TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe922…39b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
3,476
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 3,476 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT60248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT41351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT23553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST16351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT15552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.