Wallet 0xf0ac…4ec7
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xf0ac5725f74f44cd80f5e65c7f9fc5b3e5d24ec7
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$512,109 staked over 5,730 qualified picks in 13 categories, 7 of 13 below 50.
Best category
WNBA
$1,946 staked over 72 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardSecond best
NBA
$66,424 staked over 531 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full NBA boardThird best
Valorant
$6,607 staked over 190 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full Valorant boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,730 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category13 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBAlast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $1,946 | before 0%in play 100%, over 72 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 41 after the start | 1 h 03to the end, median over 302 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0983% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 60 of 72 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +7.5 | +0.10 | 28c | +55.5% | 59 |
The 72 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 72 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled May 5, 2026, EDT | $66,424 | before 0%in play 100%, over 531 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 01 after the start | 2 h 55to the end, median over 1,048 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 31% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 416 of 531 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 531 | 30.1%160 W · 371 L | +19.5 | +0.04 | 26c | +9.2% | 54 |
The 531 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 531 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,607 | before 5%in play 95%, over 190 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 3 h 38to the end, median over 327 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0383% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 167 of 190 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +7.1 | +0.04 | 40c | +0.9% | 54 |
The 190 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 190 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $68,341 | before 2%in play 98%, over 684 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 1 h 12to the end, median over 1,558 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0186% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 630 of 687 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 687 | 28.4%195 W · 492 L | +8.0 | +0.01 | 27c | -3.6% | 51 |
The 687 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 687 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled May 5, 2026, EDT | $57,162 | before 3%in play 97%, over 318 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 40 after the start | 3 h 32to the end, median over 536 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02179% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 179% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 227 of 318 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8 | +0.01 | 27c | -9.3% | 51 |
The 318 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 318 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $20,848 | before 0%in play 100%, over 148 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 after the start | 3 h 52to the end, median over 288 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 97 of 148 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 29c | -2.1% | 50 |
The 148 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 148 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $169,004 | before 0%in play 100%, over 1,347 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 06 after the start | 1 h 28to the end, median over 2,519 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,039 of 1,347 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,347 | 29.4%396 W · 951 L | -1.1 | 0.00 | 29c | -4.2% | 50 |
The 1,347 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,347 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,491 | before 2%in play 98%, over 443 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 2 h 37to the end, median over 936 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 400 of 443 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 443 | 43.8%194 W · 249 L | -1.7 | 0.00 | 44c | -3.9% | 50 |
The 443 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 443 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Apr 24, 2026, EDT | $11,127 | before 0%in play 100%, over 87 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 3 h 30to the end, median over 134 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 83 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8 | -0.01 | 12c | -24.2% | 49 |
The 87 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $24,137 | before 10%in play 90%, over 888 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 2 h 44to the end, median over 1,814 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 756 of 888 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 888 | 40.9%363 W · 525 L | -8.1 | -0.01 | 42c | -4.6% | 49 |
The 888 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 888 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,502 | before 4%in play 96%, over 345 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 3 h 31to the end, median over 751 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 339 of 345 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -5.2 | -0.02 | 44c | -9.9% | 48 |
The 345 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 345 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $8,440 | before 50%in play 50%, over 140 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min before the start | 2 h 03to the end, median over 423 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 59 of 140 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | -4.4 | -0.03 | 39c | -13.4% | 47 |
The 140 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 140 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $60,081 | before 50%in play 50%, over 534 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 0 min before the start | 3 h 27to the end, median over 924 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 270 of 534 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 534 | 31.1%166 W · 368 L | -24.6 | -0.05 | 36c | -12.5% | 45 |
The 534 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 534 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 0
- What they are worth now
- $0bought for $0
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 34worth $0
This wallet holds nothing on a market that is still running. Everything below is settled and waiting to be cashed.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 34. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Synapse (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Team Synapse · settled | 106.22 | 23c | $0 | Counted |
| Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheBot$ (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed TheBot$ · settled | 102.22 | 45c | $0 | Counted |
| Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed 1win · settled | 47 | 42c | $0 | Counted |
| Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed FaZe · settled | 43.85 | 13c | $0 | Never scored |
| Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Zero Tenacity · settled | 40.16 | 60c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.