TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaf1…09b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
265
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT11140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+156.8%+$108.18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$97.3
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$203.51
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+32%+$10.24
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+159.9%+$255.79
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Strael-Bora (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Bbacked Strael-Bora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.84
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Prospect · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.58
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs ReThink - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe Up Next · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.36
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$352.07
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+361%+$211.43
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.8
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group Abacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Cbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$208.32
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$111.93
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Abacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$211.58
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.24
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs No Hoodwink - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.84
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs No Hoodwink - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$225.62
Dota 2: FTS vs Level UP (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$271
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerbacked No Hoodwink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$58.64
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$72.82
Dota 2: by Owl Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Abacked TPaBoMaH Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$132.47
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.12
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$122.94
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO1) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,361.29
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,745.62
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+60.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+904.4%+$103.55
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)backed UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+1,107.9%+$209.12
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+760.3%+$106.44
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stagebacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.45
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$155.13
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$251.03
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$57.15
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.51
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$345.88
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$258.41
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$408.72
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.03
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,054Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$579.2
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.24
LoL: Myth Esports vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked ZennIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$233.66
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.36
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyukbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.71
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.93
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,194.13
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.75
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112.78
Madrid Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.16
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$852.71
Rocha vs. Choinski: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$146.98
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.49
Madrid Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Julieta Parejabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$186.75
Assche vs. Dedura-Palomero: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$150.35
Squire vs. Sakellaridis: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$179.3
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$362.82
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$252.32
BMW Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,154.6
Miami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.42
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.56
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.66
Czechia to score first vs. South Africa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$118.64
Türkiye leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$38
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$29.65
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.15
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$201.27
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked WIP Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$331.14
Valorant: FUT Academy vs Eternal Fire Passion (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+68%+$173.76
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$57.95
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.16
All 7 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$160.54
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$3,246.09
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$679
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,705
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+94.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+197.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.99
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,185.03
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,791Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$3,699.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+55.1%+$279.1
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$276.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$499.51
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$513.89
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$222.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$600
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$164.77
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$458.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+86%+$167.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+80.9%+$1,855.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.