Wallet 0xf528…7e5b
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xf5286079ada8dcfeaa44f7f1c87e1ec37c127e5b
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$75,191 staked over 3,647 qualified picks in 49 categories, 11 of 49 below 50.
Best category
IPO
$810 staked over 37 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.13 per pick.
See the full IPO boardSecond best
Token Launches
$1,695 staked over 70 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Token Launches boardThird best
Middle East
$3,976 staked over 140 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Middle East boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,647 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category49 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPOlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $810 | —no start of play | 19 h 34resells, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 117 of them sold before the market settled | +0.22103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 94.6%35 W · 2 L | +7.8 | +0.21 | 73c | +29% | 64 |
The 37 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $1,695 | —no start of play | 20 h 49resells, median over 232 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 200 of them sold before the market settled | +0.16103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 88.6%62 W · 8 L | +10.9 | +0.16 | 73c | +21.1% | 63 |
The 70 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $3,976 | —no start of play | 22 h 05resells, median over 518 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 446 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 46 of 140 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 140 | 83.6%117 W · 23 L | +14.8 | +0.11 | 73c | +14.9% | 60 |
The 140 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 140 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $3,346 | —no start of play | 14 h 40resells, median over 636 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 535 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 41 of 133 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 133 | 85%113 W · 20 L | +13.6 | +0.10 | 75c | +13.3% | 60 |
The 133 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 133 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $4,505 | —no start of play | 20 h 39resells, median over 969 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 813 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 51 of 205 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 205 | 82%168 W · 37 L | +15.4 | +0.08 | 74c | +10.4% | 57 |
The 205 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 205 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $981 | —no start of play | 21 h 25resells, median over 226 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 179 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +4.7 | +0.10 | 74c | +13.5% | 57 |
The 49 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT | $986 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.9 | +0.14 | 72c | +19.7% | 57 |
The 21 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 15, 2026, EDT | $324 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 55 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled | +0.20106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.3 | +0.19 | 73c | +26% | 57 |
The 12 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $953 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 99 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 84 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 83.8%31 W · 6 L | +3.2 | +0.09 | 75c | +11.2% | 56 |
The 37 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $304 | —too few: 1 pick | 1 dresells, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | +0.18100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8 | +0.18 | 72c | +25.8% | 56 |
The 10 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $822 | —no start of play | 13 h 59resells, median over 136 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 113 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 38 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +3.1 | +0.08 | 73c | +12.4% | 55 |
The 38 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 38 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $2,237 | —no start of play | 2 h 08resells, median over 787 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 659 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 24 of 124 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 124 | 79.8%99 W · 25 L | +7.4 | +0.06 | 74c | +8.3% | 55 |
The 124 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 124 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $103 | —no start of play | 12 h 07resells, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 61 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2496% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5 | +0.25 | 75c | +33.3% | 55 |
The 6 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT | $494 | —no start of play | 16 h 42resells, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 53 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1094% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.7 | +0.10 | 72c | +11.3% | 55 |
The 17 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $137 | —no start of play | 13 dresells, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.19113% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 113% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2 | +0.16 | 69c | +22.1% | 54 |
The 7 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $227 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 115 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 89 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.3 | +0.10 | 74c | +12.6% | 54 |
The 13 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Aug 15, 2026, EDT | $218 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1 | +0.14 | 74c | +18.5% | 54 |
The 8 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestoneslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $834 | —no start of play | 13 h 19resells, median over 278 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 226 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0588% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +2.2 | +0.05 | 74c | +7.4% | 54 |
The 43 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT | $97 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.30114% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 114% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8 | +0.26 | 74c | +35.5% | 53 |
The 3 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $2,571 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 482 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 390 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0386% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 28 of 113 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 113 | 77.9%88 W · 25 L | +3.6 | +0.03 | 75c | +4.5% | 53 |
The 113 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 113 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $4,125 | —no start of play | 8 h 57resells, median over 895 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 755 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04123% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 123% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 35 of 179 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 179 | 76.5%137 W · 42 L | +5.3 | +0.03 | 74c | +4.6% | 53 |
The 179 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 179 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $459 | before 12%in play 88%, over 25 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 63 h 02 after the start | 9 h 44resells, median over 203 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 152 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 8 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.1 | +0.04 | 74c | +5.1% | 52 |
