TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea6a…3ee2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
712
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT52451%267 W · 257 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 524 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009.36
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+323.8%+$3,948.24
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.7
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.13
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$966.63
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.01
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.42
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,902.85
Will Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win Kontinental Hockey League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78%+$29.98
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.55
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.27
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.56
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$18.85
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$31.1
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$73.78
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.77
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122.29
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.77
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.88
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.17
Showing 25 of 524 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10439.4%41 W · 63 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+93%+$9.64
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+148.3%+$23.89
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+216.2%+$30.77
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$27.02
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$8.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+234.2%+$52.57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.74
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$4.78
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.29
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$25.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+356%+$54.65
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+473.8%+$106.74
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$65.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+107%+$50.02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+76%+$51.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+107%+$67.19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$82.38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.08
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$110.99
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$137.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+183.4%+$45.29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$309.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$40.19
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+614.3%+$244
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25.9%+$2.94
Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32.8%+$5.58
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$74.51
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$221.19
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.8%+$121.91
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+37%+$110.11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$46.83
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$177.22
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$93.35
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+62.1%+$47.52
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.79
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+270.7%+$389.94
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30.08
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100.24
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$155.49
Women's Group B - Japan vs. Italybacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50.7
Women's Group A - Czechia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.68
Women's Group B - Germany vs. Japanbacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$63.68
Women's Group A - Czechia vs. Switzerlandbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80.15
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$58.61
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30.7%+$12.78
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.67
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.14
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$30.11
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$12.83
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+212.5%+$34.46
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.3%+$12.5
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.75
Shanghai Sharks vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$84.96
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+63%+$28.1
Shanxi Loongs vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$105.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)backed Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.