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Wallet 0xe9d3…079f

Rebuilt .

Best in Premier League1,040 qualified picks$1,354,201 staked13 of 24 categories below 50first seen Apr 11, 2026, EDT

Score by category

The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.24 categories, best first

Parlays in detail

32-0.16 edge/pickInactiveSee the full Parlays board
Qualified picksEvery pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
29
Win rateHow often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
6.9% 2 W · 27 L
vs expectedWins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
-8.7
Realizable edgePer qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
-0.30
Avg entryThe average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
37c
ROI per pickThe average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
-87%
StakedThe money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
$29,994
When it betsWhether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
—no start of play
HoldsHow long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. When it bets says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
—no market to hold
At your priceWhat a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
—no market price
Last settledThe day this wallet’s latest qualified pick in this category settled. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Oct 27, 2026, EDT

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be -$650 tailing 13 Parlays picks (0 W · 13 L) at $50 each: -100% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Parlays picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet. It counts the picks settled from Oct 9, 2026, EDT until the nightly update of Nov 8, 2026, EST.

Parlays picks

SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 27, 2026, EDTGalatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5 AND Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 AND Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 AND Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5 AND FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.55 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)13c$329-100%-$329
Oct 19, 2026, EDTRomania vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 AND Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 AND France vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 AND Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 4.5 AND Northern Ireland vs. Georgia: O/U 3.5 AND Antofagasta: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt6 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)22c$610-100%-$610
Oct 18, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 AND Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 4.5 AND Wales vs. Denmark: O/U 4.5 AND Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5 AND Greece vs. Germany: O/U 4.55 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)33c$2,191-100%-$2,191
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSwitzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5 AND North Macedonia vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 AND Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)46c$2,963-100%-$2,963
Oct 17, 2026, EDTEstonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5 AND Belarus vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5 AND Croatia vs. England: O/U 4.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)44c$2,574-100%-$2,574
Oct 16, 2026, EDTFaroe Islands vs. Slovakia: O/U 3.5 AND France vs. Italy: O/U 4.5 AND Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 AND Belgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.54 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)43c$2,121-100%-$2,121
Oct 13, 2026, EDTScotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 AND Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5 AND Czechia vs. England: O/U 3.5 AND Slovenia vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.54 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)33c$1,050-100%-$1,050
Oct 12, 2026, EDTRomania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 AND Belgium vs. France: O/U 4.5 AND Northern Ireland vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5 AND Türkiye vs. Italy: O/U 4.5 AND Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 4.55 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)46c$2,929-100%-$2,929
Oct 12, 2026, EDTGeorgia vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 AND Armenia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5 AND Latvia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)46c$1,388-100%-$1,388
Oct 11, 2026, EDTNorway vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5 AND Israel vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5 AND Germany vs. Greece: O/U 4.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)50c$2,372-100%-$2,372
Oct 11, 2026, EDTDenmark vs. Wales: O/U 3.5 AND Austria vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5 AND Serbia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)46c$1,500-100%-$1,500
Oct 10, 2026, EDTLaver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur AND Slovenia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 AND Cambridge United FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 3.5 AND Plymouth Argyle FC vs. Burton Albion FC: O/U 3.54 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)50c$1,500-100%-$1,500
Oct 9, 2026, EDTItaly vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 AND Montenegro vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5 AND Girona FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5 AND Türkiye vs. France: O/U 4.5 AND Sweden vs. Romania: O/U 3.55 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)19c$546-100%-$546
Oct 4, 2026, EDTLeeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 7.5 AND AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)50c$626-100%-$626
Oct 4, 2026, EDTManchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5 AND Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 AND ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5 AND Szczecin: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Thiago Monteiro AND Biella: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alejandro Moro Canas5 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)17c$195-100%-$195
Oct 3, 2026, EDTQueens Park Rangers FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5 AND Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 AND Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5 AND Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.54 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)43c$423-100%-$423
Oct 3, 2026, EDTBologna FC 1909 vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5 AND Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5 AND Avispa Fukuoka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5 AND 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5 AND Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 AND Millwall FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5 AND Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.57 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)14c$460-100%-$460
Oct 2, 2026, EDTFC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5 AND AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)27c$1,501-100%-$1,501
Sep 30, 2026, EDTFC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 5.5 AND RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5 AND Szczecin: Laslo Djere vs Luka Mikrut AND Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.54 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)29c$117-100%-$117
Sep 29, 2026, EDTColumbus: Trevor Svajda vs Andres Andrade AND Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)78c$495+28.1%+$138.94
Sep 26, 2026, EDTChengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris AND Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska AND Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Valentin Royer3 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)40c$1,420+149.7%+$2,125.53
Sep 14, 2026, EDTAston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 AND US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley AND US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Harry Wendelken AND FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.54 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)28c$344-100%-$344
Sep 9, 2026, EDTOlympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5 AND Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5 AND Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.53 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)42c$103-100%-$103
Sep 8, 2026, EDTLASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5 AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer AND Plymouth Argyle FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5 AND Southampton FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5 AND FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 4.5 AND Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5 AND Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5 AND Fleetwood Town FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 5.5 AND Watford FC vs. Peterborough United FC: O/U 4.59 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)5c$23-100%-$23
Sep 6, 2026, EDTClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5 AND Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 AND AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.53 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)38c$17-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 29 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
About this page

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry figures of each category tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why this page scores each category on its own rather than as one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.