The 27 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $214 | —no start of play | 15 h 48resells, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 48% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 4 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7 | +0.07 | 75c | +9.2% | 52 |
The 11 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Jun 20, 2026, EDT | $44 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | +0.29118% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 118% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.25 | 75c | +32.7% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $31 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.25102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.24 | 76c | +32.1% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $6,379 | —no start of play | 11 h 59resells, median over 1,374 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,112 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03131% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 131% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 75 of 268 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 268 | 76.9%206 W · 62 L | +5.1 | +0.02 | 75c | +2.3% | 52 |
The 268 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 268 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $27 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.23100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.23 | 77c | +29.6% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 28, 2026, EDT | $34 | —no start of play | 9 dresells, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.22100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.22 | 78c | +28.8% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 5, 2026, EDT | $45 | —no start of play | 3 h 34resells, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.21100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.21 | 79c | +27.2% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $580 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 113 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 90 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.6 | +0.03 | 73c | +2.5% | 51 |
The 21 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $31 | —no start of play | 12 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.29100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.29 | 71c | +40.5% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,127 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 137 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 104 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0198% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +0.7 | +0.01 | 72c | +1.5% | 51 |
The 46 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Spacelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $83 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3 | +0.06 | 74c | +9.6% | 51 |
The 5 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $23,548 | before 47%in play 53%, over 1,353 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start | 2 h 02resells, median over 11,857 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9,101 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 541 of 1,394 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,394 | 75.7%1,055 W · 339 L | +13.1 | +0.01 | 75c | +1.2% | 51 |
The 1,394 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,394 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $103 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3 | +0.05 | 75c | +6.6% | 51 |
The 5 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $37 | —no start of play | 10 dresells, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.20100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.20 | 80c | +25.5% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $665 | —no start of play | 11 h 17resells, median over 273 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 219 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01137% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 137% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 73c | +1.7% | 51 |
The 39 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $4,596 | —no start of play | 13 h 46resells, median over 861 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 710 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 52 of 199 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 199 | 74.4%148 W · 51 L | +0.4 | 0.00 | 74c | +0.1% | 50 |
The 199 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 199 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT | $1,302 | —no start of play | 20 h 09resells, median over 271 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 220 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 74c | +0.2% | 50 |
The 58 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $3,626 | —no start of play | 20 h 35resells, median over 794 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 645 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 34 of 171 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 171 | 74.9%128 W · 43 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 75c | -0.1% | 50 |
The 171 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 171 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 28, 2026, EDT | $45 | —no start of play | 3 h 50resells, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.04 | 71c | -6.9% | 50 |
The 3 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $98 | —no start of play | 9 h 28resells, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 48 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.03 | 75c | -5.1% | 49 |
The 7 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Aug 8, 2026, EDT | $413 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 44 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.4 | -0.03 | 74c | -2.9% | 49 |
The 14 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $67 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.09 | 76c | -14.3% | 49 |
The 3 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $878 | before 81%in play 19%, over 48 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 h 30 before the start | 3 h 03resells, median over 194 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 166 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.9 | -0.02 | 73c | -3.7% | 49 |
The 49 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $73 | —no start of play | 6 dresells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5 | -0.24 | 74c | -27.3% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $28 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.28no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.28 | 78c | -37.5% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $497 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 150 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 122 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -2.0 | -0.07 | 75c | -9.4% | 46 |
The 28 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $416 | —no start of play | 20 h 41resells, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 72 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9 | -0.16 | 72c | -23.6% | 42 |
The 18 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,647 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 792
- What they are worth now
- $2,802bought for $2,835
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 32worth $117
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 792, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 32. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 4.8 | 81c | $5 | Never scored |
| Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 4.79 | 71c | $5 | Never scored |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 4.75 | 76c | $5 | Never scored |
| Will valyn have the most kills for G2 Esports at VALORANT Champions 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 4.72 | 70c | $5 | Never scored |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 4.55 | 78c | $5 | Never scored |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 never will. TailMyPicks scored those markets, and this wallet’s position on them did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.