Wallet 0xf68a…5b1b
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xf68a281980f8c13828e84e147e3822381d6e5b1b
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$64,865,954 staked over 14,237 qualified picks in 41 categories, 17 of 41 below 50.
Best category
Australian A League
$118,633 staked over 12 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardSecond best
Parlays
$10,735 staked over 9 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Parlays boardThird best
Other European Leagues
$415,768 staked over 76 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Other European Leagues boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 14,237 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category41 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Mar 22, 2026, EDT | $118,633 | before 83%in play 17%, over 12 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 13 before the start | 6 h 04to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.0 | +0.34 | 50c | +65.7% | 62 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 12 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Parlayslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $10,735 | —no start of play | —no market to hold | —no market price | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.5 | +0.38 | 28c | +138.8% | 61 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT | $415,768 | before 63%in play 37%, over 75 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min before the start | 4 h 54to the end, median over 88 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1198% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 68 of 76 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +8.9 | +0.12 | 50c | +26.4% | 60 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 76 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 76 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Apr 8, 2026, EDT | $48,104 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2399% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6 | +0.24 | 40c | +36.4% | 58 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 11 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,009,518 | before 92%in play 8%, over 374 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start | 5 h 22to the end, median over 414 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0594% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 308 of 382 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.0 | +0.05 | 48c | +17.3% | 56 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 382 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 382 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,943,297 | before 65%in play 35%, over 2,298 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min before the start | 5 h 01to the end, median over 2,566 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 83 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0387% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,939 of 2,372 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,372 | 51.9%1,230 W · 1,142 L | +87.7 | +0.04 | 48c | +6.9% | 54 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2,372 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,372 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $61,169 | —too few: 6 picks | 3 h 17to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1480% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0 | +0.17 | 50c | +19.9% | 54 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 6 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $909,552 | before 89%in play 11%, over 172 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min before the start | 5 h 12to the end, median over 188 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0290% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 133 of 172 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +4.6 | +0.03 | 50c | +17.4% | 53 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 172 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 172 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,282,082 | before 27%in play 73%, over 992 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 4 h 28to the end, median over 1,099 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 68% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 930 of 1,027 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,027 | 48.8%501 W · 526 L | +24.4 | +0.02 | 46c | +8.7% | 53 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 1,027 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,027 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $550,493 | before 76%in play 24%, over 160 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min before the start | 4 h 18to the end, median over 202 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 95 of 166 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +4.3 | +0.03 | 47c | +7.6% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 166 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 166 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $4,121,478 | before 95%in play 5%, over 661 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min before the start | 2 h 42to the end, median over 1,004 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0178% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 605 of 759 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 759 | 48%364 W · 395 L | +14.1 | +0.02 | 46c | +3.8% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 759 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 759 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $6,428,609 | before 59%in play 41%, over 1,381 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min before the start | 5 h 18to the end, median over 1,655 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 88 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0183% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 914 of 1,481 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,481 | 52.6%779 W · 702 L | +26.4 | +0.02 | 51c | +4.9% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 1,481 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,481 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,183,861 | before 19%in play 81%, over 277 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 21 after the start | 3 h 02to the end, median over 468 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 43% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 282 of 395 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 395 | 52.9%209 W · 186 L | +6.9 | +0.02 | 51c | +1.6% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 395 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 395 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Oct 21, 2025, EDT | $971 | —no start of play | 27 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.22100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4 | +0.22 | 28c | +31% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $923,239 | before 57%in play 43%, over 173 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min before the start | 6 h 27to the end, median over 272 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 157 of 216 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +3.5 | +0.02 | 47c | +24.4% | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 216 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 216 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,510,778 | before 57%in play 43%, over 1,045 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min before the start | 4 h 56to the end, median over 1,151 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 703 of 1,054 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,054 | 49.2%519 W · 535 L | +12.4 | +0.01 | 48c | -0.2% | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 1,054 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,054 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $5,222,665 | before 86%in play 14%, over 869 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min before the start | 5 h 15to the end, median over 955 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 48 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 53% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 710 of 906 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9 | +0.01 | 44c | +3.7% | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 906 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 906 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $349,399 | before 98%in play 2%, over 89 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 28 before the start | 17 h 01to the end, median over 362 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 43 of 217 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 217 | 38.2%83 W · 134 L | +2.3 | +0.01 | 37c | -6.5% | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 217 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 217 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Mar 9, 2026, EDT | $14,268 | —too few: 3 picks | 10 h 22to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0390% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3 | +0.03 | 30c | +32.7% | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 9 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $925,181 | before 96%in play 4%, over 169 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start | 5 h 20to the end, median over 185 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 37% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 127 of 169 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +1.2 | +0.01 | 46c | +11.4% | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 169 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 169 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $870,245 | before 91%in play 9%, over 137 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min before the start | 5 h 19to the end, median over 155 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 107 of 137 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +0.8 | +0.01 | 48c | +5.1% | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 137 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 137 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $5,752,490 | before 80%in play 20%, over 1,396 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min before the start | 5 h 36to the end, median over 1,579 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 58 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 19% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,072 of 1,478 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,478 | 49.3%728 W · 750 L | +6.9 | 0.00 | 49c | +0.6% | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 1,478 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,478 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $3,850,770 | before 93%in play 7%, over 1,166 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min before the start | 5 h 08to the end, median over 1,290 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 56 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 857 of 1,220 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,220 | 49.2%600 W · 620 L | +3.3 | 0.00 | 49c | -0.6% | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 1,220 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,220 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Mar 4, 2026, EST | $13,644 | —no start of play | 20 dresells, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07946% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 946% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0 | +0.01 | 16c | -78.8% | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 6 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $315,762 | before 77%in play 23%, over 86 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min before the start | 5 h 00to the end, median over 92 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 77 of 86 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.2 | 0.00 | 51c | -0.6% | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 86 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 86 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,961,030 | before 91%in play 9%, over 298 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min before the start | 5 h 15to the end, median over 374 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 271 of 332 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 332 | 43.4%144 W · 188 L | -0.9 | 0.00 | 44c | +0.4% | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 332 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 332 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $728,984 | before 70%in play 30%, over 165 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min before the start | 6 h 02to the end, median over 199 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 108 of 182 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 182 | 34.1%62 W · 120 L | -1.6 | -0.01 | 35c | -5.9% | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 182 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 182 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2025, EDT | $485 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.10 | 10c | -100% | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Mar 16, 2026, EDT | $535 | —no start of play | 7 h 07to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3 | -0.10 | 10c | -100% | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 3 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $119,795 | before 91%in play 9%, over 140 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 h 41 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 488 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 92 of 235 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 235 | 19.1%45 W · 190 L | -3.2 | -0.01 | 21c | -31.7% | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 235 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 235 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Feb 3, 2026, EST | $40,799 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4 | -0.08 | 28c | -69.2% | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 5 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Jan 11, 2026, EST | $10,454 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5 | -0.16 | 49c | -50.5% | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 3 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $276,844 | before 65%in play 35%, over 40 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min before the start | 5 h 20to the end, median over 44 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1 | -0.03 | 50c | -6.2% | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 40 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,223,843 | before 92%in play 8%, over 259 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start | 5 h 21to the end, median over 287 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 211 of 260 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -5.7 | -0.02 | 48c | -8.6% | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 260 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 260 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $1,692,899 | before 72%in play 28%, over 280 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min before the start | 4 h 43to the end, median over 314 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 254 of 292 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -7.1 | -0.02 | 49c | 0% | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 292 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 292 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $1,414,932 | before 8%in play 92%, over 203 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 03 after the start | 3 h 17to the end, median over 219 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 200 of 204 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 204 | 46.1%94 W · 110 L | -5.6 | -0.03 | 49c | -7.6% | 47 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 204 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 204 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $925,279 | before 88%in play 12%, over 170 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min before the start | 5 h 16to the end, median over 190 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 132 of 171 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -6.5 | -0.04 | 48c | -10.4% | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 171 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 171 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $2,040 | —no start of play | 17 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.32no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0 | -0.33 | 33c | -100% | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 3 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $452,373 | before 94%in play 6%, over 94 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min before the start | 5 h 23to the end, median over 97 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 86 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -6.1 | -0.07 | 51c | -13% | 44 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 94 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 94 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $177,834 | before 100%in play 0%, over 24 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 21 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2 | -0.09 | 26c | -64.3% | 44 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 36 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Aug 2, 2026, EDT | $5,115 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.28no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9 | -0.28 | 28c | -100% | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 7 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 14,237 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 321
- What they are worth now
- $371,511bought for $407,402
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 21worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 321, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 21. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Nuggets · settled | 77,685 | 50c | $0 | Counted |
| Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 44,303 | 60c | $0 | Counted |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Knicks · settled | 21,398 | 46c | $0 | Counted |
| Georgia State vs. James Madison (opens in a new tab)backed Georgia State · settled | 20,000 | 25c | $0 | Counted |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B (opens in a new tab)backed PARIVISION · settled | 17,520 | 32c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.