Wallet 0xe911…3d4e
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xe91171f655be1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$12,391,425 staked over 39,446 qualified picks in 35 categories, 14 of 35 below 50.
Best category
Commodities
$39,126 staked over 129 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Commodities boardSecond best
Us Midterms
$6,803 staked over 8 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Us Midterms boardThird best
NBA
$519,963 staked over 1,436 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full NBA boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 39,446 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category35 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $39,126 | —no start of play | 18 h 17to the end, median over 160 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0798% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 57 of 129 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +8.8 | +0.07 | 44c | +21.7% | 56 |
The 129 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 129 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Jun 17, 2026, EDT | $6,803 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.22104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7 | +0.21 | 42c | +27.3% | 56 |
The 8 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $519,963 | before 5%in play 95%, over 1,432 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 32 after the start | 2 h 34to the end, median over 2,278 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 206 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,252 of 1,436 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,436 | 50.8%730 W · 706 L | +71.5 | +0.05 | 46c | +2.8% | 55 |
The 1,436 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,436 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $142,277 | before 1%in play 99%, over 386 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 59 after the start | 2 h 20to the end, median over 809 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 40 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 66% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 328 of 386 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 386 | 54.1%209 W · 177 L | +20.0 | +0.05 | 49c | +8% | 55 |
The 386 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 386 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $93,999 | before 4%in play 96%, over 340 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min after the start | 3 h 32to the end, median over 466 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 55 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05126% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 126% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 330 of 341 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +14.2 | +0.04 | 47c | -4.8% | 54 |
The 341 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 341 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $66,690 | before 0%in play 100%, over 261 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 377 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 257 of 261 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 261 | 49.8%130 W · 131 L | +10.7 | +0.04 | 46c | +9.6% | 54 |
The 261 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 261 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $432,548 | before 3%in play 97%, over 1,891 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start | 1 h 53to the end, median over 5,011 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 482 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 66% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,695 of 1,895 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,895 | 50.9%964 W · 931 L | +68.3 | +0.04 | 47c | +4.5% | 54 |
The 1,895 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,895 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $2,583,361 | before 9%in play 91%, over 5,498 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 27 after the start | 2 h 15to the end, median over 10,352 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 459 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 60% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 4,740 of 5,531 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5,531 | 51%2,820 W · 2,711 L | +152.6 | +0.03 | 48c | 0% | 53 |
The 5,531 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5,531 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $433,938 | before 4%in play 96%, over 544 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 39 after the start | 43 minto the end, median over 802 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 495 of 546 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 546 | 46.7%255 W · 291 L | +15.0 | +0.03 | 44c | -4.1% | 53 |
The 546 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 546 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $203,659 | before 1%in play 99%, over 927 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start | 3 h 18to the end, median over 2,269 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 139 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 5% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 898 of 928 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 928 | 48.1%446 W · 482 L | +22.0 | +0.02 | 46c | +0.7% | 53 |
The 928 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 928 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $538,091 | before 9%in play 91%, over 664 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 5 h 11to the end, median over 872 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 24% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 568 of 664 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | +15.5 | +0.02 | 46c | -12.6% | 52 |
The 664 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 664 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 4, 2026, EDT | $422,897 | before 1%in play 99%, over 1,529 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 32 after the start | 3 h 07to the end, median over 2,146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 332 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 42% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,444 of 1,531 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6 | +0.02 | 48c | -3.3% | 52 |
The 1,531 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,531 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $249,736 | before 1%in play 99%, over 1,519 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 after the start | 3 h 25to the end, median over 2,503 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 376 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,425 of 1,519 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,519 | 47.1%715 W · 804 L | +29.9 | +0.02 | 45c | -0.5% | 52 |
The 1,519 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,519 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $91,953 | before 1%in play 99%, over 303 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 after the start | 1 h 26to the end, median over 919 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 22% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 217 of 303 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 303 | 52.8%160 W · 143 L | +6.3 | +0.02 | 51c | +1.4% | 52 |
The 303 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 303 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled May 19, 2026, EDT | $31 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.34100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.34 | 66c | +52.5% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $34,097 | before 12%in play 88%, over 88 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 6 h 41to the end, median over 150 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 78 of 89 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +1.5 | +0.02 | 42c | -14% | 51 |
The 89 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 89 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $323,985 | before 1%in play 99%, over 1,306 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 2 h 53to the end, median over 2,597 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 276 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,260 of 1,319 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,319 | 44.9%592 W · 727 L | +10.8 | +0.01 | 44c | -6.3% | 51 |
The 1,319 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,319 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $13,078 | —no start of play | 12 h 21to the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 20 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 47c | -22.5% | 51 |
The 33 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $201,490 | before 3%in play 97%, over 952 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min after the start | 3 h 17to the end, median over 2,239 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 95 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 862 of 952 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 952 | 43.4%413 W · 539 L | +4.0 | 0.00 | 43c | -11.1% | 50 |
