TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf333…ba41

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,895
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: Earnings, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT86949.8%433 W · 436 L-24.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 869 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$26.13
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.24
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.44
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$26.88
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$87.38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$51.6
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.86
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$50.32
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.5
Showing 25 of 869 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT11839%46 W · 72 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$68.02
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.5
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.21
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$30.12
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$47.88
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$331.16
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$51.52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$31.36
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.03
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.24
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$92
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.32
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$33.15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.14
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT11133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$22.68
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$283.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 27?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.23
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+218.8%+$152.36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.84
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 13 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.76
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 13?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT11040%44 W · 66 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$105.85
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.6
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$10.84
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.86
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$41.25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$34.96
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$93.8
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$120.36
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.6
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$122.76
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$309.88
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$71.68
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT11038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.9
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111.74
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.97
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.38
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$70.72
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.75
Will Donald Trump be shown 3-5 times at the World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.41
Will Pam Bondi attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.28
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.08
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$25.2
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$144.54
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.4
Will the announcers say "Legacy" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.89
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT9743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.27
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$59.67
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.39
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.88
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.11
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$31
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.09
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$17
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$37.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$59.52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.13
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.62
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$141.98
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$43.86
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$80.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT8433.3%28 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.12
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$243.96
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.32
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$52.93
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.77
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.6
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.84
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$49.44
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$36.04
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.08
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 40%-42%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.7
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.32
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.67
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.6B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $23B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.54
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6636.4%24 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.76
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$40.71
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$186.76
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.89
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.62
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.3
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.8
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$46.58
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.82
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.92
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$28.32
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+261.4%+$194.57
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$256.78
Will 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.33
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Will anyone say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during Big Brother E20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.91
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.51
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$25.08
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.7
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.75
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$44.4
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Will anyone say "Marriage" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Will anyone say "Prophecy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+173.4%+$241
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$149.5
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$91.54
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$119.68
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT3562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.56
Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.28
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.2
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.74
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$59.94
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.44
Will Fidelity Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.18
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.12
Will Amazon say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.32
Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.44
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$48.45
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.66
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.72
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.88
Will American Express say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.52
Will General Motors say "Emission" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.64
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.16
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.54
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-49.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$92.61
Will G2 Esports Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
Will Bin Win MSI Finals MVPbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.35
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Will T1 Make Finals at MSI 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$41.34
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)backed G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.28
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.5
Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.76
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Will RED Canids win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$109.34
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$91.65
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.03
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.28
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
IPOlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.94
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.7
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.58
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will ITG not IPO before September 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$86.42
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$41.48
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.15
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$99.18
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+171.1%+$279.58
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$79.42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$94.5
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$377.76
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$187.65
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$71.55
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.11
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.12
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.55
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$122.4
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$83.74
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$36.48
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$220.15
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$273.88
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.52
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.36
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.74
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.02
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.92
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
NBA: SGA Award Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.35
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$58.67
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$225.99
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Mirra Andreeva advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Perugia: Timofey Skatov vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.9
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Dellien vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelkabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$240.53
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Shymkent: Jelle Sels vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Jelle Sels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.81
Madrid Open: Taylor Townsend vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$503.78
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.97
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.96
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$44.4
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$45.36
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$88
Trump alleges Georgia foreign election interference by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.46
Trump alleges foreign election interference by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$41.61
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.49
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.68
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.08
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
All 16 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.42
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.85
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.67
Will "Choosin’ Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$115.92
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.84
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.86
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$246.98
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.96
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will G2 Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$53.2
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will FURIA make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.75
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.82
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will FUT qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.13
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.06
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$106.88
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freddie Freeman record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Yordan Alvarez record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Vahn Lackey be drafted in the top 3 in the 2026 MLB Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.19
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.43
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
All 13 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$57.91
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$29.04
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$31.6
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.98
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.09
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.62
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.99
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Arcium launch a token by December 31, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$188.15
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.46
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Innovation" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.16
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.76
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.2
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$41.52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$50.86
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.27
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,445
All 12 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.34
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$46.74
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.94
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.14
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$26.88
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$19.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mackenzie Hughes finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Will Davis Bryant finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.08
Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Corey Conners finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$60.06
Will Rico Hoey finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will Ze-Cheng Dou finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19
Will Taylor Pendrith finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$135.33
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$173.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$129.92
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$399.17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$272.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.