Wallet 0xf333…ba41
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xf3338c0f5c52e48fbe883d731226b7820e70ba41
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$248,678 staked over 3,315 qualified picks in 41 categories, 29 of 41 below 50.
Best category
NBA
$4,020 staked over 22 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full NBA boardSecond best
Earnings
$1,579 staked over 37 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Earnings boardThird best
MLB
$5,286 staked over 22 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full MLB boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,315 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category41 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $4,020 | —too few: 6 picks | 3 minresells, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17135% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 135% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8 | +0.13 | 46c | +33.8% | 57 |
The 22 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $1,579 | —no start of play | 2 minresells, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 60 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17171% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 171% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.7 | +0.10 | 52c | +25.8% | 57 |
The 37 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $5,286 | before 100%in play 0%, over 11 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 h 09 before the start | 43 sunfollowable, median over 36 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 34 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12119% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 119% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 20 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2 | +0.10 | 49c | +12.7% | 55 |
The 22 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,532 | —too few: 5 picks | 2 minresells, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17177% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 177% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8 | +0.10 | 54c | +10.4% | 55 |
The 19 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestoneslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $178 | —no start of play | 11 minresells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.20108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9 | +0.19 | 41c | +0.4% | 53 |
The 5 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $544 | —too few: 1 pick | 41 sunfollowable, median over 6 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.14 | 61c | +46% | 52 |
The 4 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $1,372 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 minresells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11114% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 114% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3 | +0.10 | 57c | +27.8% | 51 |
The 3 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $31 | —no start of play | 2 minresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.28115% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 115% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.24 | 76c | +31.6% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $3,431 | —no start of play | 2 minresells, median over 47 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06473% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 473% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 28 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 43c | -19% | 51 |
The 32 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 14, 2026, EDT | $772 | —too few: 9 picks | 45 sunfollowable, median over 26 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 26 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05308% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 308% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2 | +0.02 | 48c | +10.9% | 51 |
The 12 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $469 | —no start of play | 1 minresells, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03516% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 516% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 44c | -33.9% | 50 |
The 9 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $1,867 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.192885% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 2885% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0 | +0.01 | 59c | -10% | 50 |
The 5 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $400 | —no start of play | 2 minresells, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 27c | -56.7% | 50 |
The 11 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $19 | —no start of play | 26 sunfollowable, median over 1 pick in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.12 | 12c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $65 | —no start of play | 19 sunfollowable, median over 1 pick in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $29,837 | —no start of play | 54 sunfollowable, median over 329 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 328 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 200 of 208 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -2.7 | -0.01 | 38c | -21.7% | 49 |
The 208 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 208 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $2,170 | —no start of play | 2 minresells, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 40 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8 | -0.02 | 51c | -19.3% | 49 |
The 35 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $340 | —too few: 1 pick | 35 sunfollowable, median over 1 pick in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.33no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.34 | 34c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $3,345 | —no start of play | 2 minresells, median over 74 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 73 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.0 | -0.02 | 44c | -19.1% | 48 |
The 43 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled May 27, 2026, EDT | $215 | —too few: 1 pick | 29 sunfollowable, median over 1 pick in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.43no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.43 | 43c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $28,307 | —no start of play | 1 minresells, median over 462 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 447 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 336 of 352 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.4 | -0.02 | 50c | -2.9% | 48 |
The 352 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 352 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $33 | —no start of play | 5 minresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5 | -0.24 | 24c | -100% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $13,541 | —no start of play | 39 sunfollowable, median over 228 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 223 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 166 of 169 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.8 | -0.02 | 49c | -5.3% | 48 |
The 169 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 169 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $1,340 | —too few: 3 picks | 3 minresells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6 | -0.12 | 32c | -58.3% | 48 |
The 5 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $119 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.30no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6 | -0.28 | 28c | -100% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $610 | —too few: 1 pick | 35 sunfollowable, median over 2 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.61no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.61 | 61c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $1,106 | —too few: 5 picks | 44 sunfollowable, median over 12 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9 | -0.09 | 49c | -27% | 47 |
The 10 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $271 | —no start of play | 4 minresells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8 | -0.16 | 56c | -45% | 47 |
The 5 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $66,702 | before 89%in play 11%, over 1,395 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 h 17 before the start | 46 sunfollowable, median over 2,284 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 2,219 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,387 of 1,425 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,425 | 49.1%699 W · 726 L | -41.8 | -0.03 | 52c | -5.8% | 47 |
The 1,425 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,425 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $5,698 | —no start of play | 2 minresells, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 47 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0 | -0.05 | 49c | -8.2% | 46 |
The 37 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $2,190 | —no start of play | 2 minresells, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 60 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5 | -0.07 | 46c | -31% | 45 |
The 36 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Aug 5, 2026, EDT | $1,601 | —too few: 4 picks | 45 sunfollowable, median over 21 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6 | -0.11 | 47c | -25.8% | 45 |
The 14 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $8,708 | before 100%in play 0%, over 18 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 36 before the start | 59 sunfollowable, median over 54 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 50 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 42 of 44 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1 | -0.07 | 50c | -24.4% | 45 |
The 44 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 44 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $1,067 | —no start of play | 2 minresells, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2 | -0.11 | 51c | -34.7% | 45 |
The 20 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $1,752 | —no start of play | 1 minresells, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 73 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.8 | -0.11 | 41c | -48.1% | 44 |
The 26 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $6,052 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 19 before the start | 53 sunfollowable, median over 39 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 35 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.9 | -0.12 | 36c | -57.3% | 44 |
The 25 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $7,208 | —no start of play | 1 minresells, median over 132 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 128 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 90 of 93 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -7.8 | -0.08 | 41c | -35.8% | 43 |
The 93 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 93 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,689 | —no start of play | 1 minresells, median over 361 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 342 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 221 of 234 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -18.9 | -0.08 | 44c | -22.5% | 42 |
The 234 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 234 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $18,347 | —no start of play | 57 sunfollowable, median over 256 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 247 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 163 of 165 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 165 | 33.9%56 W · 109 L | -14.7 | -0.09 | 43c | -27.5% | 41 |
The 165 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 165 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Aug 14, 2026, EDT | $6,230 | —no start of play | 1 minresells, median over 171 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 167 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 109 of 110 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -11.1 | -0.10 | 48c | -22.3% | 41 |
The 110 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 110 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $3,636 | —no start of play | 50 sunfollowable, median over 120 picks in this category, under the 1 min needed to be followable, so this wallet is left out of this category's ranking; 116 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 66 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.6 | -0.11 | 47c | -29.5% | 41 |
The 68 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 3,315 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 7
- What they are worth now
- $249bought for $557
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 2worth $0
Its 7 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Puka Nacua have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 164 | 89c | 80c | $131 |
| Will Alavés record 50 or more points in the 2026-27 LALIGA season? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 222 | 49c | 25c | $54 |
| Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 447 | 15c | 7c | $30 |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 122 | 70c | 13c | $16 |
| Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 24 | 66c | 53c | $13 |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 170 | 77c | 2c | $3 |
| Market 0x0db8…568abacked outcome 0 | 60 | 5c | 3c | $2 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 2 largest of 2. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 256.92 | 46c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0xd62f…84c3backed outcome 0 | 2.41 | 12c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 1 does: the wallet holds a scored pick on that market, already in the table above. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.