The 952 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 952 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $185,677 | before 0%in play 100%, over 627 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 2 h 31to the end, median over 1,167 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 139 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 607 of 627 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 627 | 44%276 W · 351 L | +2.6 | 0.00 | 44c | -12.1% | 50 |
The 627 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 627 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $185,985 | before <1%in play >99%, over 749 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 2 h 41to the end, median over 1,326 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 137 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 737 of 749 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 749 | 43.3%324 W · 425 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 43c | +14.3% | 50 |
The 749 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 749 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $78,030 | before 1%in play 99%, over 177 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 35 after the start | 1 h 16to the end, median over 314 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 167 of 177 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 45c | -14.5% | 50 |
The 177 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 177 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 21, 2026, EST | $10,655 | before 0%in play 100%, over 24 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 min after the start | 4 h 32to the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 38c | -17.8% | 50 |
The 24 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $318,623 | before 1%in play 99%, over 1,410 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 1 h 54to the end, median over 2,674 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 129 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,304 of 1,410 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,410 | 45.2%637 W · 773 L | -3.4 | 0.00 | 45c | -9.8% | 50 |
The 1,410 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,410 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $650,044 | before 1%in play 99%, over 2,221 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 3 h 19to the end, median over 4,342 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 234 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,124 of 2,222 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,222 | 42.8%951 W · 1,271 L | -8.5 | 0.00 | 43c | -13.3% | 50 |
The 2,222 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,222 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $94,953 | before <1%in play >99%, over 388 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start | 2 h 10to the end, median over 736 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 94 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 377 of 388 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | -3.6 | -0.01 | 45c | -10% | 49 |
The 388 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 388 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $258,801 | before 1%in play 99%, over 1,117 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 after the start | 2 h 40to the end, median over 1,819 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 79 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,091 of 1,117 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,117 | 42.4%474 W · 643 L | -15.7 | -0.01 | 44c | -15.4% | 48 |
The 1,117 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,117 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $1,474,459 | before 2%in play 98%, over 3,015 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min after the start | 2 h 07to the end, median over 5,989 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 225 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,933 of 3,203 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,203 | 41%1,314 W · 1,889 L | -54.6 | -0.02 | 43c | -17.7% | 48 |
The 3,203 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,203 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $259,938 | before <1%in play >99%, over 1,347 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 3 h 19to the end, median over 2,729 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 167 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,283 of 1,347 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,347 | 42.7%575 W · 772 L | -37.9 | -0.03 | 46c | -15.6% | 47 |
The 1,347 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,347 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $258,602 | before 1%in play 99%, over 835 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 1 h 50to the end, median over 1,542 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 99 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 808 of 845 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 845 | 38.6%326 W · 519 L | -27.6 | -0.03 | 42c | -17.4% | 46 |
The 845 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 845 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $414,795 | before 1%in play 99%, over 1,293 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min after the start | 2 h 19to the end, median over 2,535 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 226 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,252 of 1,303 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,303 | 39.5%515 W · 788 L | -42.6 | -0.03 | 43c | -18.4% | 46 |
The 1,303 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,303 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $742,765 | before 1%in play 99%, over 2,961 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 after the start | 3 h 34to the end, median over 4,608 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 149 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,910 of 2,961 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,961 | 39.2%1,161 W · 1,800 L | -110.3 | -0.04 | 43c | -21.3% | 46 |
The 2,961 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,961 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $731,212 | before 2%in play 98%, over 3,658 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start | 2 h 47to the end, median over 5,826 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 202 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3,566 of 3,658 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,658 | 39%1,427 W · 2,231 L | -157.9 | -0.04 | 43c | -17.7% | 45 |
The 3,658 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,658 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $320,386 | before 3%in play 97%, over 1,519 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 02 after the start | 3 h 02to the end, median over 2,249 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 54 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,464 of 1,519 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,519 | 38.8%590 W · 929 L | -66.8 | -0.04 | 43c | -18.5% | 45 |
The 1,519 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,519 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $8,779 | before 23%in play 77%, over 22 Boxing picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 25 after the start | 4 h 05to the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.2 | -0.13 | 34c | -66.3% | 43 |
The 24 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 39,446 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 38
- What they are worth now
- $11,511bought for $11,540
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 1worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 38, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 7,216 | 88c | 94c | $6,747 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 2,955 | 62c | 55c | $1,625 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 949.13 | 49c | 40c | $375 |
| Market 0xdd8d…9eeabacked outcome 0 | 932 | 38c | 34c | $317 |
| Zhejiang Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards (opens in a new tab)backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 631.35 | 47c | 49c | $309 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 603.53 | 55c | 49c | $293 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 4,477 | 7c | 6c | $284 |
| W75 Glasgow: Mia Wainwright vs Mia Francis (opens in a new tab)backed Mia Wainwright | 411 | 51c | 50c | $203 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 199 | 23c | 97c | $193 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 613.81 | 31c | 31c | $187 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 1 largest of 1. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x014a…0000backed outcome 1 | 2.08 | 95c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.