Wallet 0xefac…c9a1
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$2,059,439 staked over 4,698 qualified picks in 50 categories, 26 of 50 below 50.
Best category
Music
$98,318 staked over 189 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Music boardSecond best
Other European Leagues
$1,595 staked over 12 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Other European Leagues boardThird best
Premier League
$29,898 staked over 85 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Premier League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,698 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category50 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musiclast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $98,318 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 486 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 89 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10114% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 114% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 45 of 189 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 189 | 51.9%98 W · 91 L | +15.8 | +0.08 | 44c | +10.1% | 58 |
The 189 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 189 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $1,595 | before 67%in play 33%, over 12 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 23 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2092% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6 | +0.22 | 45c | +28.4% | 58 |
The 12 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $29,898 | before 94%in play 6%, over 53 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 188 h 30 before the start | 9 dto the end, median over 176 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 34 of 85 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +6.6 | +0.08 | 40c | +14.3% | 57 |
The 85 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 85 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $3,797 | before 100%in play 0%, over 17 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 68 h 16 before the start | 5 dto the end, median over 55 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1299% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8 | +0.12 | 40c | +29.3% | 57 |
The 23 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $50,263 | before 95%in play 5%, over 75 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 98 h 24 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 117 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 31 of 85 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +6.0 | +0.07 | 53c | +12% | 56 |
The 85 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 85 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,482 | —too few: 9 picks | 8 dto the end, median over 120 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3 | +0.11 | 44c | +9.7% | 56 |
The 22 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT | $1,782 | —too few: 9 picks | 16 dto the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8 | +0.10 | 29c | +8.9% | 55 |
The 18 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $7,821 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10135% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 135% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0 | +0.07 | 44c | -15.1% | 54 |
The 27 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $1,840 | before 100%in play 0%, over 12 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 h 08 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3 | +0.11 | 55c | -2.9% | 54 |
The 12 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $38,326 | before 99%in play 1%, over 77 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 h 39 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 318 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 78 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0495% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 57 of 174 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | +6.5 | +0.04 | 42c | -2.8% | 54 |
The 174 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 174 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Apr 1, 2026, EDT | $10,753 | —no start of play | 61 dresells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1488% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8 | +0.16 | 44c | +5.3% | 53 |
The 5 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Jan 16, 2026, EST | $948 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.20100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.19 | 47c | -1.5% | 52 |
The 3 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 2, 2026, EDT | $658 | —too few: 3 picks | 5 h 29to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.19100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.19 | 47c | +29.1% | 52 |
The 3 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT | $6,627 | —too few: 9 picks | 7 dto the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0583% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8 | +0.06 | 48c | +4.8% | 52 |
The 13 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $45,747 | —too few: 1 pick | 13 dto the end, median over 316 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 81 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 67% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 28 of 122 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | +2.9 | +0.02 | 34c | -28.5% | 52 |
The 122 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 122 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $135,992 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 1,355 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 371 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 63% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 155 of 499 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 499 | 36.5%182 W · 317 L | +10.3 | +0.02 | 34c | -8.7% | 52 |
The 499 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 499 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golflast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $36,725 | before 7%in play 93%, over 250 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 h 20 after the start | 1 dto the end, median over 656 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 100 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0292% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 81 of 258 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 258 | 49.2%127 W · 131 L | +5.4 | +0.02 | 47c | -0.4% | 52 |
The 258 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 258 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $4,392 | —no start of play | 45 dto the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.9 | +0.04 | 28c | -41.3% | 52 |
The 22 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $11,540 | before 79%in play 21%, over 14 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 02 before the start | 9 dto the end, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06139% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 139% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8 | +0.04 | 49c | -8.9% | 52 |
The 19 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $202,644 | —no start of play | 24 dto the end, median over 412 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 150 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0177% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 74 of 273 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | +4.5 | +0.02 | 35c | -5.2% | 52 |
The 273 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 273 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Dec 19, 2025, EST | $1,946 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5 | +0.02 | 52c | +2.8% | 51 |
The 26 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Aug 8, 2026, EDT | $89,966 | —no start of play | 45 dresells, median over 196 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 115 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0196% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 136 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 136 | 27.9%38 W · 98 L | +1.2 | +0.01 | 27c | -7.5% | 51 |
The 136 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 136 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $16,562 | before 74%in play 26%, over 92 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 08 before the start | 14 h 29to the end, median over 153 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01193% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 193% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 66 of 101 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 46c | +1% | 51 |
The 101 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 101 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $73,271 | before 99%in play 1%, over 166 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 20 before the start | 23 h 19to the end, median over 310 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 55 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01156% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 156% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 94 of 178 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 178 | 46.6%83 W · 95 L | +0.9 | 0.00 | 46c | -9.3% | 50 |
