TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf697…c72c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$248.1
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.21
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$51.7
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$166.69
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$113.23
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$170.24
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.68
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$130.67
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.16
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$346.03
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$182.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$145.61
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.37
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.46
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$43.89
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.78
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3625%9 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.6
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$344.43
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$501.1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$440.55
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$110.1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$388.28
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$59.5
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.48
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.45
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$60.94
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.64
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.