Wallet 0xee00…cea1
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xee00ba338c59557141789b127927a55f5cc5cea1
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$42,587,141 staked over 3,422 qualified picks in 38 categories, 10 of 38 below 50.
Best category
Valorant
$588,393 staked over 8 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Valorant boardSecond best
Serie A
$229,269 staked over 18 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardThird best
F1
$142,737 staked over 52 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full F1 boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,422 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category38 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $588,393 | —too few: 8 picks | 10 h 53to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.4595% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.7 | +0.47 | 41c | +142.8% | 63 |
The 8 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Apr 6, 2026, EDT | $229,269 | before 81%in play 19%, over 16 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min before the start | 5 h 23to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1795% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 15 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2 | +0.18 | 60c | +34.9% | 58 |
The 18 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Mar 7, 2026, EST | $142,737 | before 67%in play 33%, over 12 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 66 h 09 before the start | 8 h 58to the end, median over 157 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0982% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 82% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 20 of 52 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4 | +0.10 | 45c | +8.6% | 58 |
The 52 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 52 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Nov 27, 2025, EST | $459,285 | before 54%in play 46%, over 96 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min before the start | 4 h 18to the end, median over 286 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0899% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6 | +0.08 | 54c | +14.5% | 57 |
The 99 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 99 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,096,507 | before 47%in play 53%, over 275 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 4 h 32to the end, median over 749 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0583% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 103 of 284 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | +17.0 | +0.06 | 49c | +14.1% | 56 |
The 284 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 284 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $3,723,381 | before 16%in play 84%, over 122 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 3 h 51to the end, median over 156 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 70% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 124 of 127 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +7.6 | +0.06 | 54c | +4.7% | 56 |
The 127 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 127 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $292,907 | before 67%in play 33%, over 12 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min before the start | 5 h 12to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 67% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 10 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8 | +0.15 | 51c | +22.5% | 56 |
The 12 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled May 27, 2026, EDT | $511,688 | before 90%in play 10%, over 29 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 04 before the start | 8 h 42to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0897% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5 | +0.09 | 53c | +18.6% | 55 |
The 29 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Aug 21, 2026, EDT | $1,805,854 | before 40%in play 60%, over 93 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min after the start | 3 h 42to the end, median over 358 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0596% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 70 of 143 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8 | +0.05 | 40c | +0.4% | 55 |
The 143 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 143 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 24, 2025, EDT | $9,903 | —no start of play | 3 h 41to the end, median over 82 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.53131% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 131% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2 | +0.41 | 59c | +77% | 55 |
The 3 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $559,607 | before 32%in play 68%, over 22 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 139 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 70% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 22 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3 | +0.08 | 51c | +24% | 55 |
The 29 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $644,830 | before 55%in play 45%, over 156 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min before the start | 4 h 14to the end, median over 446 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0491% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 75 of 171 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +7.6 | +0.04 | 44c | +10.8% | 54 |
The 171 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 171 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $4,803,082 | before 42%in play 58%, over 207 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 4 h 07to the end, median over 416 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 66% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 204 of 236 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 236 | 55.9%132 W · 104 L | +9.0 | +0.04 | 52c | -0.5% | 54 |
The 236 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 236 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $49,091 | before 73%in play 27%, over 11 Chess picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min before the start | 15 h 46to the end, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0597% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9 | +0.05 | 43c | -2.2% | 53 |
The 35 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 15, 2026, EDT | $3,368,641 | before 13%in play 87%, over 434 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min after the start | 3 h 52to the end, median over 823 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 31% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 340 of 448 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0 | +0.03 | 46c | -1.9% | 53 |
The 448 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 448 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Oct 25, 2025, EDT | $30,843 | —no start of play | 10 h 38to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3298% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.32 | 68c | +48.5% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Nov 21, 2025, EST | $16,496 | —too few: 2 picks | 3 h 33to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3097% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.31 | 70c | +44.5% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $813,792 | before 77%in play 23%, over 171 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 58 before the start | 7 h 29to the end, median over 271 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 42 of 171 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.1 | +0.02 | 46c | -1.3% | 52 |
The 171 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 171 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $4,350,807 | before 14%in play 86%, over 647 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min after the start | 3 h 36to the end, median over 1,507 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 46% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 540 of 702 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 702 | 47.7%335 W · 367 L | +14.8 | +0.02 | 46c | -8.3% | 52 |
The 702 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 702 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $9,148,253 | before 65%in play 35%, over 345 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min before the start | 3 h 38to the end, median over 677 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 64% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 283 of 359 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 359 | 54.6%196 W · 163 L | +7.6 | +0.02 | 52c | +5.4% | 52 |
The 359 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 359 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Dec 14, 2025, EST | $55,849 | —too few: 6 picks | 16 h 04to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0890% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5 | +0.09 | 41c | +53% | 52 |
The 6 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $27,561 | —too few: 2 picks | 12 h 28to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09156% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 156% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5 | +0.06 | 50c | +12.6% | 52 |
The 9 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Nov 14, 2025, EST | $43,794 | —too few: 1 pick | 12 h 31to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.56185% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 185% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.30 | 70c | +43.6% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,688,174 | before 5%in play 95%, over 21 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 00 after the start | 2 h 31to the end, median over 154 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 39% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 56 of 80 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.2 | +0.01 | 52c | -2.9% | 51 |
The 80 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 80 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Nov 20, 2024, EST | $589 | —no start of play | 4 h 31to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.22100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.22 | 78c | +28.2% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Nov 5, 2025, EST | $909 | —no start of play | 46 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.21100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.21 | 79c | +26.6% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2025, EDT | $13,927 | —no start of play | 24 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0695% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.07 | 43c | -31.6% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $5,067 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 39c | +53% | 50 |
The 5 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $4,287,769 | before 20%in play 80%, over 120 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min after the start | 3 h 36to the end, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 113 of 129 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 50c | +11.3% | 50 |
The 129 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 129 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Aug 14, 2025, EDT | $3,067 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.04 | 54c | -27.5% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Jul 14, 2026, EDT | $1,383,604 | before 66%in play 34%, over 32 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min before the start | 3 h 06to the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 53c | -6% | 49 |
The 33 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Nov 9, 2025, EST | $5,925 | —too few: 1 pick | 5 h 17to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.59no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.58 | 58c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Dec 14, 2025, EST | $358,846 | before 70%in play 30%, over 81 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 43 before the start | 5 h 36to the end, median over 165 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2 | -0.03 | 49c | -11.4% | 47 |
The 94 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 94 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Feb 28, 2026, EST | $22,750 | —no start of play | 3 h 36to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.76no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8 | -0.76 | 76c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Poker Inactivelast settled Jul 16, 2025, EDT | $13,556 | —no start of play | 15 h 44to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.47no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.42 | 42c | -100% | 47 |
The 2 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $348,846 | before 85%in play 15%, over 13 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min before the start | 3 h 52to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3 | -0.18 | 56c | -41.5% | 43 |
The 13 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $877,484 | before 37%in play 63%, over 38 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 4 h 27to the end, median over 170 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 46 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1 | -0.15 | 53c | -26.7% | 38 |
The 61 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $804,056 | before 62%in play 38%, over 42 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min before the start | 4 h 52to the end, median over 85 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -8.6 | -0.17 | 56c | -33% | 37 |
The 51 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,422 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 51 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 2
- What they are worth now
- $1,850,007bought for $1,850,004
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 2 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 1,850,008 | 50c | 79c | $1,469,832 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 1,850,000 | 50c | 21c | $380,175 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.