TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0f0…26ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
389
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT33867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 338 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,755.69
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680.45
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$685.7
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,811Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$739.71
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,337Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$477.27
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+36%+$362.67
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$343.54
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$217.32
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.48
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.19
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$211.13
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,446.83
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$609.81
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$299.12
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.25
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,972.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,639.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$1,126.85
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,740Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$1,532.45
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,233.55
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,716.45
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,358.19
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,336Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,049.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$500.94
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$992.91
Showing 25 of 338 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.46
Will Team Vitality win the EWC Valorant Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$103.31
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$44.7
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$332.83
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+165.7%+$317.48
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$237.41
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.68
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.54
Valorant: Mandatory vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41%+$75.99
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$95.99
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.64
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$720.89
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.89
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.46
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,367.2
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$112.29
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.2
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$358.87
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$212.07
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$138.59
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.95
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2185.7%18 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$85.08
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$74.37
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$417.52
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$317.07
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$200.11
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$149.24
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$189.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$141.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$157.37
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.29
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$26.53
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$41.36
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$43.61
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$98.78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$37.17
ESL Counter-Strike Quarterfinals: G2 vs Liquidbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+30%+$24.71
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+95.9%+$95.92
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$37.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+60.5%+$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win Group E?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.