Wallet 0xf4f8…5bf1
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xf4f88a1e25ff5dfae68326eb62049d6a1b7c5bf1
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,021,004 staked over 12,134 qualified picks in 44 categories, 11 of 44 below 50.
Best category
Serie A
$11,086 staked over 130 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardSecond best
Golf
$1,720 staked over 30 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Golf boardThird best
Australian A League
$1,510 staked over 53 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 12,134 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category44 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,086 | before 0%in play 100%, over 129 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 3 h 40to the end, median over 299 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 14% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 126 of 130 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +13.4 | +0.10 | 50c | +27.6% | 60 |
The 130 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 130 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $1,720 | before 26%in play 74%, over 23 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 h 26 after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1175% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.4 | +0.15 | 52c | +21% | 59 |
The 30 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,510 | before 0%in play 100%, over 53 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 99 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1093% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 51 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.5 | +0.10 | 48c | +25% | 58 |
The 53 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $6,017 | before 9%in play 91%, over 92 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min after the start | 3 h 29to the end, median over 213 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 87 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.0 | +0.09 | 49c | +26.4% | 58 |
The 92 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $22,427 | before 7%in play 93%, over 279 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 3 h 48to the end, median over 652 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 282 of 290 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 290 | 54.8%159 W · 131 L | +20.8 | +0.07 | 48c | +17.6% | 57 |
The 290 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 290 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $5,404 | before 43%in play 57%, over 88 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 8 h 56to the end, median over 186 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0675% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 74 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +7.2 | +0.08 | 49c | +22.2% | 57 |
The 88 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,768 | before 2%in play 98%, over 95 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 3 h 48to the end, median over 215 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 46% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 90 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +7.5 | +0.08 | 48c | +19.6% | 57 |
The 95 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $85,606 | before 18%in play 82%, over 431 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 3 h 25to the end, median over 940 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 11% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 489 of 563 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +36.1 | +0.06 | 45c | +18.5% | 57 |
The 563 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 563 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $12,476 | before 16%in play 84%, over 101 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 18 after the start | 1 h 57to the end, median over 189 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0686% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 78 of 101 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +7.4 | +0.07 | 54c | +13.9% | 57 |
The 101 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 101 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $24,841 | before 2%in play 98%, over 278 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start | 3 h 27to the end, median over 652 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 58% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 268 of 278 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 278 | 54.3%151 W · 127 L | +14.4 | +0.05 | 49c | +12.7% | 55 |
The 278 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 278 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $99,324 | before 9%in play 91%, over 863 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 2 h 16to the end, median over 1,864 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 37% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 763 of 895 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 895 | 52.3%468 W · 427 L | +42.7 | +0.05 | 48c | +9.6% | 55 |
The 895 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 895 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $12,614 | before 4%in play 96%, over 171 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 2 h 48to the end, median over 341 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 170 of 174 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | +8.7 | +0.05 | 48c | +17.3% | 55 |
The 174 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 174 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $10,878 | before 9%in play 91%, over 108 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 3 h 51to the end, median over 223 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 6% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 104 of 108 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +5.8 | +0.05 | 46c | +13.9% | 55 |
The 108 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 108 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,492 | before 10%in play 90%, over 134 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 15 after the start | 46 minto the end, median over 236 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 24% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 127 of 136 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | +7.0 | +0.05 | 40c | +12.8% | 55 |
The 136 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 136 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $3,695 | —no start of play | 23 h 45to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11134% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 134% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7 | +0.08 | 57c | +61.5% | 54 |
The 20 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $20,305 | before 1%in play 99%, over 182 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 after the start | 3 h 59to the end, median over 510 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 176 of 182 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 182 | 57.7%105 W · 77 L | +7.6 | +0.04 | 54c | +24.3% | 54 |
The 182 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 182 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Aug 5, 2026, EDT | $105 | —no start of play | 3 h 18to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.32100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0 | +0.32 | 68c | +49.6% | 54 |
The 3 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $231 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1396% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1 | +0.14 | 36c | +13.6% | 54 |
The 8 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Jun 29, 2026, EDT | $302 | —no start of play | 23 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.62100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.62 | 38c | +163.2% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $15,827 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 284 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 33% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 93 of 154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +4.2 | +0.03 | 42c | -2.2% | 53 |
The 154 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $27,272 | before 6%in play 94%, over 257 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 3 h 57to the end, median over 561 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 250 of 261 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | +6.5 | +0.02 | 52c | +4.3% | 53 |
The 261 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 261 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $206 | —no start of play | 15 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.20 | 47c | +70.6% | 52 |
