TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeda0…7dff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
3,673
Categories scored
53
Categories below 50
40

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 62 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 3,673 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT69520%139 W · 556 L-44.4wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT32031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT28537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT16738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT15932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT14228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT12821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1249.7%12 W · 112 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT12136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10827.8%30 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT9725.8%25 W · 72 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT8837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT8023.8%19 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT7830.8%24 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT6844.1%30 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT6729.9%20 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT6011.7%7 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5226.9%14 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5012%6 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT4827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorantlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT4619.6%9 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT4420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politicslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT267.7%2 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-86.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST205%1 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT205%1 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-86%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick44cpaid+79.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+1,414.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.