Wallet 0xec98…afcd
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xec981ed70ae69c5cbcac08c1ba063e734f6bafcd
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$16,026,821 staked over 11,767 qualified picks in 45 categories, 26 of 45 below 50.
Best category
Valorant
$985,905 staked over 807 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Valorant boardSecond best
AI
$16,810 staked over 16 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full AI boardThird best
World Politics
$29,815 staked over 24 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full World Politics boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 11,767 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category45 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorantlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $985,905 | before 16%in play 84%, over 804 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min after the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 856 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0894% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 773 of 807 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 807 | 59.5%480 W · 327 L | +69.1 | +0.09 | 51c | +7% | 59 |
The 807 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 807 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $16,810 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1599% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4 | +0.15 | 48c | +6.4% | 56 |
The 16 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled May 9, 2026, EDT | $29,815 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1082% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 82% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 16 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8 | +0.12 | 47c | +75% | 56 |
The 24 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT | $9,372 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7 | +0.17 | 53c | +6.7% | 55 |
The 10 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $227,869 | before 99%in play 1%, over 215 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 before the start | 5 h 08to the end, median over 289 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0597% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 122 of 215 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 215 | 68.4%147 W · 68 L | +10.3 | +0.05 | 64c | +6.8% | 55 |
The 215 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 215 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,431 | before 97%in play 3%, over 104 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 11 before the start | 9 h 15to the end, median over 164 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0594% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 47 of 104 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +5.2 | +0.05 | 57c | +11.8% | 54 |
The 104 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 104 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled Jun 20, 2025, EDT | $305 | —no start of play | 18 minresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.57106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1 | +0.53 | 47c | +114.1% | 54 |
The 2 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Feb 3, 2026, EST | $21,873 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0892% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2 | +0.09 | 45c | -14.6% | 53 |
The 13 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 21, 2026, EDT | $5,343 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.21118% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 118% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9 | +0.18 | 42c | +49% | 53 |
The 5 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $84,901 | before >99%in play <1%, over 402 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min before the start | 5 h 09to the end, median over 561 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0296% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 229 of 402 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 402 | 62.2%250 W · 152 L | +9.8 | +0.02 | 60c | +3.9% | 53 |
The 402 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 402 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $2,753,947 | before 12%in play 88%, over 1,795 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 3 h 19to the end, median over 1,905 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,716 of 1,802 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,802 | 46.2%833 W · 969 L | +33.2 | +0.02 | 44c | -13.7% | 52 |
The 1,802 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,802 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,558,293 | before 9%in play 91%, over 2,031 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 2,182 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 23% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,856 of 2,043 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,043 | 45.1%922 W · 1,121 L | +30.6 | +0.01 | 44c | -11.3% | 52 |
The 2,043 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,043 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2025, EDT | $343 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.31100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.31 | 69c | +45.8% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,016,196 | before 98%in play 2%, over 567 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min before the start | 4 h 59to the end, median over 640 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0183% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 325 of 567 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 567 | 51.7%293 W · 274 L | +6.5 | +0.01 | 51c | +5% | 51 |
The 567 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 567 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Mar 29, 2026, EDT | $2,269 | —too few: 3 picks | 2 h 46to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 48% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 6 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1 | +0.02 | 48c | -15.3% | 50 |
The 6 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $17,919 | —no start of play | 18 dto the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0177% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1 | +0.02 | 55c | -7.5% | 50 |
The 7 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2025, EDT | $758 | —too few: 2 picks | 3 h 43to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.05 | 45c | +11.1% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $33,370 | before 100%in play 0%, over 70 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min before the start | 2 h 58to the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 5% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 45 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 57c | -4.2% | 50 |
The 70 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $228,568 | before 90%in play 10%, over 186 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 before the start | 4 h 31to the end, median over 235 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 120 of 189 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 54c | -2.3% | 50 |
The 189 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 189 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Jan 3, 2025, EST | $94 | —too few: 2 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0c | -100% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled May 1, 2026, EDT | $435 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1 | -0.07 | 7c | -100% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,732,605 | before 7%in play 93%, over 1,788 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 3 h 49to the end, median over 1,926 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 33 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,719 of 1,799 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,799 | 43.8%788 W · 1,011 L | -9.6 | -0.01 | 44c | -12.4% | 49 |