The 178 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 178 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $259 | —no start of play | 93 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.06 | 6c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $319,615 | —no start of play | 30 dto the end, median over 767 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 249 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 95 of 396 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 396 | 33.6%133 W · 263 L | -3.0 | -0.01 | 34c | -26% | 49 |
The 396 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 396 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT | $3,893 | —too few: 8 picks | 6 dto the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4 | -0.03 | 41c | -4.4% | 49 |
The 13 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $32,739 | before 94%in play 6%, over 157 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 h 32 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 615 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 50 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 93 of 180 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -2.0 | -0.01 | 48c | -6.5% | 49 |
The 180 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 180 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2025, EDT | $1,080 | —no start of play | 8 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Feb 1, 2026, EST | $1,081 | —no start of play | 214 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.39no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.39 | 39c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $170,191 | before 99%in play 1%, over 128 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 h 13 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 416 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 101 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 128 of 234 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 234 | 39.3%92 W · 142 L | -3.9 | -0.02 | 41c | -18.7% | 48 |
The 234 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 234 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $49,882 | before 94%in play 6%, over 31 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 250 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 69 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 52 of 107 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | -2.0 | -0.02 | 31c | -46% | 48 |
The 107 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 107 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $2,957 | before 73%in play 27%, over 15 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 54 before the start | 17 h 12to the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9 | -0.04 | 28c | +33% | 48 |
The 21 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $6,564 | —too few: 6 picks | 12 dto the end, median over 62 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9 | -0.05 | 35c | -45.5% | 48 |
The 20 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Feb 3, 2026, EST | $4,647 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9 | -0.06 | 35c | -47.4% | 48 |
The 14 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $247,628 | before 100%in play 0%, over 123 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 h 26 before the start | 11 dto the end, median over 929 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 256 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 152 of 465 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 465 | 35.9%167 W · 298 L | -12.4 | -0.03 | 39c | -18.1% | 47 |
The 465 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 465 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $29,419 | before 100%in play 0%, over 47 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 192 h 56 before the start | 8 dto the end, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -2.2 | -0.04 | 44c | -26.7% | 47 |
The 60 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $28,870 | before 98%in play 2%, over 101 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 52 before the start | 11 h 17to the end, median over 167 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 70 of 101 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -3.4 | -0.03 | 50c | -6.4% | 47 |
The 101 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 101 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $30,071 | before 17%in play 83%, over 42 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 87 h 04 after the start | 3 dto the end, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2 | -0.04 | 46c | -30.2% | 47 |
The 53 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $42,038 | before 95%in play 5%, over 62 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 56 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 196 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 67 of 114 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -4.3 | -0.04 | 41c | -15.3% | 47 |
The 114 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 114 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $14,930 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.8 | -0.07 | 46c | -9.2% | 45 |
The 41 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $33,721 | before 91%in play 9%, over 43 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 06 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 224 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 104 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -6.1 | -0.06 | 43c | -31.8% | 45 |
The 104 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 104 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT | $400 | —too few: 3 picks | 4 dto the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.35no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4 | -0.35 | 60c | -68.4% | 45 |
The 4 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $19,682 | before 99%in play 1%, over 79 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 07 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 225 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 54 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 29 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.4 | -0.06 | 35c | -18.4% | 45 |
The 87 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $80,524 | before 87%in play 13%, over 225 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 34 before the start | 18 h 30to the end, median over 393 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 175 of 232 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 232 | 36.2%84 W · 148 L | -14.5 | -0.06 | 42c | -27.4% | 44 |
The 232 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 232 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $7,384 | —no start of play | 32 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0 | -0.22 | 22c | -100% | 44 |
The 9 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $5,543 | —too few: 2 picks | 5 dto the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4 | -0.15 | 34c | -72.1% | 44 |
The 16 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $12,143 | before 100%in play 0%, over 29 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 141 h 51 before the start | 6 dto the end, median over 55 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9 | -0.13 | 50c | -30.7% | 42 |
The 30 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $23,872 | —no start of play | 15 dresells, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.2 | -0.11 | 33c | -34.1% | 42 |
The 46 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $13,417 | before 93%in play 7%, over 43 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 03 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.3 | -0.12 | 40c | -47.6% | 41 |
The 43 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,698 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1,451
- What they are worth now
- $369,076bought for $365,204
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 19worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 1,451, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 19. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0xeea5…4bfdbacked outcome 0 | 675.21 | 1c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xa0f0…0975backed outcome 0 | 421.32 | 1c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 344.26 | 13c | $0 | Counted |
| Will Mike Starchuk win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 265.28 | 3c | $0 | Never scored |
| Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 261.97 | 8c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 2 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 2 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.