,006,033 | —no start of play | 32 dto the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 52 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 52 | 13.5%7 W · 45 L | -2.2 | -0.04 | 18c | -64.6% | 47 |
The 52 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 52 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT | $97 | —no start of play | 23 h 38to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9 | -0.23 | 23c | -100% | 46 |
The 4 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,213,750 | before 73%in play 27%, over 1,328 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 03 before the start | 7 h 00to the end, median over 2,192 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 339 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 563 of 1,455 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,455 | 46.3%673 W · 782 L | -49.2 | -0.03 | 50c | -13.2% | 46 |
The 1,455 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,455 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $73,037 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 633 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 187 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 63 of 274 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.4 | -0.04 | 28c | -49% | 46 |
The 274 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 274 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $34,059 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 337 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 115 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 115 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -5.6 | -0.05 | 40c | -9.6% | 46 |
The 115 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 115 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $40,233 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 652 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 233 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 146 of 343 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 343 | 25.9%89 W · 254 L | -16.0 | -0.05 | 31c | -36.5% | 45 |
The 343 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 343 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $13,935 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 74 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.9 | -0.11 | 27c | -72.4% | 44 |
The 25 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 54,383 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1,246
- What they are worth now
- $587,957bought for $435,584
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 4worth $240
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 1,246, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 4 largest of 4. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x317b…5aefbacked outcome 0 | 226.73 | 67c | $227 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x64f9…bbc6backed outcome 1 | 26.99 | 56c | $13 | Not read yet |
| Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-19? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 10,728 | 52c | $0 | Counted |
| Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed St. Louis Cardinals · settled | 39.51 | 39c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 2 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 2 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.