The 1,799 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,799 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $388,057 | before >99%in play <1%, over 361 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min before the start | 3 h 42to the end, median over 385 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 198 of 361 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -2.1 | -0.01 | 49c | -2.3% | 49 |
The 361 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 361 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,210,386 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,215 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 before the start | 4 h 16to the end, median over 1,273 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 718 of 1,215 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,215 | 52.3%636 W · 579 L | -9.1 | -0.01 | 53c | -1.2% | 49 |
The 1,215 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,215 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $100,042 | before 98%in play 2%, over 293 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 04 before the start | 4 h 52to the end, median over 362 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 178 of 293 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 293 | 57.7%169 W · 124 L | -2.7 | -0.01 | 59c | -0.5% | 49 |
The 293 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 293 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $99,791 | before 95%in play 5%, over 298 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 07 before the start | 6 h 07to the end, median over 321 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 197 of 298 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 298 | 52%155 W · 143 L | -3.0 | -0.01 | 53c | -2.8% | 49 |
The 298 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 298 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Dec 7, 2025, EST | $1,270 | —no start of play | 13 h 32to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.25 | 25c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $64,260 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4 | -0.03 | 56c | +10.1% | 49 |
The 15 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Feb 16, 2026, EST | $4,606 | —no start of play | 14 h 34to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4 | -0.06 | 39c | -46.2% | 49 |
The 6 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $87,342 | before 100%in play 0%, over 320 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 36 before the start | 6 h 07to the end, median over 438 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 131 of 320 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 320 | 59.4%190 W · 130 L | -4.6 | -0.01 | 61c | -3.4% | 49 |
The 320 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 320 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Jun 10, 2026, EDT | $16,563 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4 | -0.09 | 69c | -9.9% | 48 |
The 5 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $38,565 | before 100%in play 0%, over 106 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min before the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 128 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 71 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -1.9 | -0.02 | 58c | +1.4% | 48 |
The 106 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Feb 1, 2026, EST | $2,140 | —no start of play | 2 h 56to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.44no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.43 | 43c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $24,049 | before 100%in play 0%, over 185 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 55 before the start | 6 h 02to the end, median over 234 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 101 of 185 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | -3.6 | -0.02 | 60c | -2.4% | 48 |
The 185 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 185 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Mar 16, 2026, EDT | $660 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.28no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $31,512 | before 99%in play 1%, over 120 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min before the start | 3 h 11to the end, median over 131 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 77 of 120 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -3.6 | -0.03 | 56c | -5.8% | 47 |
The 120 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 120 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Dec 26, 2025, EST | $979 | —too few: 2 picks | 13 h 03to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.57no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.39 | 39c | -100% | 47 |
The 2 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $33,597 | before 46%in play 54%, over 149 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 7 h 18to the end, median over 258 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 108 of 154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -5.6 | -0.04 | 50c | -11.9% | 47 |
The 154 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $9,327 | before 97%in play 3%, over 79 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 52 before the start | 5 h 01to the end, median over 90 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 51 of 79 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.8 | -0.05 | 58c | -8.7% | 46 |
The 79 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 79 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $64,259 | before 100%in play 0%, over 222 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min before the start | 3 h 50to the end, median over 286 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 126 of 222 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -9.8 | -0.04 | 58c | -11.3% | 46 |
The 222 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 222 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Dec 30, 2025, EST | $5,981 | —no start of play | 20 h 58to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3 | -0.25 | 65c | -43.6% | 45 |
The 5 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $41,507 | before 100%in play 0%, over 124 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 36 before the start | 6 h 17to the end, median over 171 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 55 of 124 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -6.3 | -0.05 | 60c | -11.6% | 45 |
The 124 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 124 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $27,871 | before 100%in play 0%, over 137 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min before the start | 3 h 26to the end, median over 172 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 92 of 137 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | -7.3 | -0.05 | 56c | -14.2% | 45 |
The 137 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 137 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Jan 2, 2026, EST | $6,149 | —no start of play | 11 h 13to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.39no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0 | -0.40 | 40c | -100% | 43 |
The 5 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 29, 2026, EDT | $25,487 | before 100%in play 0%, over 23 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 42 before the start | 8 h 59to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6 | -0.16 | 51c | -34.6% | 42 |
The 23 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 11,767 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 59
- What they are worth now
- $200,122bought for $185,268
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 3worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 59, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 3 largest of 3. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)backed Detroit Tigers · settled | 4,638 | 20c | $0 | Counted |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins (opens in a new tab)backed Atlanta Braves · settled | 4,178 | 35c | $0 | Never scored |
| San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets (opens in a new tab)backed San Diego Padres · settled | 310.1 | 24c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 2 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.