The 3 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $29,656 | before 32%in play 68%, over 199 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min after the start | 5 h 23to the end, median over 348 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 163 of 200 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +4.6 | +0.02 | 46c | -6.7% | 52 |
The 200 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 200 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $2,574 | before 92%in play 8%, over 12 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 h 19 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 14 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8 | +0.04 | 54c | +4.8% | 52 |
The 19 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $6,673 | before 19%in play 81%, over 47 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 25 after the start | 3 h 08to the end, median over 140 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04181% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 181% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 47 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5 | +0.02 | 49c | -5.2% | 52 |
The 68 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $29,748 | before 12%in play 88%, over 602 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 46 after the start | 2 h 35to the end, median over 1,709 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 597 of 625 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 625 | 37.9%237 W · 388 L | +9.2 | +0.01 | 36c | +5.4% | 52 |
The 625 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 625 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $31,700 | before 4%in play 96%, over 281 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 3 h 35to the end, median over 574 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 281 of 287 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +3.5 | +0.01 | 46c | -2.5% | 51 |
The 287 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 287 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $16,906 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 406 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 101 of 188 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | +2.4 | +0.01 | 39c | -2% | 51 |
The 188 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 188 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $440 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4 | +0.04 | 29c | -28.6% | 51 |
The 9 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $2,964 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 6 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 46c | -23.3% | 50 |
The 15 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $9,624 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 149 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 45 of 77 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 43c | -19.8% | 50 |
The 77 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 77 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $8,742 | before 58%in play 42%, over 125 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 37 before the start | 9 h 48to the end, median over 307 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 114 of 148 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 49c | +3.3% | 50 |
The 148 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 148 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,964 | before 8%in play 92%, over 39 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 37 after the start | 1 dto the end, median over 110 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 20 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 43c | -1.3% | 50 |
The 49 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $14,284 | before 30%in play 70%, over 344 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 00 after the start | 4 h 10to the end, median over 888 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 272 of 358 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9 | -0.01 | 53c | -4.4% | 49 |
The 358 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 358 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $309 | —too few: 1 pick | 2 dto the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3 | -0.04 | 42c | +9.7% | 49 |
The 8 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $1,301 | before 0%in play 100%, over 27 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 171 h 45 after the start | 5 h 51to the end, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7 | -0.02 | 51c | -6% | 49 |
The 29 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $2,670 | before 42%in play 58%, over 57 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 6 h 06to the end, median over 116 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 51 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6 | -0.03 | 52c | -12.9% | 48 |
The 59 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 59 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $12,997 | before 16%in play 84%, over 313 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 4 h 39to the end, median over 794 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 248 of 324 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 324 | 48.8%158 W · 166 L | -7.1 | -0.02 | 51c | -9.9% | 48 |
The 324 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 324 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $16,199 | —no start of play | 12 dto the end, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 51 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -2.6 | -0.03 | 34c | -18.2% | 48 |
The 99 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 99 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,579 | before 0%in play 100%, over 148 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 385 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 144 of 148 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.2 | -0.04 | 49c | -13.2% | 46 |
The 148 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 148 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $53,226 | before 12%in play 88%, over 735 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start | 3 h 20to the end, median over 1,294 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 692 of 741 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 741 | 39.4%292 W · 449 L | -28.8 | -0.04 | 43c | -20.5% | 46 |
The 741 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 741 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $236,855 | before 11%in play 89%, over 2,507 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min after the start | 3 h 47to the end, median over 4,236 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,415 of 2,513 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,513 | 36.9%927 W · 1,586 L | -108.1 | -0.04 | 41c | -21.6% | 45 |
The 2,513 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,513 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $87,824 | before 8%in play 92%, over 1,742 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 02 after the start | 2 h 46to the end, median over 3,279 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,666 of 1,754 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,754 | 26.1%457 W · 1,297 L | -115.4 | -0.07 | 33c | -28.9% | 43 |
The 1,754 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,754 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $58,667 | before 7%in play 93%, over 750 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 21 after the start | 2 h 36to the end, median over 1,406 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 725 of 751 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 751 | 35.6%267 W · 484 L | -58.2 | -0.08 | 43c | -32.1% | 42 |
The 751 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 12,134 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 751 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 349
- What they are worth now
- $38,034bought for $34,732
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 12worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 349, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 12. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 2,021 | 14c | $0 | Counted |
| Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 160 | 13c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x6698…e2ecbacked outcome 1 | 131 | 1c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream (opens in a new tab)backed Golden State Valkyries · settled | 101.63 | 8c | $0 | Never scored |
| Market 0xbe98…3aa3backed outcome 1 | 32 | 49c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 2 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 2 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.