Wallet 0xeaac…d71d
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xeaac36f714563e13d88db7a4f0a0898388f2d71d
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,747,795 staked over 5,829 qualified picks in 26 categories, 8 of 26 below 50.
Best category
NBA
$11,727 staked over 84 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full NBA boardSecond best
WNBA
$13,621 staked over 47 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardThird best
Bundesliga
$16,726 staked over 67 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Bundesliga boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,829 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category26 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBAlast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $11,727 | before 98%in play 2%, over 84 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 41 before the start | 6 h 43to the end, median over 90 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1095% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 74 of 84 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +9.2 | +0.11 | 44c | +33.6% | 59 |
The 84 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 84 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $13,621 | before 98%in play 2%, over 47 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 47 before the start | 11 h 27to the end, median over 56 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1095% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 35 of 47 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.9 | +0.11 | 43c | +40.6% | 58 |
The 47 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 47 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,726 | before 100%in play 0%, over 67 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min before the start | 5 h 52to the end, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0996% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 61 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.1 | +0.09 | 43c | +37.5% | 57 |
The 67 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $43,170 | before 100%in play 0%, over 141 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 20 before the start | 7 h 18to the end, median over 164 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0694% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 115 of 141 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +9.4 | +0.07 | 42c | +5.4% | 56 |
The 141 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 141 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $10,163 | before 97%in play 3%, over 39 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min before the start | 7 h 29to the end, median over 42 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0999% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 35 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.6 | +0.09 | 39c | +54.1% | 56 |
The 39 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $9,428 | before 92%in play 8%, over 40 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 39 before the start | 10 h 14to the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0699% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 36 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.4 | +0.06 | 44c | +51.2% | 54 |
The 40 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $15,274 | before 100%in play 0%, over 45 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min before the start | 6 h 33to the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0597% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 42 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.2 | +0.05 | 40c | -1.2% | 54 |
The 45 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $799,645 | before 98%in play 2%, over 2,313 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 50 before the start | 7 h 47to the end, median over 2,741 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 242 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0287% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,786 of 2,348 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,348 | 45.7%1,074 W · 1,274 L | +66.9 | +0.03 | 43c | +7.1% | 53 |
The 2,348 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,348 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $41,476 | before 100%in play 0%, over 183 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 before the start | 5 h 34to the end, median over 225 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0276% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 76% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 159 of 183 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | +3.9 | +0.02 | 44c | -2.3% | 52 |
The 183 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 183 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Jun 7, 2026, EDT | $1,173 | —too few: 5 picks | 5 h 21to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1093% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5 | +0.10 | 50c | +28.7% | 52 |
The 5 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $30,256 | before 99%in play 1%, over 163 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 54 min before the start | 4 h 17to the end, median over 197 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0297% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 155 of 163 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | +3.1 | +0.02 | 44c | +4.6% | 52 |
The 163 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 163 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $836 | —too few: 6 picks | 5 h 07to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4 | +0.07 | 43c | +38.1% | 51 |
The 6 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $66,120 | before 99%in play 1%, over 330 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min before the start | 5 h 27to the end, median over 392 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0175% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 307 of 330 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +2.5 | +0.01 | 48c | +5% | 51 |
The 330 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 330 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $28,308 | before 100%in play 0%, over 116 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 47 before the start | 6 h 41to the end, median over 210 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0180% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 79 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +0.9 | +0.01 | 41c | +9.7% | 51 |
The 116 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $171,842 | before >99%in play <1%, over 376 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 17 before the start | 13 h 43to the end, median over 545 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 98 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 364 of 487 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 487 | 38.6%188 W · 299 L | +2.6 | +0.01 | 38c | -3.4% | 51 |
The 487 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 487 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $196,212 | before 100%in play 0%, over 609 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 56 before the start | 10 h 11to the end, median over 698 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 92 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 24% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 347 of 609 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 609 | 46.1%281 W · 328 L | +2.7 | 0.00 | 46c | +1.1% | 50 |
The 609 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 609 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $58,479 | before >99%in play <1%, over 236 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min before the start | 5 h 46to the end, median over 278 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 199 of 236 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | +0.8 | 0.00 | 44c | -1.4% | 50 |
The 236 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 236 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $66,656 | before 94%in play 6%, over 228 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 17 before the start | 7 h 11to the end, median over 259 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 181 of 228 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 48c | -0.5% | 50 |
The 228 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 228 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $30,567 | before 100%in play 0%, over 119 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 09 before the start | 7 h 20to the end, median over 137 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 100 of 119 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 44c | -9.3% | 50 |
The 119 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 119 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $30,971 | before 96%in play 4%, over 100 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 51 before the start | 7 h 02to the end, median over 116 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 59 of 100 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -0.7 | -0.01 | 39c | +3.5% | 49 |
The 100 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 100 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $11,221 | before 92%in play 8%, over 40 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 27 min before the start | 6 h 16to the end, median over 44 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 36c | -16.3% | 49 |
The 40 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $306 | before 100%in play 0%, over 19 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 12 before the start | 6 h 54to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 49c | -6.6% | 49 |
The 19 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Jun 2, 2026, EDT | $499 | —too few: 1 pick | 7 h 50to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.42no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.44 | 44c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $31,080 | before 99%in play 1%, over 167 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 before the start | 5 h 19to the end, median over 251 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 135 of 169 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -4.3 | -0.03 | 44c | -9.2% | 48 |
The 169 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 169 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $47,649 | before 94%in play 6%, over 139 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 27 before the start | 6 h 29to the end, median over 144 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 113 of 139 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.8 | -0.06 | 42c | -20.2% | 44 |
The 139 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 139 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $14,390 | before 100%in play 0%, over 67 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 45 before the start | 5 h 40to the end, median over 81 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 59 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -8.0 | -0.12 | 43c | -31.3% | 40 |
The 68 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,829 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 8
- What they are worth now
- $3,262bought for $3,643
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 49worth $0
Its 8 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (opens in a new tab)backed Pakistan | 1,585 | 63c | 64c | $1,007 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 980.39 | 51c | 65c | $637 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears (opens in a new tab)backed Doosan Bears | 2,164 | 46c | 25c | $551 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 1,515 | 33c | 31c | $462 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 819.67 | 61c | 55c | $451 |
| Will Australia win? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 204.57 | 40c | 44c | $90 |
| Will South Africa win? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 120.25 | 48c | 48c | $57 |
| Spread: Seoul Knights (-7.5) (opens in a new tab)backed KCC Egis | 11.59 | 57c | 60c | $7 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 49. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (opens in a new tab)backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · settled | 5,333 | 15c | $0 | Counted |
| US Open ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Flavio Cobolli (opens in a new tab)backed Tristan Schoolkate · settled | 3,624 | 18c | $0 | Counted |
| T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Finland vs Bulgaria (opens in a new tab)backed Bulgaria · settled | 2,174 | 46c | $0 | Counted |
| Prague 2 (Doubles): Paulson/Vliegen vs Jans/Whitehouse (opens in a new tab)backed Jans/Whitehouse · settled | 1,744 | 43c | $0 | Counted |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Ningbo Rockets (opens in a new tab)backed Ningbo Rockets · settled | 1,607 | 19c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.