TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5d3…91aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.99
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$125.73
Roland Garros WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.16
Zheng vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$73.51
Miami Open, Qualification: Caroline Dolehide vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$29.05
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Leandro Riedibacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61%+$60.98
Set Handicap: Kasintseva (-1.5) vs Lepchenko (+1.5)backed Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
Miami Open, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.31
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.06
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.78
BNP Paribas Open: Alexandra Eala vs Linda Noskovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$66.92
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Kartal (+1.5)backed Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60.1
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Nuno Borgesbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$76.15
BNP Paribas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Marin Cilicbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$58.76
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.8
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Caty McNallybacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+32%+$96.72
Merida Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.75
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.3
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.62
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.13
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.81
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40.19
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.71
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.16
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.45
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.04
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.25
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.09
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$62.18
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$27.52
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$91.39
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.29
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.36
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$62.71
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$34.06
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$26.03
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$153.76
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.06
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.67
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.24
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$12.12
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Essexbacked Essex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.04
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$38.49
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$23.1
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$31.7
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.37
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.58
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$25
LoL: DN Freecs vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO1)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.76
LoL: Vietnam vs Cloud9 (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.34
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.82
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$101.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.95
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+142.1%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.