Ligue 1 · one pick
Wallet 0xecbb…a8c2 got this wrong.
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xecbbfb10e58ee8d564446142db9b1aa9f85ba8c2/m/0x75d07a21e6ab5d620a7fd09aeeca6d33218ecef7d5d0a8a62d2f8da0a5fa7c49
Rebuilt .
What this wallet called, and what happened
- Backed
- FC Nantesat 56c — the average price it paid on that side
- What happened
- Paris Saint-Germain FC won · US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Position
- 48.68 shares$27 spent on the side it backed
- P/L held to resolution
- -$27.26-100% on this pick, not cash withdrawn
TailMyPicks grades a pick on the market’s winning outcome whether or not the wallet sold beforehand — buying the winner at 40c and selling at 80c is still a correct forecast. Backed is the side left once opposing buys cancel each other share for share, so a fully hedged market yields no pick at all.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
One call is not a record. Here is this wallet’s whole Ligue 1 record.
| Wallet | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xecbb…a8c2in Ligue 1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
These 7 columns describe every qualified pick this wallet holds in Ligue 1 and say nothing about the market above. vs expected is the number of wins over what the prices it paid already implied, which is what separates a forecaster from somebody who bought favourites.
From here
- This wallet’s whole record, category by categoryEvery category it is scored in, with the ones below 50 counted as loudly as the ones above.
- Everyone who was on this market127 wallets hold a qualified pick here, largest position first, each with its Ligue 1 record.
- Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The venue’s own page for the question. TailMyPicks never calls Polymarket while rendering — this is a link you follow, not a request this page makes.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.