TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf066…3349

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Haunted House (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$16.32
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Drip Too Hard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$14.24
Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Banzai (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Banzai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Just Swing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$79.42
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs 5star (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked 5star · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.07
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$45.68
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ex-RUBY (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$8.78
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Spirit Academy (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$28.42
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Abacked Vitalem Aerem · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Younglings (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$10.16
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.84
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Revise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.33
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Raccoons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Abacked Vitalem Aerem · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs 300FPS (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked IMHOWeRGOAT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$8.02
Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs Younglings (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked Younglings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$33.79
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$6.85
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Team Synapse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$27.6
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$8.89
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+121%+$43.37
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Bbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$24.54
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$58.03
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$7.18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$8.18
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$14.51
LoL: The Bandits vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
LoL: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$14.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+207.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+207.4%+$30.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.